“A referrendum does not need to cost more than Sh2 billion ,so we should not be told, we have no money, there is no money to do, we can teach Chebukati how to do it so we have everything needed for a country to do a referendum, we will do it before the next General election” (…) “It is not the desire for anyone to make it any more difficult and costly than it is, a referendum doesn’t have to cost billions” (…) “The purpose of the BBI is to have a free and fair election and that no Kenyan blood is shed because of an election” – Raila Odinga (Capital FM Kenya, 13.08.2020).
On 9th March 2018 President Uhuru Kenyatta and Raila Odinga made a “handshake” that turned the enemies, the two heads into a team. The Jubilee got an alliance and a friendly opposition by giving the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) a Building Bridges Initiative (BBI). Which have dropped a report in November 2019. Even if the Reported was dated back to October 2019. There was a long time rumours and speculations of what it contained. However, the propositions and the ideals of this. Is to ensure the dynasties and the political another life.
The BBI Report and the whole BBI project is a big-man game. This is not to ensure the wrongs within the 2010 Constitution. This sort of journey has been to ensure relevance of Odinga. Also, buy Kenyatta freedom to do whatever, as he can use the BBI as a bargain chip. Since, he knows Odinga will not trade that away over a vote or a policy in Parliament. This is why Kenyatta have won big by giving away a few shillings.
Kenyatta bought himself peace of mind. That is why he can clean the slate. He has the majority in Parliament in both houses. The President has all houses and controls the state. Kenyatta can just order, direct and push a few buttons. From there it will go his way and fix his needs.
The political gambit was over after the Fresh Presidential Elections. When Odinga and Kenyatta parleyed. These two settled their grudges. The second rigging and the systematic injustice of the vote got erased. As Odinga botched the unease and got a few tokens. He got a little trophy, got a committee and some official appointments. However, he still have very little to no power.
That is why his selling a referendum. The BBI is another OKOA. The same sort of trade-off, where they want to change the legislation and secure the next election. However, not having the powers or the opportunities to do so. It is selling the same dream. As Kenyatta will not give up the cartels, the power and the needs, which enriching himself and his closest associates.
Just like Odinga sold Canaan to his supporters. He is now trading BBI and the Referendum. Just like he did with OKOA too. Yes, the IEBC has faults, yes the rigging is there and the state has pins in it. They are ensuring the ones are picked and appointed. Kenyatta knows this and Odinga knows this too.
Still, he wasn’t kicking and screaming after the handshake. He went into another mode after the handshake. Odinga got a unofficial role and the ODM got suddenly more relevance. His now selling another OKOA, a BBI, a revised edition to make changes. Kenyatta should be grinning, because Odinga is still in 2015 and 2016. Just missing the questionable signatures and other issues that the last go round had.
Odinga better get another song to sing. He needs another message. Baba seems to be on one MO and cannot sing another anthem. Odinga should learn new tricks, but maybe that’s a bit late now? Peace.
It is proof with the support of One Shilling One Person, the motion made by the Commission on Revenue Allocation Formula for funding of the Counties in the Republic, which was voted in today. Today, President Uhuru Kenyatta knows who has bought for little. This being Raila Odinga and his Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka and his Wiper Democratic Movement (WDM).
We are now seeing how easily the President can get his way. Why? Well, the President doesn’t have a real opposition. Maybe after the next election there might be some. However, right now, he can pound the people and make them sing. They will dance to the tune of the President and his will.
Odinga is doing this for one reason: BBI.
All things goes back to prestige of a non-starter project with no proof or not actual needs in the Republic. It is the sort of phantom of the Opera and awaiting dancing in the dark. That he goes against his own governors in Coast and Northern parts of the Republic.
It is easy to see this is giving more funds tot he Central Region Counties. This is benefiting Mount Kenya and the populated areas. This is not helping the regions who has been lagging behind. It will ensure the devolution agenda fails. Yes, there are harder to get proof of spending in the counties, but now they have lesser ability to develop or even make a difference. Since, it will only benefit the counties who has the most people.
Turkana county will be hurt by this. That is easy to see, while other ones will suddenly have the feeling of printing money. While others suddenly having quickly emptied after the vote. The corrupt officials will steal, if it is more there or less. However, if you fill the funds of the other counties. There should be expectations that others will have more and they indulge in that wealth. While the others have to use scraps to develop and run their counties.
Remember that all of this was done to save useless and hopeless BBI. This is counter intuitive of the devolution. As Constitution of 2010 and other legislation has been to help the marginalized. However, the third revenue allocation formula is going against that.
Still, the BBI is alive, the devolution betrayed and the marginalized thrown to the wind. They have their own luck, because the ones in power doesn’t care. The Counties are left behind and they will be further left behind by this.
There is no winners here, except for the allies of the President and his associates. The state is supposed to redistribute wealth. Instead, they letting the rich be richer, and the poor getting poorer. That is surely how this is ending and the betrayal is clear.
All done for the simplest of reasons … to save grace of the grand prestige of BBI. That is the cost of this. All for a mushy handshake and done in a manner, which are leaving people behind.
BBI is clearly worth trading anything for. I am sure the ODM can sell snake-oil for it. Even when there is no proof of what it does and delivers. Except for giving checks and envelopes to keep Odinga and allies preoccupied.
That is why he could sell the marginalized counties on the alter of the BBI. That is the reality. Peace.
The Building Bridge Initiative for National Unity Task Force, who has gotten appointed twice and made the opposition party Orange Democratic Movement semi-governmental party and in alliance with the President. Kenyatta and Odinga made peace with the handshake. They bought time, especially the President bought time. He has secured to disfranchise all opposition and destroy NASA.
Kenyatta won first the legitimacy buy trading some titles and shillings the way of Odinga. Just giving him a sort of semi-government agency and task-force. Which is neither mandated nor within the Big Four Programme. However, it is a political buyout and it has paid off.
Kenyatta have had the opportunity to purge on the ones whose not been real. He has impeached and gotten rid of disloyal within own ranks. He has resolved the ones who are there for the Deputy President and put in his own people in the same roles. The Tanga Tanga part of Jubilee have become more an opposition, than the supposed opposition parties itself.
The ODM could have done the same as KANU. Just signed a coalition deal, which it sort of did with the BBI. The BBI was a very cheap deal for the President. He have given small tokens and carrots. Promises of empty pledges, but getting everything his way. Because, Odinga will not dissolve this and loose the BBI. That is his baby, even if it never grows old.
Odinga cannot loose BBI now. His synonymous with it after leaving Canaan behind. Raila aka Baba decided to do so for own personal gains. It is not like the BBI Report have delivered anything. Not like any or the BBI rallies have served the public and not like the ODM have touched the IEBC.
No, Odinga is not winning and his only a bargain chip politically. He sold his charisma and his stances for the BBI. Kenyatta have both Moi, Kalonzo and Odinga in his pocket. Secondly, his weakening the Tanga Tanga and Ruto along the way. It is just like all pieces of the puzzle is just buzzing around and wondering what is the next move of Uhuru.
Uhuru is allowed to do everything. He gives small pieces of silver and gets gold. He did a handshake and bought himself all the time in the world. Odinga got a became a sort of high ranking official, but really his not. Because, if his not loyal to the President. He might just disband the BBI and then his totally lost.
He then got a minority in the Parliament and in the Counties. The man doesn’t have the power or the reach. Baba is supposed to be so smart, but with BBI have been played. His neither here nor there. He will not win and it is just a matter of fact at this point. Odinga will not say that, neither will his party. However, everyone with a working mind will see that.
This was all just a winning stroke of the pen for the President. He gave, little to nothing and gave himself time. No real opposition, paid of the ones kicking and screaming. Got rid of the ones who could make him look weak or questioned in Parliament. Even ensure the ODM would play ball to save their prestige. Clearly, that is working and time for 2022 is ticking.
ODM and KANU are in the same battle, they are both in coalition with Kenyatta. They are both the same sort of entangled twin. While ODM is supposed to be opposition, KANU is a government party. While Kalonzo tags along and the saga continues.
The only winner here is Uhuru. He got everyone for bargains, while he can do his schemes without any issues. Lives moves on and the power corrupts. Nothing new under the sun, only more ways for the President to get everyone dancing to his tune. Peace.