Eh! I don’t like talking about the long destined future, but one is certain. As long Mzee is breathing, he is running as the Flag-Bearer and everyone else is to fall in line. The Grand Master, the Big Man, the Head Honcho, the Leader of Men and all other titles are his. This is President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni. He will not step down. Not as long as he is breathing. That is not happening.
He would not have revised or edited the constitution. He would not have let the military and security forces be such a vital part of the state, as it is right now. The president wouldn’t have used to force against anyone coming his way. Sending a message to anyone who trying to trespass and rule the fiefdom. That is not acceptable. Not even succession from his own flesh and blood. They have to wait as well.
Not that the National Resistance Movement (NRM) have any plans for succession, some cries out loud for it now and then. But later they cry again to their beloved leader and hope for redemption. As they insulted the grand leader. You should never question his powers and his army.
If you question him and his will, you are insects, you are mosquitoes, vermin and bean-weevils that he gets rid off. His army can he always trust, The Security Organizations, the high command and that the Police Force will do his bidding. As long as the state of affairs is like this. There will be no change.
As long as the state is militarized and the state are serving one man. There will be nothing significant different. The names on the ballots might be different. There might be a Farmers Party, Go-Forward or New Formation. However, the results will be in favor of the President.
The 2021 will not change, unless there are vital steps of change. Unless there are people early to see something else and not accepting status quo. Because, the will of doing peaceful transitions through the ballots, has been done again and again. That has been tested and tried countless times by Dr. Kizza Besigye and Forum for Democratic Change (FDC), Paul Ssemogerere/ Norbert Mao (Democratic Party) and Uganda People’s Congress (UPC) Olara Otunnu. However, none of the attempts has succeeded, that is because the system is built for and implemented for Museveni.
Everyone should see that. The People Power Movement has to grow stronger, than the Defiance Campaign, bigger than Walk to Work and pay costs, which none of us want to bear. If you want to dismantle a military dictatorship. It doesn’t come without costs, without sacrifice and without determination. It isn’t about getting SUVs as MPs or not. It is about sustainable freedom for all citizens. Not just the all-praising elite in and around the President.
2021 will for now be another race. Which is more of the same. There will be drama, tear-gas, arrests, treason-charges, open bribes, voter-tourism, pre-ticked ballots and so on. That is just part the nightmare called elections. There will be deflections from the various parties, there will be people jumping around after the man of the day. However, in the long run, as it is per today. No one will contain of have access to the powers of the army and state resources like Museveni. From the State House, he will micro-manage and bustle everyone into his ways. Either you like it or not.
That is why, when I read people speculating about the elections in 2021. There will be the same Kiggundu Math and misuse of Public Order Management Act (POMA) until oblivion. Unless, the people are gathered around the cause. That they have belief that they have value and purpose. That they are not pawns of the Kingpin of Entebbe and the NRA. As long as they have faith that they can steer the conversation. That they can change the narrative, change the perspective and also ensure that the military, the Security Organization in and around the President are weaken by the pressure. If that pressure gets to level they cannot sustain. Than, the movement, the people are able to progress and show, who is the true value in the Republic.
That will not easy, that will cost. The road to redemption and freedom isn’t easy. It never has been. Because the men with power and wealth, usually don’t won’t to hand it out, but you have to fight to get it. That is the way it is.
At this present time, there are little hope, there are reflections of awaking. As it has been in the past. But the fire has to flair. The thunder has hit the ground. It has to spark,. The fire has to light and it has to be able to make a difference. Show true value. Not being one concert. Being one idol, one leader and one movement. But being the message, being the guiding star, the one that can pass through the evils of men. That is what is needed. Not just some mere slogan and a color of clothing. It needs to pierce the flesh and embody people.
There been sparks, there been flairs, but not fires that has overpowered. There haven’t been a people’s revolution. There been starts of riots and uprisings. But not to an extent, where the thousands of guards, the soldiers and the police force has felt threaten. Where they have felt that their arms and guns been made out of jelly. They haven’t feared going to the office or the station, they haven’t feared going to the barracks.
No, its the people who has feared mambas, the flying squad, the ISO, the Special Force Command and whatnot beating people on the streets. These has to fear something. Not that the public has arms, but their anger, their frustration, their fatigue, their lack of hope and desperation. As they haven’t seen the dream of the NRM or the President. They haven’t gotten the 10 Point Program or the Future their was promised for three decades.
Its time to make things real. Because if it is like now. The 2021 is just another slow train for the Big-Man to rule another term. Just like 2016 and 2011, just like 2006 and 2001… We can go further back in time, but its get old quick. Just like the old man with a hat.
We can speak up again and again about the unjust of the system, but seemingly more of it stays the same. While the crooks continuing taking, while the ones risking it all are paying the price. Without any big change or will to do so. Only, to scream and shout, but kill it off when the dust settles. Peace.
“For us at NRM, we knew this was an accident about to happen, there was a lot of confusion in that home and what happened was the climax of what was happening over time. It portrays FDC as a party that can’t handle internal contradictions, it portrays a party with members who have an ego bigger than the party. We’ve seen this in all political parties like DP and UPC, when a party is formed out of one specific agenda like remove an individual from power, these are the outcomes. To us as NRM, we really say they weren’t ready enough to have a political party” – Richard Todwong at NBS Frontline, 27.09.2018.
Let’s put things in perspective, the National Resistance Movement wouldn’t be like they are, if they didn’t have power or didn’t have the army. They need both to exist, as well, as they are following the guidelines and all principals of President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni. The only man with a vision and leadership capacity within the party. That is why no-one has been able to succeed him since the 1980 election and the following Bush-War and the 32 years of ruling since.
It is like the NRM honcho Richard Todwong forgets that, as the biggest EGO of the land is Museveni. Not Kizza Besigye, Not Mugisha Muntu or even James Akena. But the biggest is Bosco.
NRM are not even ready to have another President, another ruler of the NRM and the Republic. Because no one is supposed to question the almighty Bosco.
In FDC where this problems all steams from, is because their delegates picked their third Party President since its inception. Something, that is still not happening in the NRM. They cannot even think of running against Bosco in the next presidential either. He is the sole-candidate for life.
Let’s be honest. If their been succession in the NRM, there wouldn’t have been no Reform Agenda or Forum for Democratic Change, because internally, the leadership would have rotated so that Besigye and Amama Mbabazi could eventually lead it. There would still be a DP and UPC. However, they we’re there before NRM and before UPM, the party before the now ruling party.
When the NRM says the FDC aren’t ready to be a political party, why are the NRM only able to change leadership, when they starting to get ambition for the throne and not before? Why are you taking out the Gilbert Bukenya and Mbabazi, when they want to get more? Not because of political differences or even mere policies, but for their naked ambition.
So, maybe the NRM isn’t ready for being a political party and only being the armed wing of the juggernaut called Bosco. Aye? Peace.
Well, let’s be clear, I wish all opposition a good journey, a safe journey and hopefully a blessed life. However, there are something rare about this Maj. Gen. Mugisha Muntu, how he is allowed to operate without any clear indication or interference from the authorities. Because if Besigye or Bobi Wine does what he does, they are either behind bars or their gear is destroyed. There will be tear-gas and the authorities will hurt the activists.
While, Kizza Besigye and Bobi Wine are retaliated against, the acts of Muntu just walks away without any heartache or pain, he can just continue his existence and is allowed to do so. Without any of the consequences, even Amama Mbabazi went through the fire and felt the punishment of the NRM, when he started the Go Forward in 2015 before the 2016 General Election.
What is more weird is the brigade of Members of Parliament that joins the New Formation. AS they might risk their seats or even their standing in own parties. The independents has nothing to lose. The NRM have been anti Age-Limit and are considered rebels, who are in hot-water anyways. Therefore, they are just configuring another journey, hoping for a new home.
From the Forum for Democratic Change, these MPs:
Elijah Okupa, Paul Mwiru, Herbert Ariko and Angeline Osegge.
From the National Resistance Movment (NRM):
Gaffa Mbwatekamwa and John Baptist Nambeshe.
From the Independent MPs, these MPs:
Anna Adeke and Gerald Karuhanga.
The ones that strike me and is weird to me, is that Paul Mwiru who has had such a standing and support from the FDC. Could so easily support Muntu and his new party. That Elijah Okupa, who is in his fourth term as MP for FDC. As he was displeased with the reshuffle of the shadow government with the FDC. Therefore, we knew he could bail and has shown it now.
Paul Mwiru, who has been elected since the 2011 General Election in Jinja, have now also decided to leave the FDC. The two term MP and recently won the By-Election in Jinja East, are clearly sending signs of being disgruntled in the party. His been into turmoil and been part of the MPs whose been charged after the Arua By-Election in August 2018. Therefore, we can wonder why he switches sides and are in favour of Muntu.
Herbert Ariko on the other hand is been called a liberal FDC MP from Soroti, however, he has said rapist should be shot by firing squad. So, who knows what his stances are and what politically motivates him, as he has been anti Social Media Tax. But who knows, why he goes to this extent.
Angeline Osegge, is the Soroti Woman MP, but also the National Treasurer of the FDC. Who knows what her concern is in this manner, or just political opportunities. She got suspended over the age-limit in Parliament during the 2017.
That is just the ones from the FDC. The NRM MPs are rebels against the Age Limit too. Who is now seeking a home. That the independents are finding a home is interesting, as the Anna Adeke is the Youth MP, who formed a Youth Pressure Group in 2017, as she worked against the Age Limit too and wanted something countering the NRM Youth League.
While Gerald Karuhanga is a part of the group of MPs who was detained after the Arua By-Election in August 2018. He was also against the Age-Limit, and even returned the 29 million shillings for consultation money. Therefore, he has been a vocal critic and part of the Parliament for two terms now. Therefore, he has knowledge too. Now finding a home apparently.
What is striking about the list is the youthfulness or the disgruntled, the rebels and the ones who are in the fringes. As Muntu tries to establish himself as a moderate to the Defiance Campaign and the Civil Disobedience of the FDC. Still, he made sure and ensured that while he was the head of the party there, until POA won over him.
What we can wonder, is how come he is allowed to introduce his plans and his party without any sort of reactions or twists from the NRM or even the Police? They usually appear out of nowhere and crashes the party.
We will not know before Christmas what all of this means, but he is trying to spin-it, like he is the difference from the defiance, than you’re the compliance of the state? What makes you significant and what is your message?
Gen. Muntu, why are you not releasing the report of the Consultations taken from November until now? Why? Are you afraid of the people looking into the activity and what that has presented? Doesn’t it fit your narrative and your spin? Because you have to look like the golden goose when leaving?
There are many questions, but like always, the consequence is that Muntu can walk away and it doesn’t cost. Some of his allies and supporters, even the MPs has been in dire need; it has costed them to stand against the dictatorship. However, it has not costed Muntu much of yet. We can wonder if the New Formation will make a difference or just be his flagship. Now, he will build on his own. He will be either Builder Bob or the lackie who’s too important to lead, but the honourable who everyone is supposed to listen too. Peace.