Today the Independent Electoral Boundaries Commission of Kenya (IEBC) answered the Opposition Party of Coalition of Reforms and Democracy (CORD), that has since January 2016 worked for an amendments of laws to sufficiently make the Electoral Reform and the Electoral Commission to become better and more righteous; as the amendments would set more standards and specify the laws as for instance only have one voters registers and so on. That seems legitimate concern for any political party, as that would set precedence for how you can count the actual voters and hereby have certainty of the amount of voters for each polling station. That is just one example of the amendments in the constitutional amendment that the CORD had facilitated and signatures. Here is the latest statement from CORD of the 26 March of 2016 and also today’s statement from the IEBC.
CORD Statement on the 26.03.2016:
“The allegations set out in the said statement are as bizarre as they could get. It is a clear manifestation that IEBC is a joke of a commission that does not comprehend the enormity of the constitutional responsibility bestowed on it. The cavalier manner in which IEBC continues to treat the critical manner of the Okoa Kenya popular initiative to amend the constitution goes a long way to confirm our long held views that we will not go into another election with IEBC as currently constituted” (…)”At the core of this dispute, IEBC has not disclosed to anyone what register they used to verify the Okoa Kenya signatures. During the Supreme court petition in 2013, the commission had a characture of five different sets of registers which were ingnonimously endorsed by the supreme court” (…)”There is no way a collection of 1.7 million signatures from all over the county can lack a few jokers and you can’t tear out those pages without affecting the integrity of the whole collection” (…)”It is interesting that in the week preceding the announcement by IEBC some of its commissioners called the leadership of Okoa Kenya to communicate that the initiative had met the threshold and they were in the process of preparing the transmission to county assemblies. Similarly senior commission officials made a similar announcement in an engagement with county leaders at a forum in Naivasha. This was a until their favorite Siamese twin that is Jubilee knocked on their door that they started shifting goal posts” (Magaya, 2016).
IEBC Statement on the 28.03.2016:
“The Independent Electoral and Boundaries (IEBC) would like to make it clear that it did not at any point verify the authenticity of signatures presented in support of the OKOA Kenya initiative. Any mark was admitted as an intention or consent by a petitioner. The Commission did not reject a single signature because of its structure or formation. The records that were rejected were those that were not found in the voters register. Some records had signatures but without ID or passport numbers while others had just names and no other entries. The claim that IEBC could not possibly verify signatures because it did not have a repository of samples is true. It is therefore needless to belabor or fault IEBC on this matter and we could not ridicule ourselves to that extent”.
That CORD has gone the extent of the exercise of Democratic values went along to follow the constitution to get the signatures from a great amount of people that is needed for this to get through to Parliament and then voted by the Members of Parliament there through the significant amount of votes to amend the constitution.
The IEBC would by all means not accept that as that would mean the ones selected to be in the board and leadership of it would be scrutinized and questioned even more by the citizens and political parties. As the institutions who facilitate and organize the elections and secure the tallying of the votes, would surely not accept to reformed when they are ensured to keep that state as long as they have the grace of the ruling regime and ruling party.
The Ruling regime and Ruling Party of Jubilee Alliance Party (JAP) have no interest of changing the constitution as long as that gives them an edge and structure that can secure the next election in 2017. That is the reason alone why they have no interest in this juncture to change it, if so it is to change public perception on the matter and the up-coming election, as the JAP and the President Kenyatta has had enough scandals lately.
The truth of the matter will come at a later point and this is certainly a political game from both angels and the IEBC is the scapegoat either for the JAP and the CORD. The Parties cannot be embedded directly with the Electoral Commission, if so then it’s ipso facto no democratic election to come. Than the IEBC will more directly announcing the result the JAP want or the President Kenyatta wishes, that is not a great look for the ruling regime or the IEBC; except that they are loyal to the regime running the country.
Certainly the reason from the IEBC is disregarding the collection of signatures; they are directly insulting and insinuating cheating of it. And it is with common sense the CORD is saying certain pages will be badly written and conducted as the public will act a fool sometimes. That is something that the IEBC should respect and maybe counter the pages of nonsense. Still not underscore the whole picture from the CORD on the Okoa Kenya and the amendment of the Kenyan Constitution.
The proof and the validity of the IEBC can be questioned by one simple question. Why should the organizer of elections have the power to disqualify the citizen’s questions of the constitution and also disregarding the signatures? Who really think that the commission that controls and instituted elections want to change it? Why would the men and woman who has a comfortable job make it harder? Why want the JAP change the laws when they help them to stay in power?
When you can answer those questions and have the results of them. Then you can see my reasoning for why the referendum on the Constitution of Kenya is not happening. Because the IEBC has no reason to change it, and the ruling regime has the same agenda. Except that the JAP also want to look decent for the citizens and the pundits. IEBC works on accord with the Parliament and the Government, so if the laws changes then they will work differently. The Opposition is right to question the IEBC and their technical and operational work for the elections held. But they should not easy dismiss the wishes to reform the work and electoral laws, as they might be insufficient and missing vital structure to procure viable and trustworthy elections. As long as the can be more than one voters register, you can one which is the one they use and which one is the official. That is something that the IEBC should not have issues with. As long as there are more than one list out, means that there are more possibility to fix the results wished at any given time, as the polling stations can have different amount of total voters depending on which list that the IEBC uses. That gives the them the opportunity to rig the election as they please, instead of having a unified and one single register of voters that can be checked after the announcement and preliminary results from each polling station. You smell me? Peace.
Magaya, Norman – ‘Press Release on the OKOA Kenya initiative’ (26.03.2016) link: http://tupashe.com/railas-cord-releases-explosive-brief-giving-conditions-before-facing-uhuru-in-2017/
On 7th March 2016, the people of Kericho County came out to exercise their democratic right of electing their Senator. However, contrary to their expectations and to the dismay of the entire country, the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) deliberately abdicated its duty and failed to oversee the exercise to ensure it was free, fair and transparent as is required by the Constitution of Kenya and the Elections Act.
We have since established, on expert authority, that the Kericho by-election results were manipulated to favour the JAP candidate against his KANU opponent.
The most incriminating evidence that points to manipulation of results is a mathematical formula which we have cracked with the help of statisticians who have been studying the pattern of results as they were being transmitted live.
A Geometric Progression formula was used by JAP to generate data through a computer programme so that at any given time during the tallying exercise, the JAP candidates votes were constantly double those of the KANU candidate.
In essence, what those who manipulated the results did amounted to a controlled experiment such that, for every genuine vote that the KANU candidate received, the manipulation system awarded the JAP candidate one and half votes.
Cumulatively, the thousands of half votes that the system awarded the JAP candidate would be added up to make round figures of full votes thus bringing about the 109,358 votes that the JAP candidate was announced to have received and declared the winner.
Now, all of us know that there are no half-votes in real life, but this is only possible in computer-aided data generation through Geometric Progression and sequencing.
The table below, generated from live transmission on TV stations, gives a clear picture of the way the formula was applied to ensure the Jubilee candidate won the election by a pre-determined margin.
(Table on the photo)
The import of this formula is that certain amount of votes fairly garnered by the KANU candidate were migrated through the formula to the JAP candidate thereby giving him overwhelming numbers against the KANU candidate in an obviously fraudulent manner. In our scrutiny, we also observed that most of the form 35A given to some agents at the polling centers were pre-filled by the election officials before being distributed to the respective polling centers.
This is confirmed by the fact that there are glaring similarities of the hand writings in the Form 35A which we were able to lump together. This was confirmed by a handwriting expert. We noted that the results transmitted by IEBC did not indicate the respective polling stations as is the norm. Kenyans were shocked to see tallied and lumped-up results being transmitted without indicating which polling stations they were coming from. The simple explanation for this is that those results were NOT coming from real polling stations in Kericho but were coming from a command center far away from Kericho.
The claim by IEBC that the transmission system failed because of poor internet connectivity is unacceptable because enough of taxpayers money was allocated to IEBC for the exercise to be done effectively. We are also baffled by the speed with which the tallying exercise was carried out in which more than 400 polling centers had already been relayed by 7:30PM!
In previous by-elections such as Makueni, Bungoma and Homa Bay, results were known the following day after voters had gone to the polls. In this regard, it was a monumental contradiction on the part of IEBC that on one hand the internet connectivity was poor and therefore the process was slow, but on the other hand 100 percent of the transmission exercise had been completed by 10pm!
For these fundamental reasons, we as KANU and our campaign team declare that the Kericho by-election was rigged and IEBC was totally compromised and complacent to save face for some senior politician in the region.
From our audit and expert analysis, the KANU candidate Paul Sang garnered 126,493 and Aaron Cheruiyot of JAP got 38,162. The rest of the candidates garnered a combined vote 2,510.
Therefore, Kericho County has two Senators. One a numeric system generated Senator in the name of Aaron Cheruiyot, and the peoples Senator, Paul Sang.
That notwithstanding, we wish to thank the people of Kericho County for their warm welcome, support and encouragement during the entire period of our campaign. We particularly note that at every political rally that we attended, people turned out in their thousands out of their own free will. We salute them for embracing the spirit of democracy and showing the desire to listen to the alternative voice. We are proud that you elected Paul Sang.
Hon. Nick Salat
Secretary General KANU.