I have a conspiracy theory and it is not verified, but I have a hunch why that the leadership of the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) leader Raila Odinga is launching a new Opposition outfit and coalition right before the General Election of 2017. It is not so it is ready and amended correctly and following the new electoral laws that the Jubilee government passed this January 2017. No, Raila Odinga has other plans and it will be uncovered!
Honourable Baba, Raila Odinga, has been the opposition kingpin and head honcho for a decade or so. He has steadily been the prince and been the underdog, but never become the Executive. Therefore this hurts his pride, as it did to his father who also became an issue for the ruling elite.
So now that the opposition is gearing up for the general election and deciding their flag-bears and the presidential candidate, that is important for any party and even more vital to a opposition to a consolidated party, which is the Jubilee with key figures like Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto. They will not give up easy and therefore they amended the laws to make it easier to get one more term in power.
So the strength of grand coalition and collective is needed if the Opposition should be covered in the new election. They should act and sound like a possible opposition who is different than the ruling regime under Jubilee. The Jubilee will not go as a coalition, but as one stronger party that we’re created and made ready for the 2017 election. Though their track-record is far from perfect and their years in power have been filled with scandals.
So the National Super Alliance (NASA) which will take-over for the Coalition for Demcratic Reform (CORD), so the parties that in the NASA is mostly the same as in the Cord. Therefore you can wonder why they are changing name of the outfit. That is the reason why I believe there is one main reason for this. Not that NASA or National Super Alliance is the most brilliant name ever. Neither is the timing for changing well-known outfit and PR move to trade the CORD name in.
CORD has been a structure of promise, still fragile and also there we’re agreements made for who was to run in the coming terms. That is why I believe the main reason for the NASA is Hon. Odinga, not anybody else; there might be other deals and backroom kickbacks between the parties. Still this here can be seen as a way of administrating away the old-agreement of CORD. Therefore the new agreement might open ways for Raila Odinga to run again as the Presidential Candidate since this is NASA and not CORD. Also by doing so, he will be most known and biggest political adversary to the Jubilee government.
Odinga, seems to be tactically ready to ambush and silence the old-agreement of Cord, that is well-known. Honourable Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka we’re in the Cord agreement the next in line to try and become the Presidential flag-bearer under the Cord umbrella, as well as the last big-man of the giant trio under Cord Honourable Moses Wetan’gula we’re supposed to run for the Cord in the 2021. But with a new outfit Odinga can outsmart them with the highest flag and popularity; therefore he should run and be again trying to win over the Kenyan citizens.
Because why this coming in January 2017 when they have been is partners since their agreement in 2013, it is 4 years into the agreement and soon renewal of the old pledges between the leadership and secretariat of the Cord. Those protocols are now put into the folders and some of them into the bin. The NASA has to make amends with the old agreements and the other parties that had pledges from the ODM and others should be capable to give way to other than Odinga. If not, than Odinga cannot trust anybody else than himself; that isn’t leadership or stewardship, he has tried and tried and now should open to somebody else to try. It would be big of him, though I think that Wetan’gula and Kalonzo Musyoka will be left behind in NASA is most likely, if Gideon Moi (KANU) or Musalia Mudavadi (ANC) will not be put forward in the pot of Presidential leadership in NASA. That would be even more demeaning for the Wiper Democratic MovementKalonzo Musyoka or Forum for Restoration of Democracy (FORD-K) Wetan’gula who themselves deserves to come out of Odinga’s shadow!
So Odinga is smart and resourceful, uses tactics and wise words to sell a dream where he can only run and win over the Jubilee, therefore he cannot continue with the Cord. In Cord he is bound to stepdown and gives way to others. That is a path Odinga doesn’t want to do. The NASA coalition is a new way to secure his Flag-bearer and Presidential Candidacy in the opposition. Also an outfit he can use and also try to gain more power. I could hope I am wrong, but I would be surprised if this was created to levitate somebody else. That would be a grand day for Kenya when somebody who wasn’t related to the ones who liberate Kenya from Britain.
It might be high time for somebody else to run in the opposition, to prove that they should get a chance to rule and get Executive power in the proud nation. The Kenyan deserves a proper option to the Jubilee Party and their misgiving leadership. Kenyatta and Ruto has together with their eating elite, really been feasting without breaks since running the office. Therefore someone has to come in and shake it up a bit. If it going to be without scandal and without grand corruption. But if the leadership behind Odinga shadow gets allowed to shed light on, there might be leaders or even ideology, even political craft that could revolutionize the Kenyan government. That wouldn’t be dangerous, but could be prosperous. Peace.
The African National Congress (ANC) are about to hold their 105 year celebration on the 8th January, the ruling regime and party, that has hold government since 1990s after the end of Apartheid. Which all is splendid thing, they are on their third President or third Executive if you may. First one was the pivotal leader and executive Nelson Mandela (Madiba), than their there we’re the quiet storm Thabo Mbeki and the one that ousted Mbeki, the all-powerful hand of the President Mbeki, Jacob G. Zuma who is now still commander-in-chief in South Africa.
His reign is not without controversy, as his ruthless behaviour and his acts to control the ANC, has left other behind, the ones that we’re hardliners under the Apartheid feels left behind. The elite and the corrupt are the ones that are close to the regime. The ones that are paying and eating of government contracts are the one loyal to Zuma. The others who we’re loyal to the party in the past has become disenfranchised like workers unions and even parts of ANC Youth League that we’re under the wings of Julius Malema has created a movement out of the ANC.
The EFF is an direct reaction not only to the ruthless leadership of the presidency under Zuma, but also to the under achievements done under the decades under ANC rule. The ANC has had the opportunities; instead they have enriched themselves and their donors. This wasn’t the intention during the struggle to get to power.
“Motshega (2010: p95) states that: ‘One of the original purposes of the ANC was to bring together a wide variety of different ethnic groups and tribes, to bring about unity and cooperation between people of colour’. In the period from the ANC’s establishment in 1912 through to the 1950s, ANC ideology was dominated by African nationalism. The ANC sought to further black interests, while white participation in the black African struggle was limited. ANC membership was exclusively black throughout this period. The formation of the Congress Alliance in the 1950s, which facilitated political cooperation amongst black, coloured and Indian activists saw a more integrated approach to the ANC’s liberation effort” (Twala, 2014).
O.R Tambo, 16 Dec 1971.
By all means the forging of ANC happen in a different and within history where the context of the South African experience is not similar with today. Still, the value of unity and cooperation is still as important today as it we’re in the early 1900s. It became more on ‘Black Struggle’ as the xenophobia and draconian rule of the white minority extended into ridiculous measures where the torture and separation where beneath all we as outsiders to that time can comprehend. Where a tiny minority took total control and forced fellow brothers and sisters to small-payments and squatting while minority lived in wealth. Therefore the ANC turned the way it did, because they needed a fair voice and justice for their kind and salvage society where the separation was creating two-societies within one republic. Therefore the politics of healing and forgiving within ANC after apartheid shows the stature of majority peaceful transition we all can hope other nations can do in the future.
As the transition was happening and people worried about the momentum of the release of Mandela, Mandela himself said this, which proves his commitment and belief:
“There is no such plot,” Mandela told a news conference after a two-day closed session of the ANC’s national executive committee. He added that the ANC is “unanimous about working with the government to bring about a democratic transformation. And the method we have chosen is that of peaceful negotiations.” (Kraft, 1990).
This shows the powerful history of the ANC and their rise to power from suppression and horror. We can see that the current ANC NEC and Leadership seem to forget in their riches and their hold of power. Zuma seem to be more entangled with wealth creation of his family and use the connection into the corporate contracts of the state, than actually create welfare and job security for the average South African, the South African that we’re important reasons for the existence of the ANC.
#WeAreANC is a missed opportunity, a missed staged event of something that could be profound and meaningful for a party that started a fantastic journey in the midst turmoil turned into possibilities. That even at one point got it to be the most progressive and economic prosperous within the sub-Saharan nations. They got even parts of the growing economic nations of BRICS. So the rise of ANC brought with economic progress and positive legislative changes that we’re only bringing hope. That even put the light dimmer on the freedom fighter from Zimbabwe, President Robert Mugabe who had years in the sun since his Lancaster House agreement and freed his Rhodesia from minority regime under Ian Smith. So President Mandela made him inferior and also like an ugly step-child in the international community. That has been kept like that since the knowledge of the Gukahundi massacre.
So with this in mind, this should also be remembered:
“The ANC as an organisation in fact never voted in favour of armed struggle. Mandela was given the task of persuading the sceptical ANC president, Albert Luthuli, to accept the policy retrospectively. Luthuli refused, but he conceded that he could tolerate the military organisation Umkhonto weSizwe if it was entirely separate from the ANC” (…) “As the ANC’s grip on historical memory loosens, rethinking the past becomes a politically explosive activity. I have lost count of the times that radical, angry young black South Africans have asked me why the transition from apartheid left so much of the country’s wealth in the hands of whites. Many Afrikaners wonder how, from a position of strength and in control of a proudly undefeated defence force, the National Party managed to give so much away in such a short time” (Ellis, 2014).
This is still vital today as the elites under the ANC is a small figment of the context in South Africa, the townships and the low-payed underclass is still as big as before, as much as the Republic has also a big population of immigrants from Zimbabwe and around Africa who seeking work in the nation who is famous for the progress and being an open-society. Therefore the reaction between today’s ANC and the foreign interference is also important to understand the party, which it is today:
“In recent times, the ability of ANC-led governments to pursue a coherent foreign policy that reflects the historical ideals of the party has further been undermined by the ever-widening divisions within the party. The frictions within the ANC that came to the fore during its 52nd National Congress in Polokwane in 2007 have been accompanied by a fragmentation in policy orientation within the party, a phenomenon that has also affected foreign policy. As different voices champion and defend positions within the ANC, foreign policy has increasingly become incoherent and has in practice drifted away from the founding values and principles of the party, which are eloquently articulated in official government documents. The extent of this deviation is such that the same ANC that so vigorously championed the cause of African unity during its days as a liberation movement has today become a divisive force on the continent, as illustrated by South Africa’s move to head the Commission of the African Union at any cost” (Nganje, 2012).
But just as the PR Team of ANC isn’t coherent with the feelings in the communities, even after the important loses of local elections in major cities and townships to the DA and other opposition parties; the time for a new breed and a change of policies within the government and ruling party comes more vital for its future. The neglect of the common core and the creation of the party are now open cracks as potholes on the streets. The tarmac is tired and the funds are diverted.
That is why the reaction to the meme’s and the scandals of late comes with the #WeAreANC, as the Gupta and Eskom cases are now the spotlight of the ruling party, not their rich history or their tales of liberation. So the ANC are now blaming the Democratic Alliance and Economic Freedom Fighters for the retorts and smug attitude to the campaign. Like they needed to plan for the opportunity to bluntly address the cronyism and corrupt maladministration; that has lingered in the National Assembly and in Government during the recent decade under President Zuma.
Even if Zuma has survived the explosive Capture of State report of November, the fall of the Public Protector Thuli Madonsela and the other impeachment of the Executive have failed during the 2016. Together with other acts of malice and ill-intent to misuse funds and state to gain riches. It was time for the ANC to eat after the fall of the peaceful transition government under Mandela. The ANC lost their soul while waving the flag of intolerant measures under the Anglo Leasing deal:
“If Mr Zuma becomes the ANC leader he is almost certain to be the country’s next president after the 2009 general election. But he too is dogged by allegations of corruption and is facing indictment by the same special police unit, the Scorpions, that pursued Mr Selebi” (…) “The Scorpions are investigating Mr Zuma after his former financial advisor was convicted two years ago of fraud for bribing him over a multi-billion dollar arms deal by South Africa” (…) “Mr Mbeki sacked Mr Zuma as deputy president, a move that divided the ANC, but criminal charges were thrown out of court last year before a full trial. The Scorpions appear ready to press new charges that could derail Mr Zuma’s bid for the presidency” (McGreal, 2007).
So the Arms deal that brought massive amount of counts on the current President and brought down Mbeki. That one is still hunting in the shadows as all of the alleged crimes that have been done by Zuma. Zuma has more allegations and litigations that any President on the planet, well, only less than soon sworn-in Trump in the United States. There are certainly a picture that world would have erased, that Zuma is the most alleged-corrupt President.
The promises of a grand party, for the citizens and for progress have gone astray. Certainly, Zuma and his team could have thought better after a scandalous year of 2016 to unleash on the world #WeAreANC. That is just giving fuel to the fire. The burning flame on the allegations and the current affairs of the ANC gives way for discussions of their missteps and maladministration that hard to salvage. Save a party like this should be possible, but the rotten core has to be up-rooted. That cost and will take time to rebuild. But if they want to live on the heritage and not wealth than the ANC has to do so! Peace.
Nganje, Fritz – ‘The influence of the ANC on South Africa’s foreign policy’ (02.11.2012) – Proceedings report of a roundtable organised by the Institute for Global Dialogue
Twala, Chitja – ‘The African National Congress (ANC) and Its Ideological Shifts Over Time: Attempts to Define or Re-Define Its Ideological Identity?’ (September 2014).
Today, on the anniversary of Madiba’s sad passing, let us recommit ourselves to unity, and to working together to build our country, regardless of whatever political differences we may have.
PRETORIA, South Africa, December 5, 2016 – On this day in 2013, the first President of a free and democratic South Africa, President Nelson Mandela passed on, leaving behind a rich legacy of building a dynamic young nation, from the ashes of apartheid.
President Mandela taught us to unite and to love and respect one another as South Africans. He also taught us to build friendly relations with our neighbours and the international community as a whole.
A lot of good work has been done towards building a truly united, non-racial, non-sexist, democratic and prosperous South Africa. The road ahead remains long and full of challenges given the unending economic slowdown globally and locally and the need to continue building a better life for and with our people. There is indeed a lot more hard work to be done, as we move towards the ideal society he envisaged when he said let there be bread, water and salt for all.
Today, on the anniversary of Madiba’s sad passing, let us recommit ourselves to unity, and to working together to build our country, regardless of whatever political differences we may have. Let us work harder than ever, to make South Africa a success story that generations to come will be proud of.
There are one of these days the President Jacob Zuma, the man with 700 counts of corrupt activity, the man with close knitted connected to enterprises who deals with the government and with the past-control of the government has to step down. The initial evidence are overbearing, the reason for his succession not to arrive in time, is because of greed and hope that the new Public Protector Busisiwe Mkhwebane will put the case into oblivion.
Even it by all kinds of laws and all kinds of court verdicts, he can still not save his face as His Excellency, that time has sailed away into utter boundaries non-existence to mankind. The reality is that the Presidency under Zuma is so flawed that a line in the sand would only be crooked and never straight. The pathway is always to control, gain access to public funds and eat of the plate of government contracts without putting in the governance or transparent agreement between set-public company and set-de-facto government entity. Something that has been Modus Operandi under Zuma!
Put any Company Name and any Government Entity name, and somehow you could find the connection between the giant Zuma family tree and the foreign investors who are interconnected with the Zuma clan. This is not just loose talk, it is a reality and this is the ANC reality of our current day. The DA and others showed the paperwork and the justifiable evidence of these connections. It is just that the President doesn’t want to realize how this put him in caged room instead of a free-space to move as he pleases.
The lies, the deception, the power-struggle that he used to tarnish Mbeki is long gone, his fellow ally Malema is now an arch-enemy with his EFF, and the DA has no interest in keeping a crony-infested government so that the two turn President can fester in extravagant lavish living conditions and shelf away monies inside and around his fire-pool at Nkandla. That gravy-train should have fallen into pieces besides a lion on the hills of Kwa-Zulu Natal.
That the Tourist Minister Derek Hanekom sent a motion where he asked for the resignation sends clear signals that the ANC leadership is fatigued of the continues pressure of inactive behaviour and corrupt dances of the Presidency during this tenure. The Public Funds used on defending and embezzle for the President has been a giant toll on a strained economy that has flatten and lost its spark. Cyril Ramaphosa of ANC has now big questions to ask himself how much he wants to save his fellow ANC comrade and to what effect would he suffer from the dipping confidence in the President. This is something that should be very-low for every relevant leak of evidence of the conspiracy of graft and embezzlement from the highest office.
Cosatu and Sadtu the Unions has already endorces Cyril Ramaphosa as a successor to Zuma, so the ones that built Zuma are now turning away; it was the unions and ANC-Youth League that we’re able to shelve the former President Thabo Mbeki. The history could repeat itself as the new PP could still file in a case against her former PP, but that would only serve her loyalty to Zuma and not to the Republic.
Also the ANC Secretary General Gwede Mantashe has issues to tackle as the Motion arrives while he is running the political party and all their branches. The issues remaining if the ANC can handle this sort of pressure while the President uses the Hawkes, PP and others to send message to his “enemies” that they can be put into submission, not only him. The problem is that if the ANC NEC doesn’t act swift, their reputation as other than public cronies for Zuma will be evident, that the President and his Company Men has taken control of the fearless Anti-Apartheid Movement and used it as a tool to progress their own pockets instead of the people. That is not the legacy the founders of this historical party wished to see, neither the ANC Stalwarts nor Historicals that seen their built up party has turned sour instead of sweet.
We can Question if the ANC NEC own self-interest or their own pay-check mentality will save the President, or if they will some sort of pride to actually act as men and woman of the same Republic who created faith in Institutions and Procedure over Big-Men mentality. This has lead the way for the cases and courtship of the President as he has had a massive amount of counts of corruption put on him during his long time serving as President.
What can happen out of all this that hasn’t occurred already? The Supreme Court and the High Court of Gauteng has put Court Orders and levied fines against the Executive Zuma, but he has still walked like the proud self-righteous man he is. Though not deservingly as the timing and acceptance of his inability to keep his hands out of the cookie jar hasn’t been well enough thought off. Because the repercussions and added stress on the system takes a toll on his Party and that legacy they want to leave behind.
Though the Civil Servant portrayal of him is dying breed together with the work for the common man, as his battles is for the wealth attributed while he was in public-service and wanted to be the next man to eat. This proves the pivotal shift that needs to be at the ANC NEC and their cronies, who has to have a paradigm shift, a walk to Jericho moment; where the ANC seems to want to redeem their ill-will and their attitude towards cronyism and corruption. While willingly get rid of the arch-king of the tricks and trades, the President Zuma who has steered the ship into this harbour where the sails only set when greased enough.
We can ask, if they have the courage or if this political charade, what the outcome will be and if the ANC will act with real change. In the meantime we can question the will and power to make a change. If this will be fall of Zuma, part of me hope so, the other doubt it; because the trials and tribulations has occurred now for years without any real consequence for the President Zuma. Peace.