Opinion: Vilify the opposition to save face …

We know there is elections on the horizon. The National Resistance Movement (NRM) is busy sending its troops to social media and media houses. They are trying to make People Power Movement – National Unity Platform (PPM-NUP) looking like rising monster. While still continuing to ridicule and mock Dr. Kizza Besigye and his Defiance campaign of 2016.

That they are aiming at Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and his new party and movement. That is to be expected. Just like they went full gong-ho on Besigye and Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). The same people doesn’t even mention the UPC; JEEMA, DP, ANT or anyone else from the opposition. That’s because they are not a real threat.

They are going after Bobi Wine and Besigye for a reason. Their supporters are hoodlums, scum and anarchists. That is because of the message and their will to have a peaceful transition from the current status quo. The Modus Operandi is to make them look like a villain. They are the equivalent to Disney villains, who are there to destroy and cause evil. Even when there is no proof of that and to the contrary, the state does the evil towards them.

The Movement and their men are calling them fascists and intolerant. While they are not tolerating their existing in the firs place. Which is ironic, as these two groups of opposition struggles to open party offices and hold party meetings. While the Movement are doing internal party elections and holding rallies. Meanwhile the opposition have to act “scientific” about the same elections. Still, the opposition is the problem.

Do you see what they did there?

With this in mind. The predetermined discussion is really showing the lack of merit they have. They got to paint the opposition as crazy dictators or autocratic leaders. As they are themselves into the same. They are following the Movement and accepting what it does. They are following the sole candidate since 1986. These people are defending the ones who send the army, abduct and arrest the opposition. While calling the opposition bad, despicable and the next path to destruction.

That is why they are calling it cults… the opposition, while not looking into the mirror about the Old Man with the Hat. The man of the mustard seed and the failure of the 10 Point Programme. They will say the man needs time, another term and haven’t neglected his supposed mission.

Because of that, the use of the military, the police and all entities of the state to bend the will of the public. The apologists and defenders need to make a vision, an image of the opposition as dangerous. They will turn into worse and be beasts of men. Because, you see how Museveni and his folks is now. And you don’t want anyone worse then them, right?

However, there is no proof of this and they misuse sketchy words to address them. While not seeing how they are calling civilians derogatory words, because of their affiliation with them. If the same people suddenly turned to the Movement they would be sensitised and be directed to right direction. That shows the cultish behaviour at home, but they are casting that net to trick the world of the opposition.

This is why, there is a need for a conversation, as the People Power and FDC is made villains. While they are doing this to stop looking the deeds of the Movement and how they control the state. Because, we are instead dissecting the ones who are the challengers and the rising stars on the political field. The ones who sounds and wants change to what’s ruling the republic.

It is right to look into them and question them. However, maliciously attacking them and using the words fitting yourself isn’t a good look. When they call the ones Bobi Wine a cult, well, the sole candidate for 34 years have built his own church in his Movement. While Bobi Wine is promising to deliver a change, just like Museveni did in his early age. Therefore, you cannot dismiss him and say he will turn into Museveni. That is a false narrative and cannot be proven until he turns (if he even does).

So, this is a sideshow from the reality, as the Movement and their defenders doesn’t have anything good to prove themselves and needs to make the opposition look ungodly. Because, they are neither saints nor nuns coming with salvation, but instead a gospel filled with hypocrisy. Hoping nobody calls them out for it. Peace.

Opinion: Mwenda’s Freudian slip on the up-coming elections

Again, and again Andrew Mwenda write his “exposes” or “think pieces” and think his bloody brilliant. Like his gods gift to the political spectrum. However, it always ends up at the same place. Where the pass goes to President Museveni and the National Resistance Movement. It is predestined there. In this piece to as he calls it: “Uganda’s opposition politics of self-destruction”.

I will only discuss three paragraphs of it, because to the rest is just a waste time and I have wasted enough time looking into the text of Andrew. Secondly, they are not well read by the public. So, his popularity has dwindled and I understand why. It’s all the same and no any progression or deeper dive. A simple attack on the opposition, while defending status quo. That is the brilliant mind of Mwenda in 2020.

I will take piece by piece and then call it a day. Feel me?

As we approach the 2021 general elections, it is apparent that the opposition, as expected, has handed over an easy victory to President Yoweri Museveni. Yet after the election the same opposition politicians will fret and cry that the election has been rigged. It is even more intriguing because the opposition claim to be fighting a dictatorship” (Mwenda, 01.08.2020).

We are agreeing here. Museveni will win 2021. They didn’t hand the President anything. They couldn’t hand him everything, because everything was already in his hands. The opposition and the public in general are now the owners, they are the lenders on the mercy of the Presidency. It shouldn’t be like this, but it is. That is why the premiss that the opposition gives away something is far-fetched. You cannot give away something you never had or any ability to hold.

Based on this, government cannot ensure a level playing field in the elections. It follows therefore bthat the opposition in Uganda must strategize to win an election where all the decks are stacked against them; where the incumbent will dominate the media, use the army and police to disperse their rallies, harass and intimidate or buy off their polling agents, and even stuff ballot boxes” (Mwenda, 01.08.2020).

Here the plot thickens… he is saying it straight up. No jokes and no merits, but just the truth. There is no level playing field and all the cards are played against the opposition. He says what we all know and what the government does to the opposition. The oppression, the violence and silencing of them. What is striking is that he thinks the ones who cannot hold rallies and cannot change the officials at the Electoral Commission can suddenly rig the polls? Whatever Andrew is smoking. I need some and send me a plane of it, asap.

That Andrew says this is directly saying what we all know and proves the point of many of us. That the elections will not be sincere, but a charade made by the government to be legit. While he daydreams after smoking some powerful powder, which gives him ideas that the opposition can rig what the government is already controlling. I seriously need an order and the connect to get it.

Locked into appeal via social class, the opposition need to see themselves at a strategic disadvantage as a perpetual minority. To build a majority they need to position themselves in the center to catch everyone. This means they have to accommodate everyone who shows any signs of wavering against Museveni. But the leading forces in the opposition to wit Defiance led by Besigye and its bastard child, People Power led by Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine, have adopted a politics of exclusion. They insist on total and absolute loyalty from their followers” (Mwenda, 01.08.2020).

It is not like the ones dispersing people, using the army against the people and stuffing ballots have the popularity of the majority. If the government had the popularity he says the opposition needs. Then the government wouldn’t need to rig the elections and use intimidation to win. That is simple equation, but he digress from there. Because, everything is always the oppositions problem.

He continues to use slurs against People Power. They are bastards of Besigye, which is weird by all means. That means Besigye have gotten kids outside marriage and they in the public eye. Alas, I am just joking here, but the reality is clear.

The editor and journalist claims the People Power and Besigye supporter are excluding people. If they are doing that, what is government doing with its army and police force? Isn’t using tear-gas, ammunition and arresting people really excluding people?

Well, in the manner of the politics, the FDC and People Power have welcomed all walks of life. They just have to follow their party structures, pressure group and their programs. It is really that easy. You can follow what they stand for and what their objectives are. It might be in contrast to the Movement and the Government. However, the man doesn’t say this, but only speaks volumes of Mwenda. This isn’t shocking, but his ways to defend his case. Peace.

Opinion: Wadri’s gamble

Kassiano Wadri won the polls on the 15th August 2018 in by-election in Arua district, which by now has been a unique one, because of the aftermath for the opposition. Wadri has gone from the Forum for Democratic Change, which he represented between 2001 to 2016 in Terengo County, while he now represents Arua Muncipality as Independent with the help People Power Movement in the By-Election.

That is why his dismissal and arrogance of the organization of People Power and National Unity Platform (NUP). Can prove to be a lot eat for the ones who elected him in and especially depending on who the NUP and People Power field in his stead.

He has now revealed his next step is go to Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). Mugisha Muntu also campaigned for Wadri in Arua in 2018. Therefore, he had help from both Muntu and Bobi Wine. While the popularity of Bobi Wine is of another league in comparison to Muntu. To think otherwise is very foolish.

Wadri was the joint candidate in the area and in the by-election. He has now picked his man and his team. Even downplaying the People Power, which is interesting as his a coordinator. He acts like Tinkasmiire. Just think about that for minute, there is similarities in the statements of Wadri, as it was of Tinkasmiire. Both mocking and joking about the work and organization of People Power. That signals the arrogance of some leaders.

Yes, Wadri has won with the FDC the Terengo County seat since 2001 and is well-known. He has been a major player in Arua district and therefore, re-elected. However, this is really shady of him to act like this. We don’t know if Bobi Wine was a factor in the Arua By-Election.

Nevertheless, we know it amplified the elections and gave more firepower to the campaigning. In a manner, which Muntu never would have been able too. We can act like there wasn’t help that all parties stepped aside for Wadri. This time around the FDC, NRM and everyone else will field their flag-bearer. The challenge is bigger than Wadri versus Tiperu. Someone who has never won, but tried again and again.

Wadri can act like a big-man, as his used to get his way and also get elected. However, will he be able to stand People Power flag-bearer in a race with more candidates. It will not be a race with two candidates contesting. There will be from FDC, DP, PPM/NUP and so fourth.

Kassiano might think this power-play is wise. That he goes ring-side and such. Again, it shows that Bobi Wine loyalty is fickle and easily traded away. We know like Mwiru, Wadri have been a supporter of Muntu. Therefore, the move isn’t surprising, but its behaviour towards Bobi Wine and PPM, which is disrespectful.

He be ahead, as his the incumbent and have represented two counties in Arua district. Wadri might feel he has teflon and doesn’t need anyone. Still, its bad politicking doing this. I understand that he feels loyalty to Muntu. That is fine and dandy, but the way he undermines People Power is not what you should see from a seasoned politician like him. Especially, when they came for you aid and support in the recent Arua By-Election.

Wadri might think his the joker, the man of the hour and important where-ever he is. As his been part of FDC and had vital roles in the party. Even tried to swipe the role of Mafabi without luck. So, now his like Muntu in new fields, but we can wonder how this journey ends in 2021. Peace.

Opinion: Everything is rigged against the opposition [doesn’t matter if it’s “Scientific” or not]

The opposition in the Republic will not win at this point in time. It isn’t because of their lack of swagger and viable candidates. This is simply, because of the status quo and the whole state machinery is working against them. There is no chance that the President and the National Resistance Movement (NRM) will give way. That’s not happening anytime soon.

The Forum for Democratic Change and National Unity Platform (People Power) parties are the most high regarded opposition. The FDC has the history, while NUP and People Power are the new renegades. This is the Kizza Besigye and Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine coming to full force as challengers to Museveni. They will gain attention and get popular. However, in the grand scheme things this will not matter. These two might win the election, might even be hugely admired by the population. However, the machinery will not let Museveni loose.

That is why the rigging will close the doors for the opposition. It is reason why I don’t mention Alliance for National Transformation (ANT), Mugisha Muntu and Democratic Party Norbert Mao. Neither is Uganda People’s Congress, James Akena or Justice Forum Asuman Basalirwa. Or whoever is running the Uganda Federal Alliance, Farmers Party or People’s Progressive Party. These lastly mentioned have enough to get an MP elected into Parliament. Not even thinking of challenging the throne.

Muntu and Mao might want to be in the big-league, but we both know they don’t have it. Neither does Akena, he is cahoots with the regime with a deal. So, when your dealing directly with NRM. You cannot anticipate the brother will do anything about it.

This is why in reality it is a battle for the FDC and NUP. These two are the parties that has to challenge and show force towards the NRM. Not, that through the ballots will make a difference at this point. The Electoral Commission, the NRM is busy scheming and preparing the results. We know who will win and that is all in the cards. To think otherwise is either naive or foolish.

The NRM will conquer, they will use all means. There is a “scientific” elections going on. That is used on the opposition, which is stopped from campaigning. While the NRM candidates are doing so, either in secret or by using government programs as a shield to allow them to meet people. That they will use the state as tool to not only campaign, but also rig the elections. This is why the opposition has no chance.

NUP and FDC knows this. They will show flex, but will they dwell on the inevitable. The ones whose moderate and pragmatic, will only benefit a small group. While the big-men of the opposition got to stand up in the midst of oppression and hardships. Knowingly they will loose, but it is a matter of how much they willing to loose in the end. Not because of lack of popularity or having backing in the public.

However, because the NRM and the state uses all means. Every single piece of intimidation and scaring tactics. Also, the use of arbitrary arrests and other means to stop the public from gatherings and organizing. Except, if you have suction or a anointed by the Movement. Then you can set-up tents, set up rallies and meetings in churches. However, the opposition is not allowed to do the same. This is another proof of the whole charade, which is going on into the polls in 2021.

If your thinking this going to be free and fair. Forget about. The state is embedded. The Police is more into politics, than actually catching thieves.

This is all just a game and we all know who is going to win. Not because the public loves him, neither that its justified. However, that is how this is played out. We can act like its not, but then I would be disingenuous. Nevertheless, we shouldn’t be fooled and just play along, but call out the nonsense as it is. Peace.

Last Words of Mwenda: A Misguided and Misfortunate attempt to defend Museveni

Well, we are at it again. There isn’t election season in the Republic without the “insightful” and “degrading” articles or pieces from Andrew Mwenda. Today on Facebook he dropped another piece called ‘How Museveni and his opponents need each other’.

In steady fashion he will demean and desecrate the opposition. He will mock and take them for fools. Also, try to show reasons for the continuation of status quo. The man cannot stop himself. He wrote steady pieces dismissing Besigye ahead of 2016. Andrew is back on the hate train again, this time with additional flavour of Bobi Wine in the mix.

This is what he does now. In a short amount of time, this is his second edition in his bitter battle with opposition, which is his nemesis who haunts him at night. That is why he writes texts like this.

Anyone looking at opposition politics in Uganda would easily see why they do not represent a democratic alternative to the current government. Their ranks are filled with extremely angry and intolerant activists who, if they could command the power of the state, can only establish a totalitarian dictatorship albeit an incompetent one. Consequently, while Museveni’s NRM accommodates in its ranks many individuals critical of it, the opposition purges from its ranks anyone who holds even the most mild disagreement with their [always] radical extremist views“ (Mwenda, 27.07.2020).

When a man writes like this. He has dismissed people before giving them a chance. Who would have known, if Mwenda even could write and become the pseudo-intellectual back-in-the-day. The same way he dismiss the opposition. If people had done that to him. He would possibly only write manuscripts for schaiving radio-shows .

On a separate note, the opposition is angry and tired of a 34 years stalemate. Where one guy has ruled supreme. Tormented them and oppressed them. Made it nearly impossible for them to operate, arrested them and given them phony political charges. With that in mind, he expects them to not displeased with the current regime? They are just supposed to be all smiles and giddy? Everyone haven’t the same redemption after arrests and being ignant ever since.

He continues: “Thus, the mainstream opposition of Defiance led by Dr. Kizza Besigye and its bastard child, People Power, led by Hon. Robert Kyagulanyi (aka Bobi Wine) demand from their supporters absolute loyalty to the cause and ideological purity. This heavy demand for conformity among followers has led to mass desertions as people find life inside these cults suffocating. There is no evidence in history of such radical extremist cults promoting democracy once they capture power. Instead, all historic evidence shows that given time and certain economic, social, cultural and intellectual circumstances, hybrid systems of the Museveni/NRM type do sometimes (and often) slowly evolve into democracies” (Mwenda, 27.07.2020).

It is so funny him calling FDC and People Power cults, while professing only to Museveni to the end. Like not clinging on to one who has stayed in power for 34 years. That is fine and dandy, he also professes to the supposed transition of a party, which have had total power into a democratic machinery for change. If you believe that, then there is soon a Dumbo drop over Kampala.

He continues also to dismiss the FDC and PPM. In a manner, which he has done constantly. Which is ironic, the way he call them cults. While not seeing how his deep admiration and trust in the current leadership is of similar fashion.

He further saying: “This is not to stay there is no democratic alternative in Uganda’s opposition groups to Museveni and his NRM. Rather, the democratic impulse and social and economic infrastructure for it in the country is very weak, and needs to be cultivated. Hence democratic minded individuals and organizations such as the Alliance for National Transformation led by the noble Mugisha Muntu, the Democratic Party led by Nobert Mao and I think the Uganda People’s Congress led by Jimmy Akena have little political traction. These men and the organizations they lead preach compromise, accommodation and moderation, the qualities that sustain a stable liberal democracy. They seek to defeat but not to destroy opponents. They believe power must be pursued through legal means, and they abhor lies, fraud, violence and blackmail. On the other hand, radical cults (Defiance and People Power) see compromise as “selling out”, moderation as a weakness and accommodation as dilution. The fact that the moderate groups attract little enthusiasm from the masses of opposition supporters and activists and their intellectual justifiers only shows how weak the democratic impulse in our country is. And the fact that radical extremist cults attract mass support from the opponents of Museveni only demonstrates how strong the forces of intolerance, violence and fraud dominate our politics. Thus many Ugandans tired of Museveni’s long rule cannot find a home in the mainstream opposition and find it futile to join the moderate parties because they have little support” (Mwenda, 27.07.2020).

We know from the past that Mwenda has high regard for Muntu. This is shown again in manner to disregard FDC and People Power. That was inevitable from him. What is striking to is that he says there are no alternative. Which is only showing his dismissal of several people in opposition. Except for Akena, Mao and Muntu. Who he deems fit, but knows they are not popular.

It is weird that a man that professes democratic transitions is just throwing several of political leaders under the bus. While he really thinks people are so stupid to eat this satire of defence. He defends the guys that stands for the constitution and laws, but the ones defying them is the problem. That is really unique, when he knows how the state operates and uses force towards the ones who stands in their way.

That he continues his rants about cults, without seeing his love-story with his own boss and kingpin, Museveni. Who nobody can beat or become alike. They never enough equipped or have the abilities needed to lead. That is just so fitting to everything. He says the FDC and PPM is intolerant, but the likes of Mwenda isn’t that welcoming or generous to make way. It is like he doesn’t understand the grievances and reasoning behind their will and defiance. However, at this point, that is water under the bridge and ironically another lost cause.

Last part of his piece that I will mention: “This is the dilemma of democratic progress in Uganda. The inability of moderate parties and politics to attract mass support and enthusiasm has led many liberal minded Ugandans to stay away from politics. This has left the political space to a tussle between Museveni and these radical extremist cults. This state of affairs is advantageous to Museveni: keeps many Ugandans away from the ballot box, therefore ensuring low voter turnout; which works in the president’s favor. And when he violently cracks down on these radical extremist cults, many people see it as justified” (Mwenda, 27.07.2020).

Well, if he thinks this is viable. He thinks that the moderates would ever have the success at this point. When your either behind bars for your stance or your paid loyalist. In that context, he thinks the people will back the ones who wants to dialogue with the President. A President that doesn’t listen to the pain and suffering, but hoping his force can undermine and silence people.

A man like Mwenda should know this, but he glosses over that part so easily. He expect the soft spoken individuals will gain traction in a Republic, where comedians are detained for a joke. That is seriously stupid, but still the argument of a government apologist. This just shows how little sense he can have when defending the indefensible at this point.

A crackhead needs his crack. It is evident, that Mwenda needs his Museveni and will shoot kisses to Entebbe and Nakasero Hill, even send the angel of love to shoot bows to Rwakitura farm. Peace.

Opinion: Byamugisha will be more lonely than Muntu…

Today, Moses Byamugisha have announced that his running for the presidency, but not through the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) as previously announced. He has other plans, certainly in regards, that ithere is talk of Dr. Kizza Besigye running again as the Presidential Candidate in the FDC. Nothing of this is shocking, but inevitable. Byamugisha had to see that one coming. As he knows the party and their movements better than anyone. He has been working there for ages and therfore, this move was awaited for his part. Especially, for a person wanting to aim at the Presidency. 

Byamugisha knows the FDC very well. He has been a mobilizer and helped the youths. Activists across the Republic knows him. Moses is well-known because of this. He has sought people arrested for their political activism and the former aide to Besigye.

Moses knows what happens when you loose out and seen others fall-out of love too. Byamugisha will be lonely out there. He will not have the machinery and support system of the FDC. Moses will be like Elton Joseph Mabirizi. Another independent candidate, but with some fellow supporters from the FDC.

That is why his a like a underling of Mugisha Muntu, the former Party President, but now Flag-Bearer of the Alliance of National Transformation (ANT). The New Formation and the new outfit for one man who never became the Flag-Bearer in the FDC.

Byamugisha will feel the blunt loneliness out there. After all the years in the FDC. When he stands as an Independent. He will not have the party behind him. FDC will uses their machinery on their candidates and flag-bearers. This is something Moses knows well, his been in the party for years. Not like they will give him energy or a time of day. Neither does they have a agreement with him like they have with Erias Lukwago. No, his on the whim on this one.

Muntu has had time to prepare for his departure and started to build his party in his image. ANTs are working and they are following whatever ideas Muntu has. Byamugisha have just launched the idea and today told he wouldn’t run for the FDC.

Byamugisha is saying what most of us knows. That there is limitations to ambition in the two biggest parties of the Republic. In both NRM and FDC there are two kings. They are the natural flag-bearers. Moses cannot stand, but he can be an aide.

However, Byamugisha will struggle. A sudden lone soldier without the generals or the majors. Moses will really feel lonely. He might act brave. Be a Spartan and wanting to beat the Greek. Nevertheless, Moses will not feel it like that. He goes both against the President and the authorities. A man who knows what Besigye has gone through over the years. A man who has seen what happens to activists and their battle against the oppression.

Therefore, Moses knows all of this. The difference between him and Muntu is that Muntu has a party. Not a giant party, but a starting organization, but Moses has only himself. Like I said, he might get someone with him, but nothing that will be working like when he was in the FDC.

Byamugisha have left the nest to early here. He went for the highest office to quick and without a machinery. This will be bloody. Muntu have some buddies and a sort of party at this point. Byamugisha has himself and his attempt to victory.

Moses will severe a loss. The loss just depends self inflicted injury. Not to forget how much damage he will make to the cause. His diplomatic about the severing of ties with the FDC and not running there.

However, not like Moses can make his own party now before 2021. Muntu has had some time, something Byamugisha doesn’t have. We have to wait and see. The only thing we do know is that this journey will be lonely for the man and he will have little to no support. Peace.

Opinion: Mwiru joining Muntu was in the cards

“It is not correct that I belong to either of the camps but I believe that FDC needs a man like Muntu because he is someone who you can rely on. For instance he kept his promise to work with Dr Kizza Besigye. This is what members told him and it is his time now”Paul Mwiru in 2012

The five time winner of Jinja-East Constituency, Paul Mwiru. The MP for FDC since 2011. A man who has been elected, again and again and who has beaten the NRM Candidate Nathan Igme  Nabeta five times in the polls is sticking by his words.

Now 9 years down the line or more than that since he was part of the Reform Agenda, losing to the same canidate in an election in 2006. Have been with the FDC since it restructured. Been in the leadership and therefore, known the people n party from the get-go.

That’s why it’s a bit sour, but with reason that he joins the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). He was there for the launch of the party last year and today on the 7th July 2020 he has deflected. Meaning he will be standing in Jinja East in 2020 as ANT MP and not as a FDC. The third party he will represent in his career as a legislator. That is if he beats the new FDC candidate or Nabeta scores big like 2006.

The move have been in the cards. He has started the journey with Muntu and been loyal to him. The official move today was expected. It is not shocking, but evidence that Muntu get a powerful ally. A man who has worked tirelessly and been on the frontline. That is why he has been arrested, tortured and incommunicado for a while, while battling the good cause.

Mwiru was part of the New Formation, the ANT from the start. That he joined today wasn’t shocking. It has been anticipated. Just like the move for Muntu to create his own flagship when he failed to get re-elected in the FDC.

That is just the way things are at this point. Mwiru is showing loyalty with this. He already said it 8 years ago. His only living up to those words and doing something about it. Now he has together with the team of ANT have to build up that party. Instead of living on the merits of the FDC.

“Even an ant can hurt an elephant” – South African Proverb

So, let’s see if Mwiru can together with Muntu beat the elephant. The elephant he has opposed all his career. One thing Mwiru, he has shown loyalty to Muntu. Even though he trigged the FDC when he backed Wadri in his by-election and not stood by the FDC candidate.

Paul knows how tactically manoeuvre. This move is yet another one. Now a ANT MP. He believed in Muntu back-in-the-day and today. Showing integrity on this one. Let’s see if that pay-off or is a miscalculated move in 2021. Peace.

Opinion: Muntu is the Sole-ANT

I want to operate in an environment where I feel I am trusted by those that I am working with. So colleagues, I don’t want to be unfair to you nor do I want to say that you are being unfair to me” – Gen. Mugisha Muntu on the 25th November 2017

We knew this day was coming when he was tooling around with his “Third Force”. Then months later after consultations launching the Alliance of National Transformation or the ANT. The New Formation or the Third Force, the ANT was launched in March 2019. All the cards was stacked for Muntu. This was Muntu’s team and his allies.

That is why today on the 1st July 2020 the revelation that Muntu would be their flag-bearer was the only way out. There was no other candidate or person who could do this. The National Coordinator. The reason for the founding and launching of the party, Muntu had to be the anointed one.

Not like the renegade MPs supporting him in the launch would dare to challenge Muntu. He left the FDC to be the King. Where he could be trusted, where he wasn’t treated unfair and everyone was listening to him. A place where he could be the MAN and everyone looking up to him. The Fountain of Honour and our dear leader.

Muntu was set to be unveiled for this. Be the Presidential Candidate. That was inevitable. There was no other way out. The National Coordinator and Founder had to go for the prestige and honour. He couldn’t do anything else.

We knew he would be the sole candidate. He will continue his mantra “Country Before Self”, but this enterprise the ANT. Is his sole raid. It is expedition into the unknown. Deep down he knows he cannot win. It is just a matter of how much he looses. However, he will play it out like that, because that is his dream.

Muntu wants to be the MAN. He want it so badly and cannot help himself. Wants the respect and the rank. We could see this from miles away. When he ditched FDC this was the expected outcome.

Now Muntu is the Third Force, the New Formation and the ANT. The man, the myth and the finally the head honcho. However will it be worth it? No, not really. It just matters how much he will patch up the hurt and what he will risk ahead of the 2021 elections. Nevertheless, don’t expect it to be much. His so pragmatic and so careful. Muntu will look at all sides more than twice before he even considers to cross the street. Because the might a cat, a mosquito or a boda-boda passing by. The man don’t want to offend them. Peace.

Opinion: Besigye cannot win

We are in 2020 and Dr. Kizza Besigye cannot win… Yes, I said it. It is in this world that some persons are just destined to loose. Not because of their resilience or his vision. Besigye has fought, been in the midst of the battle and never gotten the pay-off.

No one has been arrested as many times as him for the cause of a peaceful transition of power. The fight for liberation from the junta and the military government of the National Resistance Movement (NRM). The government with the sole candidate since 1986.

There will claims there is no difference in the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) if he stands in 2021. Since, he will have been their Presidential Flag-Bearer in 2006, 2011 and 2016. Then suddenly he will return again in 2021.

Yes, Besigye have given away the Party Presidency and haven’t the same role as the President has in the NRM. The President is the Chairman of the Party and the President of the Nation. Not like the Secretary General of NRM has the power to change things, but has to meet the President to ask for the way forward. The same awaiting the decisions of the National Executive Committee (NEC).

Besigye is not in the same league there. Still, there will be questions, if he stands for the same position for the Fifth Time. That is all reasonable. That he is the automatic candidate. This is why Mugisha Muntu had to create the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT) to become the King there. Since no-one can pass Besigye in the FDC.

That is not strange. The foundation and party is in his hands. When they are in 2020 asking for him to return. Just like he was forced to return in 2016. The delegates then vouched for him. Now that Muntu is gone. There will surely be the same energy before the 2021 too.

Besigye have deserved a better fate. No one is denying the man that. He has struggled, eaten the humble pie and been beaten so brutally so many times. No one has been arrested, detained and charged for political activism at the level of Besigye. The amount of times is ridiculous and outrageous.

Still with this mind. All the pain and suffering. All the hard work and dedication for the cause seems somehow to backfire. If he will stand again as the FDC Flag-bearer. Then he is automatic or the sole candidate of the FDC. Not by default, but by design. It makes it look similar to NRM. Even if the NRM just have one king no matter what and FDC has the party asking him to resume the situation, yet again.

The NRM diehards attacking Besigye is throwing stones in a glasshouse. The glass and mirrors are breaking right in-front of their eyes. However, Besigye by no default of himself has gotten into this place. As the Self-Styled President for Life has put him into a quagmire.

There is sort of the argument of sole candidacy, which can be put on him as well. Especially, when his the brother standing for the fifth time for the FDC. Yes, Besigye is a force to be reckoned with. That is why his arrested so much and house-arrested for so long for no other reason then his own self. However, that doesn’t beg the question: Is he the only one who can be the Presidential Candidate in the FDC in 2021? Is there no other man who can take up the mantle and finesse this game?

I don’t have the answer. I know that Besigye is unique and has a message for a peaceful transition out of this dictatorship. Still, people haven’t listened or followed suit. He has suffered and paid the price for standing up endlessly. He has paid the price for that, time and time again.

If he becomes the fifth time candidate for the FDC. The question will easily become personal too. Because, then there are similarities in the drive between Museveni and Besigye. Since they both are “owning” their parties as sole candidates. Yes one has all power and can force himself, while the other has delegates giving it to him. Still the perception is key too. The signal it might send. That should worry the FDC.

That should worry Besigye if he does stand. Since he then shows traits of a man, that his supposed to differ from and we know he differs from. Still, the inevitable will come up. That is why Muntu is a sole brigade in ANT. Since he had no shot within FDC to become king and he needed his own outfit to do so.

Now we got to see, if fifth time is the charm. In this regard, Besigye cannot win. If he stands he shows a sign of sole candidacy. If he doesn’t stand he cannot win either. Since his not playing and when your not playing you cannot win. It is the sort of game where it is all rigged for you to loose.

In concern of Besigye, that is his life work and his loosing. Not by default of himself, but by measures of the state working against him. That is why he continue to loose. Just like all opposition, but he has been there the longest and he continue to be there. Besigye cannot win and that is the default setting of the society and the systems around him. Peace.

Opinion: Bobi Wine’s ideal is commendable, but his warning to Mzee will not be followed

Today, the People Power Movement hold a Presser in the home of Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine in Kyadondo East, Wakiso District. This is not the first time he has held a press conference there. That is just the way things are in the Republic. Today’s Presser is an answer to the “Scientific” elections in the revised road map for the General Elections in 2021.

We know Bobi Wine is a fierce speaker and he proven that yet again today:

Museveni, like all dictators before him, is determined to keep in power at any cost. He does not care what happens to the people of Uganda, as long as he is in State House! Fellow Ugandans, Museveni is at it again. He recently met with the Electoral Commission and gave them orders to organize what he called a scientific election. Using the coronavirus as an excuse, he is banning public rallies and other aspects of an election as we know them! No Ugandan should be fooled into believing that Museveni is doing this for the safety of Ugandans. As we speak now, most urban places are filled with people going about their usual business uninterrupted. No social distancing, no nothing. If anyone has any doubts, please visit Kikuubo, or any other urban place. Therefore Museveni and the Electoral Commission should not take Ugandans for fools” (Bobi Wine, 22.06.2020).

What he said here is the truth. Bobi Wine just said what’s needed to be said. Many wouldn’t dare saying this and with his platform he still does it. Plenty of more people will listen, because he said it. Kizza Besigye has said similar before, in other instances, but now that Bobi Wine says it. It might have more flair to it. As it yet another leader of the opposition who sees it.

But let me use this opportunity to put President Museveni on notice. You might have forgotten what you said in 1980 but we have not forgotten. On the eve of the 1980 election, you, Museveni, put Obote on notice. You said that if he rigged that election, you would go to the bush and fight against him. We have come to that point yet again. We are telling you that you either organize a free and fair election or step down peacefully, but if you continue provoking the patience of the people of Uganda, they will rise up against you and you will end up in the dustbin of history like your friend Ghadafi, like your friend Mobutu and like your friend Omar El Bashir” (Bobi Wine, 22.06.2020).

Here is revisiting history, a history that the President has been proud of and repeated so that all generations and walks of life knows. The President cannot hide that. Museveni is so proud of how he got to power and all the people he finessed to get there. We all know this, as it has been blasted for years and years to the public. He has even walked twice in the steps of the bush-war to celebrate the civil war he was the victor of back-in-the-day.

Bobi Wine’s notice is noble idea. It is righteous step. However, there is no way in hell that Museveni will hold a free and fair elections. President Museveni wouldn’t win in a free and fair election. He knows this and the whole Republic knows this. That is why he has total control of the Electoral Commission and all other authorities needed to own the state.

The opposition are right and justified to ask for a free and fair election. Anyone who takes a stand and wants to challenge for public office should be able to do so. Where everyone has the same opportunity for everyone. Where everyone has the same difficulties and everyone who becomes a candidate can win and can challenge the results without interference in the elections. However, that is not how its in the republic where the state and the incumbents of the government has an upperhand with resources and control of the Electoral Commission.

Bobi Wine and everyone else is allowed to say their grievances towards this system. A system built for Museveni and his cadres. The 2021 election will not differ from 2016, 2011, 2006, 2001 and 1996. All of these has been rigged, just like they have tried to do with every single by-election too. This is not news, but a reality that the President has created over the years.

The challenge is healthy, the challenge is needed, but hopefully not just words. But a STERN WARNING about what Bobi Wine and the United Forces for Change (UFC) will deliver. I don’t believe a second that the National Resistance Movement or the President will not rig these up-coming election. That would be a lie. A big FAT lie. This regime knows only how to win by pre-fixing the results to their advantage. To say otherwise is naive and stupid.

Bobi Wine did the right thing, but the state will not steer the wheel differently. For the simple reason: They are not willing to loose, because this is all they have. Peace.