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Archive for the tag “Brexit Referendum”

Brexit: Possible breaches of Campaign Laws for the ‘Vote Leave’ and ‘BeLeave’ within the Cambridge Analytica sphere!

On the 13th April, the British Parliament published their Legal Opinion on the ‘Vote Leave’ or Brexit Campaigns that was connected to the Cambridge Analytica, Aggregate IQ Data Services Ltd (AIQ) and others. This is was a specific plan that was hired to secure the well-funded campaigns and strategies to get the result they wanted. This companies was hired by all parties that matters in the wish to leave the European Union (EU). This was the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), United Kingdom Independent Party (UKIP) and even the Conservative Party (Tories). All of them has paid for services within these companies. Therefore, the investigation will reveal how they operated.

The Cambridge Analytica and AIQ was sophisticated measures of forcing their messages to the public. Where even the consultants wasn’t working separately from each other. What is also seen is these campaign officials are now part of the advisers of the Prime Minister, these being Stephen Parkinson and Cleo Watson, who both has prominent roles within the Downing Street. What is striking is how these officials was part of the ‘Vote Leave’, while the separate campaign ‘BeLeave’ run from the same offices wasn’t stopped. If this wasn’t done misuse power and also manpower, what isn’t?

So this mismatch of organization, combined with the setting, shows how they we’re not truthful of the information and the spreading of information within the structure. Neither, was the collections of personal information and the analyzes used to hit the regions that could be swayed for the Brexit. This was specialized tactics and also moving in ways that was not following British Campaign laws.

You know that is all operated together with a flinch of evidence, it couldn’t be more blatant:

We have seen screenshots relating to BeLeave’s shared drive within Vote Leave’s Google Drive space, which, according to J, was administered by Victoria Woodcock, Vote Leave’s Chief Operating Officer. On 10 March J was invited by Mr Grimes to join the BeLeave shared drive. Many of those with access to the shared drive had Vote Leave email addresses” (Matrix Chambers, 2018).

When your sharing the same cloud space online and the same shared drive, even the emails, there is no question of how you move and how you work. You wouldn’t have shared interests and shared intelligence, if your having all digital content combined. All content was connected and therefore, they knew of each other. Therefore, they could massage the messages and use their techniques to strike the public together.

The Opinion is showing how the campaign crossed the lines of donation and personal spending, also practices of mismanagement on purpose to secure the Vote Leave didn’t earn more funds after law, therefore helping Be Leave Campaign, even as it was run from the same offices with different British Nationals running them. That Vote Leave raised more funds than the £7,000,000 pounds spend on the campaign.

We know it is serious, when the Committee of the Parliament wants more investigation into it and refers it all to the Crown Prosecution Service. Where they want all parties involved possibly prosecuted for their electoral malpractice.

That these sort of activities needs to be looked into, as we know Cambridge Analytica misused personal information from Facebook, breached privacy laws to be able to engineer results and messages for parties within the United Kingdom. They has also now worked together and made sure the BeLeave and Vote Leave misused provisions within the Electoral Law. Clearly, the UK and their parties are not as clean and democratic as they want to be.

This sort of practices and use of power within the electorate is a warning sign. How international companies and tech-companies are getting involved in digital marketing and in targeting the electorate. If the ones fighting for the EU Referendum and for the leaving the Union did this. What did the bigger parties, than the Tories and Labour? What sort of connections and digital fingerprint did they have?

This are people who are close to Theresa May at Downing Street, the stretch from power is very short. It’s like when David Cameroon hired the advisers directly from media, as the May has followed suit, but more modern than hiring from newspapers and Murdoch companies. Therefore, the ones who was part of this, should worry for their positions within the close inner-circle of the Prime Minister. This sort of legal opinion should hit the Tories hard and the PM especially. Since the ones who is advising her, was in the midst of the shady operations done by AIQ & Cambridge Analytica, as well as the BeLeave and Vote Leave circles.

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Brexit: Lord Adonis letter to Lord Hall of Birkenhead, Director-General of the BBC on its coverage of Brexit (09.04.2018)

Brexit: European Commission – “Notice to Stakeholders – Withdrawal of the United Kingdom and EU Rules on .EU Domain Names” (28.03.2018)

Brexit: PM Theresa May letter to EU President Donald Tusk (19.03.2018)

Brexit: Open Britain MPs letter to PM Theresa May on the Irish Border Question (16.03.2018)

Brexit: DEXEU Exit Analysis from January 2018 shows tragic results for the UK if they leave!

The secretive Department for Exiting the European Union (DEXEU) and Cabinet Secretary David Davis has hold a secret since January 2018, as of today the folders to ‘EU Exit Analysis Cross Whitehold Briefing’ was released online. Surely, the Conservatives and DUP must take people’s for fools, thinking these results would fly under radar and not be scrutinized. I will take certain ones from this. Just to prove how much hurt the public could get by leaving the EU. I am glad I am not British, while reading this one, but not many would have looked there if it were not for Member of Parliament, who took page by page and leaked them too.

Depending on what sort of a trade arrangement the United Kingdom gets with their partners, if it’s a EEA deal, Florence Type Arrangement and WTO Agreement with the EU. No matter what, the fall and the costs will be massive. The industries of chemicals, food and drink, clothes, manufacturing, cars and retail will be hit by the time of the exit. Certainly, like chemical industry and their percentages of loss could be between 16% and 2%. The biggest loss would be in the WTO deal, the non-deal with EU. Food and Drinks industry could lose between 10% and 2 %. Also depending on which deal. Both of these shows the massive backlash it has and how the cuts will be. Since the industries will both lose big profits and margins, which they cannot uphold by the status quo arrangements!

Those results are striking and proving how little benefit it is to leave and create a tariff border with the EU. They are really pulling efforts to make things more expensive and harder, just the tariffs alone will hurt the exports and the imports to the UK. Since the cost will be put on the consumer, and the EU trading partners might choose other cheaper produce from elsewhere. Since the tariffs on UK cheese is too high and the Swiss one cost less. The estimated tariffs on agriculture in EEA deal is zero, but the FTA is 26.1% and WTO is 26.1% and that is massive rise of prices. On Beverages, Tobacco and Food, the EEA is Zero, while the FTA is 12.7% and WTO is 12.7%. Both of these are showing the high risking prices and effects it could have on the market.

IF you believed the Tories and the campaigners that it wouldn’t be costly to move away and that the UK would earn on the leaving. You we’re duped, you were fooled and the hatred ate you. It will cost and with time it has been evident, as even the industry and the Financial Business Community is planning to flee. That will cost even more, as more jobs are fleeing to Union Financial Districts, to be sure they can trade services without having a hectic international tariffs and waivers to get it through! That is what will happen when the EU and UK departs from each other.

The new regulatory environment plus the taxations of the services after leaving will be hectic. The added pressure and the lack of movement of staff, can also hinder the will of doing business in the UK. They are really biting the hands that feeds itself. The wisdom hasn’t sunk in yet, but the numbers are bad, it will not be a smooth ride and the cost will all be put on the British and their consumers. It will not be walk in the park; it will be a steep mountain of hurt. Peace.

EU’s Draft Withdrawal Agreement solves the Irish problem with borders and trade like today!

The European Union or parts of it the European Commission has made their draft agreement on the withdrawal of United Kingdom as a Member State within the Union. This draft document will say many things, but I will focus on the ones that I see fitting and important. Therefore, this will not be the whole picture, but outtakes. That is see as significant for Europeans and the British as well. Since this will affect the realities of the citizens on the continent, as well as the boundaries it creates.

This document is significant, because it says what the EU expects of it all and puts everything into play. It set standards of what the European Commission and their technocrats wants to ensure. This is so the liabilities and the stakeholders of the Union, will know every single step and manners they perceive as important, which also should matter to the United Kingdom. Because they are the ones that is initially leaving, but it is just the matter of how. With time haven’t become clearer from their part, but more foggy as the shadow-games of the Tories Government isn’t supplying the world with clear communication of what they want or see as their future on the outside.

What is the most important piece of it is the ways the EU are cooperating with the will of the Republic of Ireland and the relationship it needs with Northern Ireland and the UK. Clearly stated in the draft is the provisions, that is clear, that the EU is not set for a hard-Brexit in this concern, as the Irish will have a special conditions and provisions, ensuring that the state of affairs stays as today. They are ensuring that the EU Draft is not in violation of the Good Friday Agreement, which shows the maturity of the EU in this sense. Now people should just worry if the UK government want to alter or change it for their own personal gain or not. Since, this is leaving the Irish problem settled and made sure they get what is needed comparing to old agreements between all parties involved.

“NOTING that Union law has provided a supporting framework to the provisions on Rights, Safeguards and Equality of Opportunity of the 1998 Agreement; UNDERLINING that part or all of this Protocol may cease to apply should a future agreement between the Union and the United Kingdom be agreed which addresses the unique circumstances on the island of Ireland, including by avoiding a hard border and protecting the 1998 Agreement in all its dimensions” (EU, P: 99, 2018).

“The United Kingdom and Ireland may continue to make arrangements between themselves relating to the movement of persons between their territories (the “Common Travel Area”), while fully respecting the rights of natural persons conferred by Union law” (…) “A common regulatory area comprising the Union and the United Kingdom in respect of Northern Ireland is hereby established. The common regulatory area shall constitute an area without internal borders in which the free movement of goods is ensured and North-South cooperation protected in accordance with this Chapter” (EU, P: 100, 2018).

This part of the agreement will hurt the Brexiteers, who want a full breakout of the EU, this will give leeway to a lot of speculations, as the ERG inside the Tories will not accept this sort of arrangement. Even if this is positive news for the EU friendly parts of the Kingdom. However, this should be seen as a victory for Dublin, as well as Belfast. Even if the DUP might not be in favour and they are vital to London these days.

This leaves and follows the agreement made not too long ago and pursuits the same arrangements as today, concerning the needs of Dublin and Belfast. We will see if this will backfire for Theresa May and her unknown project, as the inner-party of Tories is conflicted with itself and the costs of the Brexit. Clearly, the state is unsure and not bringing certainties, the EU on the other hand is showing the steps and has no issues flaunting it. While the Tories has tried to keep this inside the party and not letting anyone now. Therefore, trying to damage control, instead of deciding how to negotiate.

This is showing that the EU want to respect the Good Friday Agreement, the Irish problem of the Brexit and handling it with maturity, however, will do Tories answer with the same or are they stuck with DUP and ERG who wants to make the Brexit even harder. With strong borders and no CTA and specialized Customs Union for the Irish. Time will tell, but this was a breath of fresh air. Peace.

Reference:

European Commission Draft Withdrawal Agreement on the withdrawal of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the European Union and the European Atomic Energy Community (28.02.2018)

Brexit: Hilary Benn MP letter to David Davis – “on the urgent need for clarity about the UK’s future relationship with the EU” (21.02.2018)

Brexit: ERG Officers Letter to PM Theresa May demanding “full Brexit” (16.02.2018)

Revealed: Brexit Assessment Report has kept people in the dark – No positive results leaving the EU!

This wasn’t surprising since the hidden reports from the Department for Existing the European Union (DexEU), the Secretary David Davis and Prime Minister Theresa May wanted this hidden. Because they knew these numbers and the speculations would stop. I was expecting bad numbers, but these are serious consequences. While the campaigning for leaving seemingly like it was a pick and mix. Now the reality is there. The United Kingdom will loose out and hit the people in real way. The independence might be there, but the economy and the hardships starts when they have left. The Tories must have been worried about it, because they knew about the damage this can cause to the public. The rich will skate off to a tax-haven. If it is the British Virgin Island or Cayman Islands. Who knows, but this has been all hidden because they knew they we’re hurting themselves.

I will take the numbers crushed from Britain Stays, which has analyzed the numbers so they give a meaning. I’m not a grand fan of EU, but I don’t like people are without knowledge of the consequences of their actions. Which the politicians in the UK did to their people when they had their referendum. So the people voted blindly without knowing the possible outcome. The Brexit will cost.

First deal is the famous “No-Deal” will give an 8% lower GDP, a total of 2,800,000 jobs lost and an economy losing 156b pounds. If that isn’t dire a consequence, let me put it in perspective. Since the population numbers of UK of 2016 said there was living in Birmingham (1,200,000), Glasgow (800,000) and Leeds (760,000). So all of these major towns would be ghost-towns with no jobs. That says the possible “No-Deal”, no work for the population of cities or towns of Birmingham, Glasgow and Leeds. If that isn’t worrying, and sending you a signal of how bad it is. Then your blind to amount of people hurt by this sort of policy with the EU.

Second deal is the Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement, which means being outside the Single Market and Customs Union. It will lower the GDP with 5% and economy will go down with 99b pounds yearly. The job losses here too is significant, the numbers are estimated to be 1,750,000 jobs gone. That is like all people living in Birmingham (1,200,000), Sheffield (518,000) and Hucknall (32,000). So you cannot say this deal is good for the United Kingdom either, its better, but not all roses and candy either.

Third deal is the infamous “Soft Brexit” where the UK will be in the Single Market through the EEA, a place where UK cannot make the rules and have any say within the EU. This will damage the economy too, but less. First it will damage the GDP by 2% and loose 39bn pounds yearly. The amount of job-loss is estimated to be 700,000 jobs. To put it into perspective its the amount of people living in Bristol (617,000) and Burnley (82,000). So the losses aren’t as big, but the estimates and pain of it is still dear. Not even this one is a good idea.

Fourth deal is “Remain”, the one giving up the whole thing and continuing like it is. Where the GDP will remain at the levels it is the day and it will not have any impact on the current work market. No one will lose their jobs and prepare any ghost-towns.

Even me who is not a fan of the EU and the whole ordeal can see easily after the assessment reports that been hidden from the public on purpose. Because this is damaging information. The sort of tales that should shatter the glasses and break the pulse. Will the Tories really hurt the amounts of people combining the cities of Birmingham, Glasgow and Leeds. Is that the final destination or will they make it less costly?

These numbers should be carefully understood and put in perspective to prove the danger of Brexit. Not just think that Independence is all cool, but also that it costs. Not just for poorest, but for whole towns and cities. We can ask how much poison is the British people about to take or wanting to take? Peace.

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