Opinion: The 3 main challengers to Museveni

Today, the Electoral Commission came with a list of 19 candidates to the Presidency in 2021. The vital information there. Is not only all the parties, which doesn’t challenge the Presidency, but also the main opponents.

I will easily dismiss independent candidate Henry Tumukunde, as the NRMer he is and what he has worked on all his life. The only way he can be viable and make sense. Is if he starts to offer internal secrets and undermine the NRM with a force, which nobody has seen in the past. Alas, he wants to appointed somewhere post-election. Therefore, don’t expect him to renegade and show the truth of the ruling regime.

I also doesn’t see the independent candidates like Pastor Fred Mwesigye and Pastor Joseph Kabuleta. Kabuleta knows how to go viral online and trigger the authorities. However, he doesn’t have the political standing or ability to gain enough traction for his cause. Mwesigye will be a punchline and only use this as PR for his church.

Former Presidential Candidate Joseph Elton John Mabirizi can this time possibly take himself more serious and not be joker. He can maybe even sound more serious, but his candidacy is still a stage-dive landing bad. Former Reality Star Nancy Linda Kalembe will also not make a difference. She might get someone new interested in politics, but she will not do much in her favour.

The three candidates that makes sense in this. That has some traction of the 18 who is not Museveni. Are Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu aka Bobi Wine of the National Unity Platform (NUP), Mugisha Muntu Gregg of the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT) and Patrick Oboi Amuriat of the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). These three are the ones who are viable and have a candidacy worth a damn.

Bobi Wine is the one the state is fearing. The one the state is blocking and creating hardships for. He is the one to look at and know that he will trigger the state. No matter what he does, the NRM copies and use means to be relevant there. The Candidacy of Bobi Wine is the biggest one right now. That is why, even Justice Forum (JEEMA) have endorsed him as well.

The second after him is Mugisha Muntu (ANT) a man who has created his own party after leaving FDC. The New Formation and the party, which will reflect his moderate and meagre moves for change. Where he will negotiate and softly create a difference. This man is gaining popularity, but not as stratospheric as Bobi Wine. Muntu wanted to Besigye and now he has his first chance. However, he didn’t equate a Bobi Wine in his way.

The third one is POA of the FDC. The man of the school of Besigye. The man who doesn’t want to be rated in the same regard as Besigye. Well, when your the first one after him. Everything going to be rated after him. You are going after the big-shot and the 4 time candidate. No matter what you do. You will be questioned and people will discuss you in comparison to Besigye. POA has a mountain to walk, he is a slow-burner, but he needs a PR Team making him edible. Since, he doesn’t have the standing that Muntu nor Bobi Wine has.

Bobi Wine have everything to win here. He is aiming at the top and has a good team behind him. The NUP has shown this and the People Power Movement are growing. That is viable by just seeing the mere popularity. This is why the NUP is attacked like it is.

The FDC and POA has to get there. The FDC is still targeted and create a fuzz, but not at the levels of Bobi Wine right now. Bobi Wine is getting the Besigye treatment this time around. That is why POA needs to make himself more viable and show his face. He has internally been able to navigate and get the candidacy. However, it will be totally different in the outside world. This man has to fight with all parts to achieve something.

Muntu is so peaceful and careful. He doesn’t ruffle feathers. That is why the Muntu campaign isn’t feared by the NRM. No reason to be afraid of ANT. ANT isn’t big, neither massive or popular. They have been able to table candidates and getting traction. However, nobody with sense fears Muntu. Muntu will compromise himself and his candidacy, if he gets the option to do so. This is why he left defiance… and created his own team.

There three candidates of the opposition that will matter. These are Bobi Wine, POA and Muntu. The rest will only be hot a minute in the headlines, but forgotten quickly. If they will even get there or if not only a byline in the Daily Monitor or in the New Vision. That is the reality of it all.

There is three to watch out for and ONE who is above the two others. Bobi Wine has the grasp of things, but it depends if he plays this out perfectly. Because, he will be targeted and aimed at from everywhere. That is the truth. The two others… might want to say its differently, but deep in their hearts. They know they play second fiddle to Bobi Wine too. Peace.

Opinion: The “Scientific Elections” will unmask the brutal truth

As we are beginning the campaigns and the run-up to the elections of 2021. The reality will hit the public. We will see the truth about how the authorities and law enforcement act upon the dissidents and opposition. The regime will show it true colour and cannot act surprised. The way they do and what happens will clearly show a significant pattern. That cannot be judged on sudden reaction to an rally or a consultative meetings.

The National Resistance Movement (NRM) have before the campaigns already shown unfair the society is. As they have had the capacity to hold rallies and be in the general public. While the opposition have been blocked from radio stations and holding consultative meetings. This being the pre-equal to the General Election next year.

As well, as the same rules are allowing rallies, processions and so fourth for the aspirants of the NRM. While opposition cannot even be nominated or have a press conference without being directly arrested a hot minute after. That has happen to so many, that its total obstruction of their justice and rights to campaign.

These “Scientific elections” are supposed to be like this because of the danger of COVID-19 or Coronavirus. The pandemic that are upholding social distancing and PPE. The reality is that, we will see a double standard, which will be common. The opposition not allowed to rural radio houses and up-country. While NRM can campaign both within media houses and on the streets, The posters of opposition will be taken down. The NRM can even spread posters through Bukedde, Daily Monitor and so fourth.

The Uganda Communication Committee (UCC), Uganda Police Force (UPF) and Uganda People’s Defence Force (UPDF) will all work directly for the NRM. These will order media houses to not have opposition leaders on-air. Neither, will the UPF and the UPDF allow the opposition to greet the public. While the UCC will not block the NRM from appearing on-air and neither will law-enforcement block the NRM for greeting the public. The UPDF and UPF will walk side-by-side with the NRM aspirants.

That is why we know the game is rigged. The NRM will have all favours and always have a helping hand. The authorities and all part of the state apparatus will work for them. They are serving the NRM and not the general public. It doesn’t matter if it is DP, UPC, FDC, NUP, JEEMA or anyone else. They are troublemakers and will be hit by the state.

These elections and campaigns will not be fair. The state and all of its actors will use their mandates to put hurdles in the way of the opposition. The NRM will have a soft landing, while the others has to go on a crash-course and hope for as little damage as possible. Because, no matter what the opposition does. It will be countered and there will be resistance. The NRM will not offer any goodwill and will only cause havoc.

The NRM will use the state as their partner in crime. Every possible way to act will be punished and there will be no remorse. The state will have no sympathy and show no heart. They will not condone and not beg for forgiveness. That is because, the NRM and the state believes you where stupid to challenge it and to stand up against it. You were supposed to be blind and submissive.

The NRM will have all the perks, all the opportunities, while they will undermine and mock the opposition for their troubles. The NRM wouldn’t be able to run, if they had the same hectic mess the opposition has. The NRM would malfunction and be on self-destruction, if they met the same obstacles, which it serves all opposition. They are used to have no way, while the NRM has the big high-way and a free way of opportunities. That is a luxury, which nobody else have. This is why the “Scientific Elections” only will amplify this and expose this rotten game. Which is rotten from the head to the grassroots. A system blessed from “high above” to the lowest civil servant. Peace.

Opinion: Independent aspirants hoping for a Second Round K.O.

There is some who says its a democratic deficiencies to have Independent candidates for Parliament and elsewhere. I differ on that, but it does have consequences. The Independent candidates or aspirants are in more tighter races fighting for the same electorate as the one who one the primary election. Some, are the same, which ironically who didn’t vote for you in the first place.

The Independents who run as Independents all along is different. They have decided to run on their own merit and stand alone. Instead of abiding by a party or even nominating themselves there. That is always a risk. A candidate is most likely never running alone for the office. There would be others vying for it and in any competition. There is some winners and some losers. Which is the reasons why the party losers have turned independents.

The ones saying this is a misstep and misfortunate… well, this is the system and the electoral laws allows it. The parties, the codes and the supposed goodwill dies with this. That is because of the price in the end. The fortune and the bounty of getting into Parliament is so big. Not only titles and a public office. However, an MP get money, allowance, SUV and perks, which other jobs wouldn’t offer. Unless, you was hired to be a CEO or CFO of a major corporation.

These Independents are running because they have the funds to pay the nomination fee. Even if it is 3 millions shillings. They have the hope that even if they lost in their preferred party. They will have gained enough support and has a second shot of winning in the General Election. That means the Primary was only a pit-stop. Instead of a final nail in the coffin. This is why some complain.

The folks who complain about that wants politicking to be a gentleman’s game. Nevertheless, that has never been the deal. The game of politics isn’t all about showing a facade and a bunch of mannerisms. It is also about naked ambition and greed. When you know at the end of the day, the ones winning could get wealthy. Could afford mansions and own businesses because of it. They will vie a second time. Even if that insult their “mother” party and where they belong.

The aspirant for MP should show loyalty and accept the loss in grace. There should be another term and another opportunity for the person to run. Still, that would humble a person and if the person already has had office. They know the opportunities and the envelopes in the future. With that in mind, the person will not risk losing that. Especially, just to show a gentleman’s agreement and give way. No, there is to much money at stake to give that away for free.

This is why the losers of NUP, NRM and so fourth has gone Independent. They know what they could get, if they get elected in the General Election. They don’t want to loose out of the feast. These want to eat of the fine dining tables. Be hosted like dignitaries and live lavish on the spoils of the state. Who cannot understand that? Especially, if they have already been there and knows what they could get?

It would be foolish to give away a Michelin Meal and instead eat at a junk-food joint. You would pick the fine dining and enjoy the abundance of excellence. That is if you have a shot of it. It just makes sense that way.

The ones who wants this practice stopped. Needs to amend the electoral laws. Nevertheless, the opportunists will take a bit and see if they can pull it off. I don’t blame them, but they have already lost once. What make you think you will win on second round? Expecting on powerful punch and K.O. Good luck with that. Peace.

Opinion: Birigwa should join Muntu [and if you don’t, opt for ‘Plan B’]

Birigwa stressed the need to continuously engage President Yoweri Museveni in a discourse on the future of the country” (…) “We need a negotiated settlement with the Government, without fighting” – Wassawa Birigwa (Jeff Andrew Lule – ‘FDC’s Birigwa wants dialogue with museveni’

16.09.2020)

I don’t know about you, but it seems like Wassawa Birigwa better leave the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). The man sounds like another edition of Mugisha Muntu. The FDC Presidential Contender should act and have a more hostile stance. His a bit to peaceful.

Birigwa sounds like a bargain for Museveni. It seems like Birigwa haven’t learned from dialogue and negotiations with Museveni. In the end, Museveni will win. He will trick you, give you credit and dole out gifts. However, in the end you will loose.

Birigwa is playing a game he will not win. Wassawa is talking so softly and pragmatic that he seems to be in the wrong party. He should maybe switch to the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). Because, if he believes in a negotiated deal with the NRM. He seems like a brother in arms with Muntu.

The FDC is the ‘Plan B’ and Defiance party. That is why the Mwenda’s and others are directly hostile. They are damaging the calm of the elites and the cronies. The one earning millions of shillings on impunity. They despise the FDC and the whole paradigm shift on weakening the government before a peaceful transition. Using civil disobedience and protest to get rid of the government. That means, no talks, but direct action to hurt the heart of power.

Alas, Birigwa seems to be on a crash course on this one. He is going head-to-head. This man could be the side-kick of Muntu. Especially sound like that. That is giving way to the man of 34 years. The one who duped the Nairobi Talks, tricked others and made a fool of other former heads of state.

Museveni will not be soft, he will sound smooth, but we stab you in your back when your not looking. That is what he does and Birigwa should know this.

That is why the idea alone should be buried and forgotten. It will not happen and will amount to no good. Unless, he wants to get a new deal to be Leader of Opposition in Parliament and get some millions shillings for the service.

Birigwa don’t need to engage Museveni. The FDC and the Presidential Candidates needs to challenge him. They need to aim at his heart, go directly at the things the President treasure and ensure he can loose it all. Not sweet talk and be a sweetheart. That will work in romcoms, but not in reality.

Birigwa this is weak tea. This will not work. Negotiate with Museveni is a lost cause. There is nothing to get there. He will get rid of you and ensure your fate. You will go missing and will not be found. If not end up in exile. There be no safe journey if you tries. Museveni will not give away power. The power he has held all of these years. That’s not happening.

To be clear, better sign up to ‘Plan B’, better start to listen to Besigye, because this is not it. If you believe it? Go to Muntu, his the pragmatic non-starter and the one for the future of the Christmas past. Peace.

Opinion: Museveni can sleepwalk into the elections [as the opposition only aim at their own]

The National Resistance Movement (NRM) who are not caring about the guidelines or the regulations for COVID-19 or Coronavirus. Who are busy scheduling all activities ahead of the General Elections of 2021. also settling the final flag-bearers of the party. Which sometimes are the same-old, same-old and dozens of sole candidates. The NRM looks solid ahead of the elections.

At this point, as the President Museveni is busy preparing for this 8th Term since 1986. The man, the legend, the dictator and the President for Life. The supposed Fountain of Honour and His Excellency can just sleep. He can be lazy, he can squander around and even have a few scandals on his hands.

The opposition are busy scheming tearing each other apart. The Uganda People’s Congress is the NRM-Light at this point. The big-man Akena and his wife is both in the sphere of the President. They have traded perks and agreement with the NRM .The UPC is only viable in small pockets and doesn’t have the organization nor trust in the public. Because of the trade-off that Akena, Son-of-Obote did in the last election cycle.

Democratic Party have been raided, taken by everyone. Norbert Mao should by crying at home this weekend. The day of betrayal was this week and he lost his MPs. He got none of the big-men and the party is weakened. There is little left and the promise in the months ahead can’t be much. Not like they can muster such voices and cadres over night. To take the space, which these MPs left.

Forum for Democratic Change are also weakened, also many questions about where they are turning. The ghost of Besigye. While Lukwago only created questions of protocol and validity of the nomination process. No matter what it does, it has lost plenty of the faction belonging to Muntu. The pragmatic part of the FDC has left and the defiance of Besigye lingers on. We can wonder what it will do and how it will become the biggest opposition party again. It needs to show flex and muscle ahead. Needs to drop heavy hitters of flag-bearers and show it isn’t just a punchline.

One of the newcomers, who has shown new strength is Muntu and his Alliance of National Transformation (ANT). Most of this has come by weakening the FDC. The ones who was supporters and allies of Muntu is the ones that left the FDC. There are very few independents who has come, except for Kassiano Wadri. Who is also a former FDC, but had left the party already. Muntu got some good people around him, but he seems like his trying to do the same thing he always does. Saying the right things, but not really challenging status quo.

The second newcomer is the People Power Movement and the National Unity Platform. Where Bobi Wine have really scored big and creating headlines. A man who is getting support from all parties and independents. He raided the DP party and gotten several of MPs standing for the NUP. Right now the momentum of the opposition is in his hands. He even got the nudge of the DP Block and the Justice forum for the Presidency. However, JEEMA will field own MPs and not do that under the NUP flag. Showing, there are a balance of sorts and there will be honest competition.

The DP is losing big, FDC is weakened and creating uncertainty, as the biggest party and the one historically challenging the President. Museveni must be giddy that the FDC is lingering like this. Instead of having a steady line and showing resilience. The up-hill battle that persist must be tiring and that’s why its showing some fatigue.

ANT and NUP are revitalized, but they are still not that big or organized like the FDC. Bobi Wine has momentum, but he needs support from everywhere to get the final push. He got friends all around, but with purges like recently in the DP: There might be fear that does happen elsewhere too.

The NRM should be joyful that the opposition looks like this. The message is distorted and the opposition is busy seeing whose deflecting and whose staying. Not to talk about finding out who is the flag-bearer and who gets the nominations. There are so much in-fighting.

There is more talk about what’s happening between the parties. The new and the old. If the old parties have the push or if they are out of steam. We can wonder ourselves. If this is all meal-ticket politics or actual battle for change.

Museveni is lucky with this. They are not pin-point at his failures, at him tanking the economy, taking up more loans and continuing his impunity in power. He can walk free of that. Only touched a small amount of time. Instead of being the target, the one people are aiming for and proving his recklessness. That is what they should do. Expose and show the intolerant and the state sponsored brutality, which is the image of this state.

Except he gets away with that. As he visits factories, radio stations and hold speeches on the regular. He walks and travels at ease like a bird. While the others are in cages and they are not even allowed to sing. Peace.

Opinion: Just like Mwiru, Kiiza joins the ANTs…

Today, Winne Kiiza finally revealed her split from the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). Was I surprised? No, it was anticipated. She rise through the party and shown loyalty towards the ideals of Gen. Mugisha Muntu for so long. That is why she was so happy to be able to become the Leader of Opposition after the last General Election. An election the FDC disputed and claimed was rigged, still they accepted the defeat and took the mantle in Parliament.

That was in dark contrast to what Dr. Kizza Besigye would have wanted, but with Muntu at the helm and Kiiza as the partner that happened anyway. So, that she now follows him isn’t surprising. That was in the cards just like when Paul Mwiru revealed that he changed party too.

These two are both people of Muntu and stands by Muntu. They are not people for Besigye or for POA. That is just a mere fact. Nothing wrong with that, but the truths are still the same.

She stepped down recently as the Woman MP for Kasese, as she said she wouldn’t be in Parliament for too long or overstay her welcome. However, now that she changes party, maybe she changed her mind about that too?

I don’t know, but as she has a standing in Kasese. Is good at politicking and finding ways to manoeuvre to relevance. I wouldn’t be shocked if she found or got a flag-bearer position for the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). That is in the cards and would be further extension of her political career.

Muntu have praised all of her actions and her role, even into the bitter end. Calling her the best Leader of Opposition the Republic ever had. So, that she would join him is so obvious. Because, POA switched her and let her back to the back-benches. Therefore, this is a move of loyalty and of future hopes.

She said last month she wouldn’t go for another term in Parliament. However, with the latest move. She might change her mind and opt out for another one. Don’t be shocked if the posters or the campaigning begins. It would fit like a glove. She a been a politician this long and would pull this one off too.

Seeing, Kiiza representing Kasese in 2021. Why not? That is what she has done all her career, and another wouldn’t make much of difference. Doubt she will settle with being a member of the secretariat of the new formation, the ANT and not play with the big boys. Peace.

Opinion: Andrew Mwenda mocked himself [by running against Bobi Wine]

Today, the Independent Magazine owner and editor Andrew Mwenda in a striking publicity stunt has picked up nomination forms and membership cards for the National Unity Platform (NUP). Where he plans to challenge Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine for Party Presidency in the NUP, the political party of the People Power Movement.

Mwenda who has called the People Power the bastard child of Defiance. Mr. Andrew who has called People a ‘cult’. This man suddenly picking up forms and a membership-card is just ridiculous.

This is mocking both the party and Bobi Wine. Also ridiculing himself as he does it. Not like we can take him serious anymore. Since he predetermines the stakes and what will happen to others. Not just alleging or questioning, but saying these are flawed enterprises. Andrew knows this…

He does this to make a point, as he doesn’t believes in sole-candidates. However, he doesn’t have issues with Alliance for National Transformation (ANT) or the National Resistance Movement (NRM). Andrew is not going after the Chairman position in the ruling party or National Coordinator of ANT. No, he goes for NUP.

That is just so striking, neither is going for Party Presidency in the Democratic Party (DP) or Uganda People’s Congress (UPC). This gives way to Mao and Akena. Two other people who Mwenda admires now and then.

So, Mwenda has no issues with Akena, Mao, Muntu or Museveni. However, his going after Bobi Wine. That is just so striking. He knows he cannot win in the Forum for Democratic Change. As they have changed recently and knows how Patrick Amuriat Oboi got into the reigns.

He just strikes at the newcomer and the rising star. Just because he can and can use his platform to distort the conversation. This is a political scheme at the highest level.

If there ever was a mole. This is the neon-lights of one. A man who has despised the People Power Movement and Bobi Wine. I have never seen anything positive from the “old man of the clan”. The man has only done what he can to distort and destroy it.

Mwenda might think his bloody brilliant, but this a move of fool. He thinks the blind is leading the blind. Andrew just showing his ignorance and intolerance on full display.

What is even more striking is that this time around to cause controversy. He puts himself in the middle of the firing line. Mwenda knows people will not listen to his words of wisdom or subscribe to his Facebook rants. No, that ship has sailed and gotten old.

That is why he put himself in the middle of the game. Trying to prove a point and media houses will go off the chain. However, he is only making himself naked. Showing his true colours and sooner this scheme will fall flat.

Bobi Wine will be the man and is the man in NUP. He can challenge, but its an empty candidacy. A publicity stunt and an elitist trying to prove something. Mwenda isn’t this. Just like Bukenya and Mbabazi wasn’t opposition either. They were just in the wind a minute and went home after the campaigns. The same will happen to Andrew. He has made a deal and is now playing it out. Peace.

Opinion: Vilify the opposition to save face …

We know there is elections on the horizon. The National Resistance Movement (NRM) is busy sending its troops to social media and media houses. They are trying to make People Power Movement – National Unity Platform (PPM-NUP) looking like rising monster. While still continuing to ridicule and mock Dr. Kizza Besigye and his Defiance campaign of 2016.

That they are aiming at Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and his new party and movement. That is to be expected. Just like they went full gong-ho on Besigye and Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). The same people doesn’t even mention the UPC; JEEMA, DP, ANT or anyone else from the opposition. That’s because they are not a real threat.

They are going after Bobi Wine and Besigye for a reason. Their supporters are hoodlums, scum and anarchists. That is because of the message and their will to have a peaceful transition from the current status quo. The Modus Operandi is to make them look like a villain. They are the equivalent to Disney villains, who are there to destroy and cause evil. Even when there is no proof of that and to the contrary, the state does the evil towards them.

The Movement and their men are calling them fascists and intolerant. While they are not tolerating their existing in the firs place. Which is ironic, as these two groups of opposition struggles to open party offices and hold party meetings. While the Movement are doing internal party elections and holding rallies. Meanwhile the opposition have to act “scientific” about the same elections. Still, the opposition is the problem.

Do you see what they did there?

With this in mind. The predetermined discussion is really showing the lack of merit they have. They got to paint the opposition as crazy dictators or autocratic leaders. As they are themselves into the same. They are following the Movement and accepting what it does. They are following the sole candidate since 1986. These people are defending the ones who send the army, abduct and arrest the opposition. While calling the opposition bad, despicable and the next path to destruction.

That is why they are calling it cults… the opposition, while not looking into the mirror about the Old Man with the Hat. The man of the mustard seed and the failure of the 10 Point Programme. They will say the man needs time, another term and haven’t neglected his supposed mission.

Because of that, the use of the military, the police and all entities of the state to bend the will of the public. The apologists and defenders need to make a vision, an image of the opposition as dangerous. They will turn into worse and be beasts of men. Because, you see how Museveni and his folks is now. And you don’t want anyone worse then them, right?

However, there is no proof of this and they misuse sketchy words to address them. While not seeing how they are calling civilians derogatory words, because of their affiliation with them. If the same people suddenly turned to the Movement they would be sensitised and be directed to right direction. That shows the cultish behaviour at home, but they are casting that net to trick the world of the opposition.

This is why, there is a need for a conversation, as the People Power and FDC is made villains. While they are doing this to stop looking the deeds of the Movement and how they control the state. Because, we are instead dissecting the ones who are the challengers and the rising stars on the political field. The ones who sounds and wants change to what’s ruling the republic.

It is right to look into them and question them. However, maliciously attacking them and using the words fitting yourself isn’t a good look. When they call the ones Bobi Wine a cult, well, the sole candidate for 34 years have built his own church in his Movement. While Bobi Wine is promising to deliver a change, just like Museveni did in his early age. Therefore, you cannot dismiss him and say he will turn into Museveni. That is a false narrative and cannot be proven until he turns (if he even does).

So, this is a sideshow from the reality, as the Movement and their defenders doesn’t have anything good to prove themselves and needs to make the opposition look ungodly. Because, they are neither saints nor nuns coming with salvation, but instead a gospel filled with hypocrisy. Hoping nobody calls them out for it. Peace.

Opinion: Mwenda’s Freudian slip on the up-coming elections

Again, and again Andrew Mwenda write his “exposes” or “think pieces” and think his bloody brilliant. Like his gods gift to the political spectrum. However, it always ends up at the same place. Where the pass goes to President Museveni and the National Resistance Movement. It is predestined there. In this piece to as he calls it: “Uganda’s opposition politics of self-destruction”.

I will only discuss three paragraphs of it, because to the rest is just a waste time and I have wasted enough time looking into the text of Andrew. Secondly, they are not well read by the public. So, his popularity has dwindled and I understand why. It’s all the same and no any progression or deeper dive. A simple attack on the opposition, while defending status quo. That is the brilliant mind of Mwenda in 2020.

I will take piece by piece and then call it a day. Feel me?

As we approach the 2021 general elections, it is apparent that the opposition, as expected, has handed over an easy victory to President Yoweri Museveni. Yet after the election the same opposition politicians will fret and cry that the election has been rigged. It is even more intriguing because the opposition claim to be fighting a dictatorship” (Mwenda, 01.08.2020).

We are agreeing here. Museveni will win 2021. They didn’t hand the President anything. They couldn’t hand him everything, because everything was already in his hands. The opposition and the public in general are now the owners, they are the lenders on the mercy of the Presidency. It shouldn’t be like this, but it is. That is why the premiss that the opposition gives away something is far-fetched. You cannot give away something you never had or any ability to hold.

Based on this, government cannot ensure a level playing field in the elections. It follows therefore bthat the opposition in Uganda must strategize to win an election where all the decks are stacked against them; where the incumbent will dominate the media, use the army and police to disperse their rallies, harass and intimidate or buy off their polling agents, and even stuff ballot boxes” (Mwenda, 01.08.2020).

Here the plot thickens… he is saying it straight up. No jokes and no merits, but just the truth. There is no level playing field and all the cards are played against the opposition. He says what we all know and what the government does to the opposition. The oppression, the violence and silencing of them. What is striking is that he thinks the ones who cannot hold rallies and cannot change the officials at the Electoral Commission can suddenly rig the polls? Whatever Andrew is smoking. I need some and send me a plane of it, asap.

That Andrew says this is directly saying what we all know and proves the point of many of us. That the elections will not be sincere, but a charade made by the government to be legit. While he daydreams after smoking some powerful powder, which gives him ideas that the opposition can rig what the government is already controlling. I seriously need an order and the connect to get it.

Locked into appeal via social class, the opposition need to see themselves at a strategic disadvantage as a perpetual minority. To build a majority they need to position themselves in the center to catch everyone. This means they have to accommodate everyone who shows any signs of wavering against Museveni. But the leading forces in the opposition to wit Defiance led by Besigye and its bastard child, People Power led by Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine, have adopted a politics of exclusion. They insist on total and absolute loyalty from their followers” (Mwenda, 01.08.2020).

It is not like the ones dispersing people, using the army against the people and stuffing ballots have the popularity of the majority. If the government had the popularity he says the opposition needs. Then the government wouldn’t need to rig the elections and use intimidation to win. That is simple equation, but he digress from there. Because, everything is always the oppositions problem.

He continues to use slurs against People Power. They are bastards of Besigye, which is weird by all means. That means Besigye have gotten kids outside marriage and they in the public eye. Alas, I am just joking here, but the reality is clear.

The editor and journalist claims the People Power and Besigye supporter are excluding people. If they are doing that, what is government doing with its army and police force? Isn’t using tear-gas, ammunition and arresting people really excluding people?

Well, in the manner of the politics, the FDC and People Power have welcomed all walks of life. They just have to follow their party structures, pressure group and their programs. It is really that easy. You can follow what they stand for and what their objectives are. It might be in contrast to the Movement and the Government. However, the man doesn’t say this, but only speaks volumes of Mwenda. This isn’t shocking, but his ways to defend his case. Peace.

Opinion: Wadri’s gamble

Kassiano Wadri won the polls on the 15th August 2018 in by-election in Arua district, which by now has been a unique one, because of the aftermath for the opposition. Wadri has gone from the Forum for Democratic Change, which he represented between 2001 to 2016 in Terengo County, while he now represents Arua Muncipality as Independent with the help People Power Movement in the By-Election.

That is why his dismissal and arrogance of the organization of People Power and National Unity Platform (NUP). Can prove to be a lot eat for the ones who elected him in and especially depending on who the NUP and People Power field in his stead.

He has now revealed his next step is go to Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). Mugisha Muntu also campaigned for Wadri in Arua in 2018. Therefore, he had help from both Muntu and Bobi Wine. While the popularity of Bobi Wine is of another league in comparison to Muntu. To think otherwise is very foolish.

Wadri was the joint candidate in the area and in the by-election. He has now picked his man and his team. Even downplaying the People Power, which is interesting as his a coordinator. He acts like Tinkasmiire. Just think about that for minute, there is similarities in the statements of Wadri, as it was of Tinkasmiire. Both mocking and joking about the work and organization of People Power. That signals the arrogance of some leaders.

Yes, Wadri has won with the FDC the Terengo County seat since 2001 and is well-known. He has been a major player in Arua district and therefore, re-elected. However, this is really shady of him to act like this. We don’t know if Bobi Wine was a factor in the Arua By-Election.

Nevertheless, we know it amplified the elections and gave more firepower to the campaigning. In a manner, which Muntu never would have been able too. We can act like there wasn’t help that all parties stepped aside for Wadri. This time around the FDC, NRM and everyone else will field their flag-bearer. The challenge is bigger than Wadri versus Tiperu. Someone who has never won, but tried again and again.

Wadri can act like a big-man, as his used to get his way and also get elected. However, will he be able to stand People Power flag-bearer in a race with more candidates. It will not be a race with two candidates contesting. There will be from FDC, DP, PPM/NUP and so fourth.

Kassiano might think this power-play is wise. That he goes ring-side and such. Again, it shows that Bobi Wine loyalty is fickle and easily traded away. We know like Mwiru, Wadri have been a supporter of Muntu. Therefore, the move isn’t surprising, but its behaviour towards Bobi Wine and PPM, which is disrespectful.

He be ahead, as his the incumbent and have represented two counties in Arua district. Wadri might feel he has teflon and doesn’t need anyone. Still, its bad politicking doing this. I understand that he feels loyalty to Muntu. That is fine and dandy, but the way he undermines People Power is not what you should see from a seasoned politician like him. Especially, when they came for you aid and support in the recent Arua By-Election.

Wadri might think his the joker, the man of the hour and important where-ever he is. As his been part of FDC and had vital roles in the party. Even tried to swipe the role of Mafabi without luck. So, now his like Muntu in new fields, but we can wonder how this journey ends in 2021. Peace.