Brexit: Will the Tories tap-out the Bottled Water Industry?

The UK currently has 86 recognised sources which can be used to bottle mineral water and they are located in 61 locations across the country, from St Ives in Cornwall to the remote Northmaven peninsula in the Shetland Islands. Although it is difficult to find out how much this type of bottled water is worth in the UK, it is estimated that the total worth of the sector is £2.7 billion” (Alexandre Nobajas – ‘HOW BREXIT COULD DRAIN BRITAIN’S BOTTLED MINERAL WATER INDUSTRY DRY’ 21.02.2021, Keely University).

The recent letter from 14 Members of Parliament from the Tories are really telling. They have over the weekend on the 27th February 2021 prosed a “Bottled Water” Ban across the Channel. Do a trade-war-esque move. They sent this to Lord Frost, the newly appointed Brexit Minister and Chief Negotiator with the European Union. It is deliberate act to show some force in concern with the hurting shellfish industry.

However, the United Kingdom and Tories could easily see the ramification of leaving the EU. They could have studied and known what happens to trading parties who becomes a third country. What happens to certain industries and how these operates in concern to Brussels. Still, the Tories didn’t think of this, even if they were warned by industry ahead of the withdrawal. Because, the principals was more important than the reality on the ground.

The same is here with the Water Bottle Industry too. The Mineral Water and Distilled Water will hurt a billion pound industry. A industry with mostly rural bottlers will be hit by this. Just like rural producers and fisheries who made shellfish. If the Tories block EU Bottle Water like Evian. Who believes Brussels will care about bottled water from Scotland or Wales?

They will be banned entry too. The EU will not allow their own industries has a disadvantage. The member-states will not allow bottles entering from Wales to compete with French bottled waters in the Netherlands, but not being allowed to sell bottled water in London. That will not happen and the EU will strike back at London.

Therefore, if Lord Frost and the Tories are doing this. Then they will put the smaller bottlers dry. These who sells a lot of their stocks of bottled water to Europe will loose their profits and possible export market. That is just the reality here.

The European counterparts has a huge market to survive in anyway. They can compete there and get it through all of their member-states. The European Common-market is big enough for the producers. Yes, it is a loss to not sell in the UK, but that will not damage the bottled water industry at such an extent.

The rural bottlers in the UK will most likely have much more to loose, than the European exporters to the UK. Even if the Tories believes differently… the EU will not change their common-market rules and the UK as a third country have to comply. The bottled water industry is yet another looser, if the UK pulls this stunt.

The bottlers in Scotland and Wales will loose vital markets and the Tories will destroy another industry. That will make these water-wells run dry. If not they have to make the British drink more bottled water, instead of drinking it directly from the tap. Peace.

Brexit: The Tories knew shellfish exports would be troublesome

Deepdock director James Wilson said that the consequences of this are that when the UK leaves the EU, we become a third country, and so are no longer considered to be immediately compliant with single-market requirements. The single-market issue – part of the suite of so-called non-tariff barriers to future trade – is likely to be the largest disruptive influence on the flow of trade from the UK into the EU” (…) “He said they had been concerned since the referendum result, and had engaged with the UK and Welsh governments throughout this period. They had expressed concern to the Welsh government, DEFRA and the Food Standards Agency (FSA) many times, but had been told, “It will be fine.” The administrations finally acknowledged that there was a problem more than a week after the original 29 March Brexit deadline. “We were floored by the news,” said James Wilson” (Tim Oliver – ‘EU mussel exports threat’ 20.05.2019, Fishing News).

The Conservative Party and Her Majesties Government in London seems baffled. They seems rattled and shocked that the Brexit has consequences. It seems like they thought it would be easier and less hurdles. However, with the Withdrawal Agreement and Trade Agreement in place. They are out of the Single Market with the European Union (EU) and that affects trading between the UK and the EU.

Now, that the fish is rotting from the head. We are now just over a month into the new game-changer. The lovely days of being a Third Country. The effects and touches of being outside is happening. The businesses are being touched and the exporters are feeling a whiff of new paperwork to issue before sending cargo across borders. The UK exporting businesses has been hit and non other then the fisheries.

The Fisheries which was so important. One part of the fisheries are the fish-farms and the ones selling shellfish or mussels. These are being transported fresh or frozen from rural areas across the UK to the European Union (EU). That was being done for years, but things changed when the UK turned into a “third country” as there are new obstacles for this industry as a whole. When you go into “Online Trade Tariff” on GOV.UK you can check the various of mussels, but there is no export measure between the markets in place of 8th February 2021.

That is why its really outrageous that Tories think they could be selfish and not follow their trading partners standards, which is pre-fixed with their agreement. That seems lost on the likes of George Eustice and the Tories who blames the EU for having regulations for “Third Country” nations. Alas, a worry that they was warned about from the producers, which they told “it will be fine”. Which by today is proven it is not.

Paul Armstrong reports: “A leaked email to the website Politics Home showed that The European Commission last month wrote to the UK shellfish industry informing it that un-purified oysters, mussels, clams, cockles and scallops caught in those waters were banned from the EU indefinitely since the UK left the Brexit transition period on New Year’s Eve” (…) “Martin Laity director of Sailor’s Creek Shellfish in Flushing says the news sounds the death knell for his business and the 52 fishermen and women he had to lay off over at the beginning of the year because of Brexit” (Paul Armstrong – ‘Oyster fisherman Fal Estuary EU shellfish ban’ 07.02.2021, Failmouth Packet).

The businesses is already hurting and its proven to be so. The EU isn’t selfish… but the UK wasn’t ready for the boundaries of the shellfish. The UK should have been prepared for the obstacles and the issues with becoming a “third country”. They are not apart of the single market anymore and has to comply to other rules. That is the reality of it all.

The UK is now a fish out of water. It is really struggling to comprehend the new reality and thinking they are special. However, the UK have to follow the regulations and standards, which is now operative from 1st January 2021. It seems like they thought things would be like before. Nevertheless, they had the warnings… but they didn’t listen to the industry itself.

The Tories knew and they was getting words from the industry. Still they didn’t comply or consider the implications of the Brexit. Now its a reality … and the shellfish is rotting in the port. Because of the arrogance of Whitehall and the Tories itself. Who knew that this could happen, but now want to through a hissy fit at the European Commission for not preparing properly for the shellfish industry. That is why they in a sea of trouble…. Peace.

Opinion: UK – Why be apart of Europe (EU) when the water is bluer in the Pacific (CPTPP)?

The United Kingdom is really a special breed and the Tories leadership is something else. After all the years of tussling and muffling the transition and the negotiations with the European Union (EU). Which be recent reports will be a steady affair for 50 years. The government of United Kingdom (UK) have now opted for a new “union” or Free-Trade Agreement.

The UK had the most beneficial and biggest trade deal with the common market in the European Union with all of its member states and EEA. However, that has been dismissed, as they have the new Withdrawal Agreement and non-membership, which was so important for the Tories to set in action. They wanted to get out so they could have their own agreements, deals and not be bound by Brussels. However, the ending of common market with the EU have caused its trouble. There are problems with logistics, forms and declarations of produce/products across from Europe to the United Kingdom. Still, in the midst of that.

The Tories have a new idea. The Tories are joining the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). Where the negotiations are starting this year to be a part of the Free Trade Agreement between 11 nations. These are: Australia, Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam.

Clearly, the UK ditched the simple trading across the bay. Instead of getting things to the Low Countries, France and Italy. Heck even Germany, Polen and the Czech Republic. Why not try to send Yorkshire tea easier to the Kingdom of Brunei?

By all means, any trade deal is a good deal for a nation. However, every nation and every kingdom tends to trade most with their neighbours. That is a historical fact for most nations. They tend to have most common with the nations right beside it. Surely, it is should be easier to sell something from London to Dublin. Instead in this case it will be easier sell something from Bristol to Auckland and that is insane. But, that is the Tories in a nutshell.

It is nuts and bonkers that the ones screaming to leave one thing is signing up this quickly. That they are moving over to another project that easily. Yes, there might be less stings attached, but on the other hand. The UK had a good hand, but they spoilt it by leaving. The Tories and the UK could have had more influence and used their buying power in the Union, but instead they couldn’t care less.

Now, they rather go on the deep dive in the pacific. Instead of just across the British channel. That is just weird. That say it all about the leadership in Downing Street and at Whitehall. That they have these ideas and think it can ease the pain. Yes, they will get sales and get trading going on in the pacific. However, how will that be substantial in comparison to what you used to have with the European Union?

It is not like these sort of arrangements and logistically is easily accessible. The CPTPP will be a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) but at what cost?

The EU have by comparison 43% of the World Trade. While the CPTPP have 14% of it. Yes, it is a substantial part of the world trade in the CPTPP. Nevertheless, the UK haven’t shot the silver bullet here. It is like they just trying to patch the hurt and make it sound splendid. Even though deep down… they know they lost out of chance of a lifetime and they are afraid of turning back.

That is why the deep blue sea of the Pacific seems so refreshing compared to crossing over the familiar channel from Folkestone to Calais. Peace.

Brexit: Rees-Mogg’s Red Herring

Key thing is we’ve got our fish back. They’re now British fish and they’re better and happier fish for it”Jacob Rees-Mogg MP (14.01.2021)

Today in Parliament, the Tories and especially Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg got on the defensive. As the Tories and the whole United Kingdom is starting to feel the effects of leaving the European Union (EU) and the hurdles the new Withdrawal Agreement puts in place. All these significant hurdles are passed onto the consumer and the exporters. The ones that was promised less red-tape and more “control”. Alas, that was all a lie from the Brexiteers, as they call it fear-mongering.

However, in the month of January, only mere weeks into the Brexit finalization and becoming a third country. The businesses, the fisheries and other companies are feeling the “new normal”. Already on the 7th January 2021 Seafood Scotland came out with a statement saying: “Scottish seafood exporters hit by a ‘perfect storm’. Where they explained it further: “It problems in France meant consignments were diverted from Boulogne sur Mer to Dunkirk, which was unprepared as it wasn’t supposed to be at export frontline”. The organization continues to say: “In a very short time we could see the destruction of a centuries old market which contributes significantly to the Scottish economy”.

So, just by wording a few sentences from Seafood Scotland. The fish doesn’t seem more happy by becoming pure “British”. I am sure that the Tories is having a “Finding Nemo” moment. As the lies and deception isn’t helping the fishing industry nor their new trouble to get seafood exported. The government wasn’t prepared for the new form of export and neither the possible cost. Therefore, the British seafood either got dumped or destroyed before it got to the European markets.

The Tories and Rees-Mogg can act a fool. However, he should stop the red herring. He knows perfectly well that the government released nearly right before the Agreement went into play on the 1st January 2021. They released new guidelines and proved how businesses could operate with examples on the 31st December 2020. So, it was not like the Seafood Industry was prepared and neither was the state.

Yes, you have gotten the fish back, but what value does it add if it ends up in the bin and not somebody’s table? That is waste and destruction of good wholesome produce, which is destroyed by some red-tape, which this government through agreements have made. Therefore, Brexit is causing more harm and more troubles then the industry could foresee. They we’re not warned in time and neither did the Tories give additional training to its border officers to secure every consignment.

That is why the statement of Rees-Mogg shows his arrogance, as he will not take responsibility for the damage caused. He wants to put a British Flag on the Fish, but he will not make sure it becomes Fish and Chips. No, he wants fish dead out of whatever and sing the national anthem to it. That is foolish and so is his pride. Instead, of taking accountability and finding measures. He wants patriotism to save the fish. That is really ridiculous and shows that his a proper hob-nob.

The Tories didn’t care about the fisheries or the fishing industry. They just used them as tool for their ends. That is why it’s not biting now and the fishermen isn’t catching a break. No, they are catching their fish and preparing it for shipment, but the government isn’t giving them the tools to secure the vessel to next port. No, they either blocking it or standing them at sea with nowhere to go. That is the sick reality here.

Maybe, the Scots to package the fish in the Union Jack and send the rotting fish directly to Rees-Mogg office. So, he could taste and smell his own medicine. The side-product of his politicking together with fellow Brexiteers. As his not personally hit by this, but him and others created the ‘Perfect Storm’. Therefore, he as one of the responsible for it. That he should taste some of the “British Fish” who got lost in red-tape and is now ready for a landfill. Peace.

Brexit: Scottish seafood exporters hit by ‘perfect storm’ of Brexit disruption (07.01.2021)

Brexit: UK as a Third County have a new customs regime [and it has consequences for trading too]

The United Kingdom government unleashed the case studies for Border Operating Model for Controlled Goods. Meaning all sort of goods that is going from one trading block to another one. One type of goods going from one customs union to another. Now that from today… the United Kingdom is separated from the European Union. There is whole new levels of red-tape.

The leaflet called ‘ The GB/EU Border – Case Studies – The Border with the European Union’ made by the Border and Protocol Delivery Group. This came out yesterday on the 31st December 2020 and would be valid from 1st January 2021. The government little to no time to prepare the various of industries, exporters or importers of the new factors. Neither party could be prepared for this. As companies on both sides of the Channel couldn’t be prepared for all of this.

Either industry will have their needed paperwork. As the ones importing/exporting have to ensure that the hauliers, exporter and importer are all working together to secure the whole process.

The main deal now is that the ones doing these sort of businesses are:

GB EORI number

EU EORI number (if you are conducting any EU customs processes)

Customs declarations for both imports and exports

UK and EU safety and security declarations

Rules of Origin (the FTA confirms that no tariffs or quotas will apply on goods that qualify)

Sanitary and phytosanitary controls

International convention requirements – such as those under the Common Transit Convention (CTC)

If that sounds easy… it is not. The new system is very hectic and a new bureaucracy to follow. The ones moving goods and transporting it. They have a new world to live and abide by. The expenses of this additional steps will be put on the consumer and the citizens themselves. There will also be less trading between the parties. As the ones who can avoid these steps and trade within the European Union will do so as well. While the ones who has too. Got to sweeten the deals to become viable. Especially trading from the UK into EU. The ones from EU to UK will be more pricey, as the hauliers and importers needs bigger margins to cover the costs of importing.

For instance before the Whiskey has left Scotland and gotten to Brussels it got 12 steps to get there. Where all the various of entities along the way needs the right paperwork to get processed to be allowed to enter and do the initial trade of the whiskey itself. Not only does the EU importer needs to have the right documentation and secure the right paperwork. So does the trader within the UK. These both needs to certify and secure the documentation. So, that the transporter and freight Company is secured. Also ensure that process is righteous before a carrier oversees the discharge from the UK market into the EU. This is an transaction where both ports of entry have to be signed off. That means the port of departure and entry needs to verified before importer of Scotch Whiskey can get its order in Brussels. This here will make it more costly and a hassle to import it.

If the Brexiteers and the ones supporting the enterprise promised less red-tape. This whole case study leaflet proves them otherwise. Every single industry and exporters has much more hassle and paperwork to fix. The same the ones importing from Europe. This will all be stressing and cause delay of goods transferred between the parties in question.

It is just a matter of time before the Brexiteers feels this. Especially, the ones who promised seemingly no consequences what so ever for leaving the EU. Peace.

Brexit: The European Research Group’s Legal Advisory Committee – Opinion on the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement (29.12.2020)

Brexit: So long, and Thanks for All the Fish

Well, Douglas Adams didn’t write this piece. Neither was this hitch-hiking in a galaxy far-far away with a towel. However, it has been a long journey from the referendum to re-issued elections. Changes of Prime Minister’s and a whole lot of organizational mess. So many sackings and letters of resignations. The whole Brexit will go down as a hectic blunder and mess.

The Tories and Boris Johnson can claim victory yesterday. The Prime Minister got too. Because this is all he has. Not like the man has a superb result or anything. The disputed withdrawal agreement of the past versus this one will be icky subject no matter what. The Brexiteers got their will, but maybe not considering the costs. The bills and the extra payments on everything will be billed to the ones who voted this thing. The businesses and the enterprises trading will forfeit that burden on the consumer i.e. the citizens.

The wealthy will not feel so touched by this. The global funds and banks have already moved. Even the ones owned by Tory officials and Tory MPs. These have moved the HQ to Dublin or Frankfurt way before the deal was settled yesterday. They wouldn’t risk losing profits or having EU Single Market to trade in.

The UK are still part of the market with a shoddy trade deal. They have lost all the perks of being a member state. The UK is a Third Country and will be that from now on. Not having benefits or having access as before. There will be more red-tape, more customs issues and standards to figure out.

The UK will really be hit, as the European Commission stated yesterday even with their agreement: “Even with the new EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement in place, there will be big changes on 1 January 2021. On that date, the UK will leave the EU Single Market and Customs Union, as well as all EU policies and international agreements. The free movement of persons, goods, services and capital between the UK and the EU will end. The EU and the UK will form two separate markets; two distinct regulatory and legal spaces. This will create barriers to trade in goods and services and to cross-border mobility and exchanges that do not exist today – in both directions” (European Commission, 24.12.2020).

So, the oven-baked deal and ready set cooking offering of the Tories was never there. Still, to this day there will be an aftermath and effects, which both parties wasn’t prepared for. The promises and pledges of an easy transition was a lie. If it was that easy. It wouldn’t have costed the UK so much already.

Boris celebrating yesterday is because he has too. The publicity stunt of a victory have to look like that. The political gambit of the whole enterprise lives on it. Not like the Brexit will deliver anything substantial in the end. Only more costs and more problems for all. These changes will cause logistical problems, bottle-necks and lorries awaiting their turn in Kent. That is just how things are going and not for the better. Not like Boris is out there ensuring the care or paperwork is prepared for all exports or imports to the UK. No, his enjoy the spoils of his previous victory in Downing Street No. 10.

And you know the UK want to be alone, when the European Commission stated this as well: “Foreign policy, external security and defence cooperation is not covered by the Agreement as the UK did not want to negotiate this matter. As of 1 January 2021, there will therefore be no framework in place between the UK and the EU to develop and coordinate joint responses to foreign policy challenges, for instance the imposition of sanctions on third country nationals or economies” (European Commission, 24.12.2020).

The UK want to do everything on their own as a sovereign. Why bother have alliances or agreements that can be beneficial for all the neighbours and European nations in the first place? When you can solve everything and all threats alone. That is what the Tories are working for and doing. They clearly thinks Whitehall, Downing Street and City of London can cruise on its own without help. That says a lot. They didn’t even want to negotiate or talk about it. As it could be of mutual interests to be partners and co-operate on international security and intelligence. However, the MI-6, MI-5 and Scotland Yard is clearly more operative than the 27 Member States combined.

This shows how some principals are bonkers. The ideal of sovereign is self-destructive. At one point the UK will call for their friends in Europe and seek for co-operation on these matters. Now it seems like a time to cease. However, when the buck stops and they need friends. They will call Brussels and Paris for help. Now it seems like bad timing as they are leaving the EU. However, these sorts of things only make the UK fragile and less measures to secure itself. The needs for cooperation on these matters are vital for all. Therefore, very striking that they wouldn’t even consider it.

Prime Minister Johnson lives on his own hubris. That is shown again. Boris the Blade is back-at-it. A red herring and NHS to the rescue. The UK should expect more austerity and lack of financial growth for the foreseeable future. An self-inflicted recession on top of nationalism, which only will back-fire. Because, the poorest will be further hit and have even less options. While the rich finds new ways to trick the system. That is just the way of the Tories. Peace.

European Commission: Press Release – Relations with the UK: Commission proposes targeted contingency measures to prepare for possible “no-deal” scenario (10.12.2020)

Brexit: A place where nobody is winning

Holy mother of God what a mess it has been. Ever since the champagne at the beginning. The empty shallow promises and the ones sneering at the ones who dared to question the nay-sayers. Hell, there been some battles, some people resigning and three Prime Ministers. Also a whole dozens of changes to the cabinet from time to time.

Brexit, the gift that continues to give or the curse that continuing cursing. Well, this isn’t over yet. Even though it is close. No matter what happens. Everyone is losing. The United Kingdom has already lost leverage and lost markets. Companies have already fled, some on paper and others shifting production. While the same companies will re-sell their products on a later date in the United Kingdom.

The exporters and importers from the UK will have new hurdles, procedures and possible costs for every transaction and every product shipped. The UK will meet new requirements and be a “third country”. That will benefit a very chosen few, but the rest will get more expensive products. Also, extend the length and time at customs. The free-flow of goods and people will stop. Not be like its today. Therefore, the oven-baked deal isn’t that baked and ready for supper.

United Kingdom is not only hurting remainers, but Brexiteers alike. They are all hurt. These folks will struggle with the ideals of a United Ireland. Northern Ireland will be in a limbo. Gibraltar will get closer to Spain. Scotland want another referendum to be free from United Kingdom. So the Scots can rejoin EU. There is a whole bag of trouble.

Not to mention the Welsh industry and exports will be hit too. Not only hurt the financial sector in London. They have already felt the pain of funds, banks and others shifting to Dublin and elsewhere in the years after the referendum.

Therefore, the UK has lost before they even entered the finish-line. Auto-mobile industry with Honda and others have already cried out loud, but to no a-wail. The same has the steel industry with Tata in Wales. No, the HM Government is to proud to listen to the ones that actually employees people. Rather give a win to the radical right and the Brexiteers. Than actually help the ones who can feed you. The industrial juggernauts who has capacity and ability to read the room.

Boris Johnson rather risk it all for a cheap trick. A “No-Deal” will only sound smooth to a chosen few. To the ones who are staunch critics of Brussels. However, a no deal will hurt the bottom-line and make it a longer process for a Free-Trade Agreement with the EU. The biggest market of goods for the UK. This is why it’s foolish to risk it, but London clearly have more flex than brains of late. Just like Geordie Shore participants. A lot of tan, but not a lot wise-guys. Only the smug pricks whose arrogance cannot stomach an ordinary pay-check or live-hand-to-mouth.

This PM and Cabinet should live a few months on Benefit Street and seen the hardships for the ones falling behind and not participating in the growth for the elites. Then they might seen other policies and not just cutting back on the state. As they are preparing assaulting the state even more, by forcing a reckless falling out and not reaching a deal. Just to prove their balls to the public.

That is what the Tories are up too and in the mix of it. Just blame the EU and Brussels for making to hard of a bargain. That they couldn’t swallow it or feel they lost to much. Still, they are willing to loose even more. Just to suck it up for their pride as they are leaving the Union. Hoping the Union of UK isn’t being hit at the same time… well… it is … we just don’t know when that will start and the new fragmentation will go on.

Just like when you open one door into the unknown. You never know what is on the other side. It might be paradise or the living hell. It might be opportunities or challenges. Whatever the Brexit opened. It wasn’t better governance or betterment of the UK. No it was self-destruction mode. Piece by piece. Peace.

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