Ethiopia: Is Djibouti interfering in the Ogaden-Afar Internal-Conflict?

Somali region accuses militia from Afar of killing hundreds of civilians in an attack. The Somali regional admin spokesperson Ali Bedel told Reuters that the militia carried out a “massacre” Saturday in a contested area known as both Gedamaytu and Gabraiisa” (Garowe Online, 27.07.2021).

The Issa-Somali militia is now verified to interfere in parts of the Afar Region. That has happened after the massacre in the Somali region over the weekend. This is an reaction to this and directly retaliating at the forces of Afar.

Issa-Somali has done this after the Afar Special Regional Forces and Liyu Police attacked massacred and looted Gedamaytu and Gabralisa.

What is more striking is that there is unverified reports that the Djibouti government is arming and helping the Issa-Somali militia, which have now crossed from the Somali region into Afar region. The Issa-Somali is targeting pastoralist areas of the Afar. Towns and woredas who has been contested between the Ogaden and Somali region.

The Djibouti interference would be striking, as the Addis Ababa have a working relationship with Djibouti. They are allies and the Djibouti government have easily transferred or deported Ethiopian nationals without any hesitation. Also, directly causing more harm in the border regions of the state of Djibouti.

As the Somali region youth have already been reported to block the railway and roads that goes into Djibouti. Which is the biggest trading partner and the biggest port of the landlocked Ethiopia. This is a beneficial relationship and that’s why you could wonder what the government of Djibouti would earn on arming a militia within Ogaden and going into Afar. Unless, they are planning to send these to target the Tigray Defence Force (TDF). However, that is just mere speculation.

The Issa-Somali is now fighting together with Somali (Ogaden) Regional Special Forces in the Afar region. This just shows how fickle things are and you can wonder what is up. As they are targeting Afar tribes men in general. Then, they are doing this to annex land to the Ogaden region. Which has been an issue for years…

We can just wonder if Djibouti is arming the Issa-Somali militia. If they are… then its yet another country involved in internal conflicts within Ethiopia. That’s a sign of weakness. For someone talking so dearly about being sovereign. The state is not only attack by foreign forces of the likes of Eritrea. Who has still annexed some land in Tigray. While Djibouti could use this an opportunity as well to get their stake in as well.

That is only, if this is true, which we don’t know yet. We know the Federal Government would lie about that. Also, about the rise of Issa-Somali as well. They wouldn’t come out and say that Regional Special Forces would be used for this either. That would hurt the pride and strength of the Prime Minister. Who has to look great and gallant at all times. Peace.

Djibouti: Ministere des Affaires Etrangers et de la Cooperation Internationale Porte-Parole du Gouvernment – Communique (28.05.2021)

Djibouti: Presidence de la Republique – A Mesdames et Messieurs les Membres du Gouvernement (09.05.2021)

Djibouti: Charte pour une Transition Democratique (CTD) – Communique No. 03 – Appel a l’Union (25.04.2021)

Djibouti: Guelleh’s Walkover Part II [98,58% Win]

The Djibouti President Ismail Omar Guelleh won yesterday’s Presidential Election with 98.58%. He only had one challenger who was Zakaria Farah. As the rest of the opposition boycotted it and knew it was just an needed exercise to validate his “legitimacy” and his office, which he has held with an iron fist since 1999.

This is not a shocker or a surprise. The numbers only proves what sort of election this is. It is even more hostile to opposition than the last time. When there was several of candidates in 2016 and he only got 87,07%. He had five candidates going into that election.

In 2011, Guelleh won with 80,63% and only had one candidate against him this time as well. The other candidate was a coalition party candidate on a independent platform. Clearly showing the same sort of control and no traction of the opposition.

In 2005 Guelleh got 99,99% and he was the only candidate for this election. This shows his true intent in his second election.

All the way back to when he took power as well. He had an election where he was the main candidate and one opposition one. Even with that he had massive numbers. In 1999 he got 74.4% of the votes. This shows a pattern.

We are seeing that Guelleh is either running against just one person and not even trying to hold credible elections. He is just having it to be legit. We can see that his gone back to over 90% just like he did in 2005. He clearly wants to prove his majority and total control. It is really just one type of leaders that has such numbers and such elections. It is not the democratic or the popular leaders.

He is another despot and dictator. A man who steers everything and has the order of the day. That is why the Presidency is so important to him. The opposition knows there is no chance in hell to win. Since, the game is rigged and the elections are just a necessity. They are hold to give him time, but not to really be a reflection of the will of people.

President Guelleh doesn’t care about that. He just wants power and continue his prolonged reign in-charge. If you are in opposition of him. Expect jail-time and be in legal jeopardy. That is what his sort of folks does.

When you see the elections of the past and how it was done yesterday. The results was written in the stars and there was no other way for this to go. This is the second time he gets his total majority in an election. The 98% only shows how he has his hands in it and wants it to look like his the hero of the nation. That Guelleh is the Statesmen and is righteously the big-man of the Republic.

With this sort of play and been doing it for so long. We all know the drill and the game. Guelleh might thinks people is this gullible. He maybe think he has outsmarted us all. However, the proof is in the pudding and the gig is up. Peace.

Djibouti: Guelleh’s Walkover

Polls close in Djibouti as 73-yr-old President Ismail Omar Guelleh looks to extend his 22-year rule. Guelleh was in power since 1999 when he was picked to succeed his uncle, Hasan Guled Abtidon, who, with support from Somalia, led the country to independence from France in 1977” (Morad News, 09.04.2021).

Today Ismail Omar Guelleh is just doing his final stretch to his fifth term today. The election in Djibouti is just a formality at this point. If you are an opposition or an dissident, you will get into trouble or be arrested. If you try to go to exile in Ethiopia. The co-operation in Addis Ababa will deport these dissident and ensure their detention to continue in Djibouti.

Therefore, Guelleh is anticipated to win. There is no real opposition and if they were… they wouldn’t be allowed or have the ability to compete. He has run the Republic since 1999 and there is no slowing down. He is the sole candidate and self-styled President for life. That is the sort of fella he is.

We know he uses the state and is issuing everything in need. The only reason for longer and stronger control is that he has foreign allies and built support by building army bases inside the Republic. These are now in favour of Djibouti and Guelleh who has these partners.

The Djibouti President will prolong his reign and this election is a formality. It isn’t really an election. He could just show-up and be sworn-in tomorrow. This is a charade and a exercise only done for the publicity sake.

The President will continue to rule and this was a walkover. It wasn’t even necessary act to do. Only done to buy “legitimacy”. There is no competition and he will win. There is no other choice and everyone knows this.

Ismail Omar Guelleh knows this too. He can act like it, but we all know the drill. Peace.

Djibouti: Charte pour une Transition Democratique (CTD) – Les forces d’opposition qui aspirent au changement a Djibouti ont adopte la Charte pour une transition democratique (31.03.2021)

Djibouti: RADDE – Communique de Press – Arrestations et traitements inhumains aux militants de l’opposition politique dont quaitre femmes! (18.03.2021)

Djibouti: Conseil de Résistance des Citoyens Intégres (CRCI) – Soutien a la Republique federale de Somalie (29.01.2021)

Djibouti: Ministere des Affaires Etrangres et de la Cooperation Internationale – Press Release (28.01.2021)