Opinion: NASA launch is so no other leaders can come out of Odinga’s shadow!

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I have a conspiracy theory and it is not verified, but I have a hunch why that the leadership of the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) leader Raila Odinga is launching a new Opposition outfit and coalition right before the General Election of 2017. It is not so it is ready and amended correctly and following the new electoral laws that the Jubilee government passed this January 2017. No, Raila Odinga has other plans and it will be uncovered!

Honourable Baba, Raila Odinga, has been the opposition kingpin and head honcho for a decade or so. He has steadily been the prince and been the underdog, but never become the Executive. Therefore this hurts his pride, as it did to his father who also became an issue for the ruling elite.

So now that the opposition is gearing up for the general election and deciding their flag-bears and the presidential candidate, that is important for any party and even more vital to a opposition to a consolidated party, which is the Jubilee with key figures like Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto. They will not give up easy and therefore they amended the laws to make it easier to get one more term in power.

So the strength of grand coalition and collective is needed if the Opposition should be covered in the new election. They should act and sound like a possible opposition who is different than the ruling regime under Jubilee. The Jubilee will not go as a coalition, but as one stronger party that we’re created and made ready for the 2017 election. Though their track-record is far from perfect and their years in power have been filled with scandals.

So the National Super Alliance (NASA) which will take-over for the Coalition for Demcratic Reform (CORD), so the parties that in the NASA is mostly the same as in the Cord. Therefore you can wonder why they are changing name of the outfit. That is the reason why I believe there is one main reason for this. Not that NASA or National Super Alliance is the most brilliant name ever. Neither is the timing for changing well-known outfit and PR move to trade the CORD name in.

CORD has been a structure of promise, still fragile and also there we’re agreements made for who was to run in the coming terms. That is why I believe the main reason for the NASA is Hon. Odinga, not anybody else; there might be other deals and backroom kickbacks between the parties. Still this here can be seen as a way of administrating away the old-agreement of CORD. Therefore the new agreement might open ways for Raila Odinga to run again as the Presidential Candidate since this is NASA and not CORD. Also by doing so, he will be most known and biggest political adversary to the Jubilee government.

Odinga, seems to be tactically ready to ambush and silence the old-agreement of Cord, that is well-known. Honourable Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka we’re in the Cord agreement the next in line to try and become the Presidential flag-bearer under the Cord umbrella, as well as the last big-man of the giant trio under Cord Honourable Moses Wetan’gula we’re supposed to run for the Cord in the 2021. But with a new outfit Odinga can outsmart them with the highest flag and popularity; therefore he should run and be again trying to win over the Kenyan citizens.

Because why this coming in January 2017 when they have been is partners since their agreement in 2013, it is 4 years into the agreement and soon renewal of the old pledges between the leadership and secretariat of the Cord. Those protocols are now put into the folders and some of them into the bin. The NASA has to make amends with the old agreements and the other parties that had pledges from the ODM and others should be capable to give way to other than Odinga. If not, than Odinga cannot trust anybody else than himself; that isn’t leadership or stewardship, he has tried and tried and now should open to somebody else to try. It would be big of him, though I think that Wetan’gula and Kalonzo Musyoka will be left behind in NASA is most likely, if Gideon Moi (KANU) or Musalia Mudavadi (ANC) will not be put forward in the pot of Presidential leadership in NASA. That would be even more demeaning for the Wiper Democratic Movement Kalonzo Musyoka or Forum for Restoration of Democracy (FORD-K) Wetan’gula who themselves deserves to come out of Odinga’s shadow!

So Odinga is smart and resourceful, uses tactics and wise words to sell a dream where he can only run and win over the Jubilee, therefore he cannot continue with the Cord. In Cord he is bound to stepdown and gives way to others. That is a path Odinga doesn’t want to do. The NASA coalition is a new way to secure his Flag-bearer and Presidential Candidacy in the opposition. Also an outfit he can use and also try to gain more power. I could hope I am wrong, but I would be surprised if this was created to levitate somebody else. That would be a grand day for Kenya when somebody who wasn’t related to the ones who liberate Kenya from Britain.

It might be high time for somebody else to run in the opposition, to prove that they should get a chance to rule and get Executive power in the proud nation. The Kenyan deserves a proper option to the Jubilee Party and their misgiving leadership. Kenyatta and Ruto has together with their eating elite, really been feasting without breaks since running the office. Therefore someone has to come in and shake it up a bit. If it going to be without scandal and without grand corruption. But if the leadership behind Odinga shadow gets allowed to shed light on, there might be leaders or even ideology, even political craft that could revolutionize the Kenyan government. That wouldn’t be dangerous, but could be prosperous. Peace.

KANU Statement that they are positive to a Opposition Alliance (11.01.2017)

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Kenya African National Union, KANU supports the idea in its formative stage of opposition unity in that this and the resolve by opposition leaders to field one presidential candidate is a milestone for Kenya’s growing democracy.

However, the remarks made by Hon. Nick Salat, the Secretary General of KANU today at the Bomas of Kenya are his personal sentiments and do not reflect in any way the position of the party on the matter of an election coalition at this juncture.

KANU policies and decisions are guided by the party’s constitution which stipulates that such a decision must first be discussed by the supreme decision making organ of the party, the National Delegates Conference (NDC) upon a resolution.

Since the party has not convened the NDC as per the constitution to deliberate on this particular matter, the remarks by the Secretary General are therefore not official as they have not been subjected to the internal constitutional processes for ratification.

Kanu Chairman, Gideon Moi

The Kenya Human Rights Commission to Commence contempt Proceedings against Fazul Mohammed and the NGO Board (07.01.2017)

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“If we do not agree there will be no election” – Midiwo (Youtube-Clip)

CORD Statement: A Great Betrayal has been committed against Kenyans (06.01.2017)

Kenya Parliament

Our Parliament has witnessed some bizarre scenes and moments between 2013 and now. It has witnessed several attempts by the Jubilee regime to raid the constitution and overturn the will of the people for individual gain. It has witnessed blatant efforts to reintroduce dictatorship in the country in the name of giving the President power to fight insecurity. The list is long.

But the spectacle that began in the National Assembly during a special sitting late last month and ended in the Senate last night, count among the most bizarre. It stands out as a blatant willingness by the Jubilee regime to sell out the entire country for no reason other than the survival of the increasingly unpopular corruption-ridden government.

One by one, Jubilee senators, disregarding irregularities and illegalities in the process, cast their ballot for the Bill whose sole aim is to make it easy for the regime to allow underage and dead voters to cast their votes in addition to stuffing the ballot boxes in the elections slated for August 2017.

Jubilee committed a great betrayal on the people of Kenya last night in the same way it did last month in the National Assembly. Jubilee has disowned what was initially a bipartisan agreement that pulled us from the brink and turned it into a full-blown national and government crisis.

In its desperate bid to create opportunities to rig the election, Jubilee senators went as far as fraudulently casting votes using their nominated senators who had no authority from the elected senators to represent their respective delegations. During all the discussions in both the National Assembly and the Senate, Parliament was put under siege by the overwhelming presence of the Police and other security agencies whose purpose was to intimidate legislators into passing the laws under duress.

This is now a crisis because the people of Kenya are determined today more than ever to hold free, fair, transparent and credible elections the results of which will have to be verifiable.

We will respond to this betrayal of the people comprehensively, decisively and firmly. We therefore wish to announce that we have invited all our elected leaders; members of county assemblies, members of the National Assembly, senators, governors and women representatives both elected and aspirants on opposition tickets to a meeting next Wednesday, 11th January 2017 at the Bomas of Kenya to deliberate on the developments. At this meeting a critical decision will be taken and communicated to all Kenyans on our plans to deal with this betrayal of the people by Jubilee and ensure free, fair, transparent and credible elections in August 2017.

Signed

HON RAILA ODINGA.

HON KALONZO MUSYOKA.

SEN. MOSES WETANGULA.

HON CYRUS JIRONGO.

JANUARY 6, 2017

Kenya – IEBC “Subject: Talks on Election Law need Fast-Tracking” (30.12.2016)

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Kenya: “Re: Consent to Institute Criminal Contempt Proceedings against Honourable Aden Duale Leader of Majority in the National Assembly and Member of Parliament for Garrisa Town Constituency” (28.12.2016)

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Kenya: “Re: The Contempt of Court committed by Adan Duale, the majority leader in the National Assembly and the Threat to the Independence and Integrity of the Judiciary (23.12.2016)

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Opinion: Jubilee proved today their true colours with the closed sessions on amending the Electoral laws!

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“I won’t stop nor be discouraged by the noise and insults peddled by a few individuals because we know that every market has its own mad man”Uhuru Kenyatta (21.12.2016 on Twitter).

President Uhuru Kenyatta and Deputy President William Ruto are the ones in charge together with Speaker Justin Muturi who today held a blocked Plenary Session from the Media and Internet at the National Assembly at 22nd December 2016. This proves the alleged acts of misfortune as this set the precedence for the General Election 2017. None can say anything else, that all broadcast, all journalist are kept outside as the Members of Parliament and the Cabinet Secretaries are enacting a law.

Because of that matter, because of the tear-gas outside and the blocked Parliament, a disgrace to any nation and to the will of dialogue between the ruling regime and opposition is now broken, the trust between the National Assembly with the Jubilee Party under President Kenyatta does not trust their own. They do not trust the people understanding the ramifications of the law or the basic understanding of transparent acts of Parliament as they represent the people of Kenya. The Kenyans are supposed to be representing there and get people who will make the greater good for their constituency, but with this act they are hiding from the Kenyan citizens and the Republic!

“Mbita MP Millie Odhiambo has been kicked out as chairperson of Kenya Women Parliamentary Association after she insulted President” (Kenya Parliament, 22.12.2016)

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You should also worry when the MPs from Jubilee we’re carrying guns inside the chambers and there we’re 200 plain-clothed police officers presiding the events that followed in Parliament. So when they needed that much security and close of the session they had to have something powerful inside the law here is some exceptions:

Outtakes from today’s session, the Election Laws (Amendment) Act, 2016:

BVR regulations:

Section 5: 6A “The Commission shall, not later than ninety days before the date of a general election, open the Register of Voters for verification of biometric data by members of the public at their respective polling stations for a period of thirty days” (The Election Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2016).

New rules for Polling Stations:

Section 24: 38A “For the efficient and effective conduct of elections, the Commission shall determine the number of voters per polling station but such number shall not exceed five hundred voters” (The Election Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2016).

Section 39: “(1C) For purposes of a presidential election the Commission shall-

(a) electronically transmit, in the prescribed form, the tabulated results of an election for the President from a polling

station to the constituency tallying centre and to the national tallying centre;

(b) tally and verify the results received at the national tallying centre; and

(c) publish the polling result forms on an online public portal maintained by the Commission” (The Election Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2016).

48 Hours deadline to Declare Presidential Election Results:

Section 12: 39.2 “The Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission shall, within a period of forty-eight hours from the date of the service of a presidential election petition, submit to the Supreme Court certified copies of the documents used to declare the results of the presidential election, including the forms used to announce the results of the election at the polling station and the constituency tallying centre and to declare the result at the national tallying centre” (The Election Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2016).

DPP take control over investigate after the Election:

“Clause 30 of the Bill seeks to amend section 4 of the Independent Electoral Commission and Boundaries Act, 2011 to remove the investigative and prosecutorial powers previously granted to the Commission which are proposed to be exercised by the Office of the Director of Public Prosecutions” (The Election Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2016).

When you just see this pieces and not the whole law you see the possible reaches of the IEBC and the DPP to control the BVR technology that will come shortly before the General Election, as much as they have to revise the Polling Stations as the numbers of voters are getting bound and they need more manpower to secure the amounts of polling stations during the General Election. For a new Committee it must be a headache to secure enough locations to have only 500 eligible voters in an area. Just imagine districts and parts of Nairobi County that has to revise electoral borders for each Polling Station alone and this is close to coming election. This together with the electronic biometric voting data and the generated levels of ID material that can be backlogged by the IEBC; so that can be a measure for future elections, but in the first one; it’s more of validating the results as they has such a short time to deliver the declared results to the Supreme Court to be Announced.

Still, 48 hours can buy lot of time since the die is cast and the ability to start rigging the result. We should also question the change from the independent committee to the DPP to have the power to investigate and powers of prosecution of the ones breaking the Electoral Law. That means that the Jubilee has centralized it to somebody they have also nominated and has the loyalty towards the Central Government. The DPP Keriako Tobiko will now be in charge of the investigations of election petitions and look into possible frauds and rigging. Instead of the IEBC who had the ability to do so.

If these measures we’re fine and splendid, if they we’re made to make the Government to account and make sure the Jubilee, the IEBC and the citizens who should put the trust in the Government; A government making sure for free and fair election, so the right representatives are elected by the people and for the people, to represent them and make sure the needs are met for citizens who vote for these representatives. Still, now we can see that these representatives try to fix the Electoral laws so they can fix the results with sophisticated means. It is so much more insulting, how close they try to amend the electoral laws to the General Elections of 2017. It’s like President Kenyatta following the crash-courses in governance from President Museveni, as he has done the same right before, again and again. So Jubilee government we’re scrupulous for doing it now! Peace.

Kenya: IEBC – “Concerns over Development in the Electoral Enviroment” (22.12.2016)

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