Sudan: The attack on SUNA should be warning of how fragile things are…

The Sudanese street should remain prepared for any attempt to hijack the revolution from those who are trying to turn back time” – Mohammed Nagy Al-Assam (23.10.2021).

Khartoum, Oct. 23 (SUNA) – The General Manager of Sudan News Agency (SUNA), Mohamed Abdul-Hamid, has announced cancellation of the press conference of the Central Council of the Forces of the Declaration of Freedom and Change, scheduled on Saturday afternoon, after the attacks that affected the agency’s reception by an unknown force. Abdul-Hamid said that the group that was mobilized in front of SUNA was transported by cars, and then an additional number of about 150 people arrived” (SUNA – ‘Press Conference of Freedom and Change at SUNA Cancelled’ 23.10.2021).

A group allied with the Palace sitin attacked the buildings of the Sudan News agency SUNA, ahead of a press conference organised by the Forces for Freedom and Change where Dr Al-Asam of the SPA and the PM’s advisor Yasir Arman were due to speak” (Mohanad Humam, 23.10.2021).

Today, the Forces of the Declaration of Freedom and Change (FFC) was scheduled to hold a press conference at the headquarters of the Sudan News Agency (SUNA). However, the offices was under attack and the group was led by people who are pro-junta or military government. It was a 100 people who was taken there to protest and ambush the place. In such a manner, that the press conference wouldn’t be held.

However, later in the day… the FFC was able to do it. Still, the precedent of sending pro-junta people on the ground of the SUNA is a warning. It is a sign of what’s ahead and what level of oppression means the army will use. This is using pressure and gatherings to ambush a peaceful press conference. That says it all about the will and ways of the army commanders within the Sovereign Council. They are not budging and using all their means at their disposal. Just to silence and try to stop the civilians to have a voice.

Later: “Mohammed Nagy Al-Assam speaks at a press conference by the Forces of Freedom and Change pro-democracy political coalition held after an attack by more than one hundred pro-junta street militants tried to stop it by invading state news offices” (BlackBoy, 23.10.2021).

This just shows the willingness and that the army commanders are willing to do this. They are not even trying to show a friendly face or facade. These people are just using scare tactics and all means to block civilians. The Sovereign Council is already in a crisis and hoovering around. This sort of play only shows the dire need for reform and changes. As the army commanders are hungry for total control. Peace.

Sudan: Al-Burhan and Hemeti cannot stop the revolution

Sudanese Professionals Association: Attacks on peaceful protests is a blatant move from the current government, with all of its components [civil & military]” (African Narratives, 21.10.2021).

Today, the streets of Khartoum and elsewhere the revolutionary spirit was alive. The protests was happening all across the republic. Sudanese civilians went to the streets and went marching for democracy. They went to the streets of the civilian government and end the time of a military one.

The state tried to use live-bullet, tear-gas and other equipment to contain it. However, the streets was packed with people. This is a continuation of the revolution of 2019. They don’t want the army commanders of he Sovereign Council to hijack the revolution. This being the President Al-Burhan and his vice Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo aka Hemeti. Who both have been involved and scheming to get rid of the civilian cabinet and the technocrats in the Sovereign Council. Alas, the public sentiment is countering that.

It was demonstrations and protests was happening in all the 18 states. Just in Greater Khartoum area, the State Ministry could confirm that 35 people was injured by the police. The army commanders of the Sovereign Council cannot takeover. The public is showing dissent. They are not accepting it.

There been reports of injured in other towns and cities in Sudan too. However, at this current time we don’t know how it has gone outside of Khartoum. The only dropped numbers was from Greater Khartoum area. Therefore, whatever happened in Omdurman, Post Sudan or in the towns of Darfur. We have seen the authorities using live-bullets or tear-gas against the civilians demonstrating. We have seen pictures leaked online and shown the disgraceful act of the state. Who delivers violence towards civilians doing their duty as a citizen. The citizens are showing their rights and fighting for justice. They are fighting for democracy and a civilian government.

A cause that will take away power from the military commanders, but they are there to support the boundaries and secure the state. They are not there to rule supreme, as they prefer to do. The army is supposed to safeguard from foreign enemies and secure the territory. They are not there to be rulers. That’s what the public is fighting for and it’s a just one at that. Peace.

Sudan: Are we soon seeing a revised TMC? Since Hamdok was asked to dissolve his cabinet

October 15, 2021 (KHARTOUM) – Sudan’s Prime Minister Abdallah Hamdok has rejected a request by the leader of the military component to dissolve the FFC-majority cabinet and to appoint a new government they support. The Head of the Sovereign Council Abdel Fattah al-Burhan flanked with his deputy Mohamed Hamdan Daglo aka ’Hemetti” met with Hamdok on Thursday to discuss the ongoing political crisis in the country. Multiple sources confirmed to the Sudan Tribune that the head of the Sovereign Council and his deputy requested Hamdok to dissolve his cabinet and to replace it with another government involving the political groups that plan for a protest on Saturday” (Sudan Tribune – ‘Sudan’s Hamdok rejects Burhan’s request to dissolve government’ 15.10.2021).

Be aware, the Transitional Military Council (TMC) and the henchmen of President Omar Al-Bashir is still willing to ruin the whole revolution. The TMC and it’s army commanders wants takeover everything in bloodless coup d’etat. That wouldn’t be shocking, as the few technocrats and civilians in the Sovereign Council is already under pressure.

The Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC) gave way to early after the revolution and this is why they are paying a huge price now. The Sudanese people are not trusting the military commanders within the Sovereign Council. That is understandable, as the ones from the TMC haven’t worked hard or tried to regain trust of a civilian rule. The TMC cannot even work close or have the ability to resolve things with the FFC members within the Council. That says everything at this point.

We are now seeing that the President Al-Burhan and Hemiti is scheming to topple and overthrow the current transitional government. This will not solve the political crisis, but clearly ensure the TMC even more power than they already have. As they are the majority of the Sovereign Council and the civilians was a clear minority. Alas, the Generals wants a bigger cut and more power to silence the critics and the running riots, which could spark a second revolution as well.

That is what Al-Burhan and Hemiti fears. They fear the people will come with another popular uprising. As their popularity is close to zero and the people doesn’t trust them either. Why should they? Not like they have delivered or shown to be on course to any sort of election to civilian rule? They want to be an imposed junta on the people.

Now, that they tried to yesterday to dissolve the Sovereign Council. That we can take as an assault on the transition and the means to an end, which is to have all power in their hands. Al-Burhan and Hemiti would gain even more. That is the reality here and that shouldn’t be brushed under the rug. Don’t expect these men to give other opportunities. That would only be a smokescreen and for publicity sake. Peace.

Sudan: The Sovereign Council is under massive pressure by the reignited revolution

The foiled coup d’etat and the army taking control of the Sovereign Council is now getting a public reaction. This have been happening in Eastern Sudan. Where the oil-pipeline have been blocked from Port Sudan. Therefore, the government have already felt the pressure.

The on in power, the generals and the Transitional Military Council (TMC), which had a majority already in the Sovereign Council. Used the coup to cease more power and push the civilians out. These are appointed and technocrats, but still they are more viable. Still, the Generals have the order and the command of it. That is what the public is reacting too. Especially, when this wasn’t the cause for the November Revolution and the end of the reign of Al-Bashir.

 

There been reported that there was around 20,000 people in the streets of Khartoum yesterday. The train returned with people and they gathered together. Just like they did in the recent revolution.

Nevertheless, it wasn’t only happening in Khartoum but…

States where protests were held calling for democratic transition in Sudan:

-Khartoum state

-White Nile state

-El-Gezira state

-Kassala state

-Northern/Shimaliya state

-River Nile/Nahr an-Neel state

-Blue Nile state

-Sennar state

-North Kordofan state

– South Kordofan state

– West Kordofan state

-North Darfur state.

There was movements of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the orders of Vice-President Hemiti. While the people was saying in the streets of Khartoum was even saying: “The army is the Sudan’s army, not Al-Burhan’s”. That says a lot and these sort of reports says it all.

The Transitional Government is clearly not popular. They are feeling more of the same and that’s not strange. When plenty of the Generals in the Sovereign Council was the henchmen in the previous government. So, you couldn’t expect these men to change and suddenly respect the values of the Revolution.

This is why it’s refreshing and showing courage that the general public is returning to the streets. As the Sovereign Council shouldn’t become another military entity. The citizens are demanding a civilian government and not a military junta. This wasn’t the deal and the agreement made when they created the Transitional Government, which has a majority of the TMC. Instead of having more civilians from the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC). Therefore, that deal gave to much way to the army.

Now, the foiled coup showed their hand and what they are willing to do. In return, the citizens shows their disdain and will to retort back. Because, they don’t want to ruled by men of arms, but of civilians elected by them. This still their will. The citizens wants democracy and not be ordered by army generals. Peace.

Sudan: Is this the final days of the Sovereign Council? [and a new TMC takeover?]

To join our ranks for:

Completing the revolution and liquidating the control of Al-Bashir’s security committee, not to protect or continue the damaged transitional authority. Ending the partnership with the Military Council and canceling the constitutional document to form a purely civilian government in accordance with the goals of the December Revolution. A new civil authority of competencies committed to the line and goals of the December revolution and not an extension of the buried partnership authority. Free revolutionaries, we will continue the journey, assembly flags, September 26, 2021 AD” (Sudanese Professionals Association, 26.09.2021).

Sources in Sudan told me that the army has removed security from protecting the dismantling committee. Some claim that the security forces are making a point that they’re the protectors of the revolution. Others fear a more cynical ploy. Lots still unclear” (Matnashed, 26.09.2021).

Today, we are getting news of tensions between the civilians and the military wing of the Sovereign Council. This is all happening after the foiled coup mere days ago on the 21st September 2021. As there was several of generals and high ranking officials involved in it.

So, now the military leaders and generals within the Sovereign Council, the remaining Transitional Military Council (TMC) leaders are acting as sole custodians of the state. Which was partly the fear when they had the majority and the control of the Sovereign Council. As the civilian revolutionary groups under the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC) which one of them was the Sudanese Professionals Association. They are not retaliating and reacting to the news.

Because of all of this. There is now clear speculations that the TMC is planning to get their own “appointed” civilian leaders within the Sovereign Council. So, that they can control them and have total power. Instead of civilians who guards the revolution and it’s ideas. That would be a “bloodless coup” in favour of the TMC. Where they are securing their interests and power within the state. As well, as stifling the transition and prolonging the transition period.

We know the TMC has already acted, as they have suspended all meetings with civilian counterparts, plus taking away their security details. As they are accepting violence and vandalism happening to their homes.

Clearly this is planned and scheduled, as the Al-Burhan and Hemeti blamed civilians right after the foiled coup attempt as well. Even when the ones arrested was part of the military and not civilian leaders. At least not the ones that published to the general public or in International media. That’s why this is a political ploy to take total control and dismiss civilian transition from military rule.

In Port Sudan tonight protesters was saying: “Leave, leave Burhan, we don’t need you Burhan”.

That says it all and the TMC is not there because of the people, but because they arms and guns.

One of the founders, Muhammad Al-Faki Suleiman of FFC has said this: “This bitter contract that we swallowed and called the partnership, we did not accept it except because after two years we will go to the polls, eager for the stability of this country. We will not allow anyone to manipulate the fate of this country, and we will not allow anyone to alter this equation as he wants”.

It is interesting times ahead and it will not be easy. Peace.

Sudan: A foiled coup attempt in Khartoum

“There was a coup attempt to take over power and it has been contained.” (Sudan Armed Forces).

The Sovereign Council’s biggest test to date have been this morning. As several of army commanders had a mutiny and went into coup d’état mode. There been reports of 40 generals or high-ranking commanders arrested because of their activity this morning.

As the soldiers and tanks are now on the streets. It has already been questions and doubt about the current rulers. As the bread prices are running high and the lack of civilian transition. The Sovereign Council has sort of betrayed the revolution and they did so through military protocol.

The ringleader of the coup is said to be General Abdel-Baqi Bakrawi. He and his associates will face investigation and punishment now. The foiled coup will be a stain on his legacy. However, people say these men, the former allies of former President Omar Al-Bashir is behind it. Therefore, they grow tired of the Al-Burhan and Hamdok transitional government.

We know there was pressure and that this transitional government was fragile. Even with all the military might and capacities within the ranks of the Sovereign Council. As the generals and leaders of old was there. It was not like it was most civilians there or appointed. Neither, was there many from the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC). That’s why the public support for the Sovereign Council might not be as strong as it is perceived either.

We also know that Ethiopia have had a violent approach to the border conflict closely tied to the Tigray region. Therefore, some is even speculating that the Addis Ababa rulers have supported and tied into the foiled coup. However, that is mere speculation at this point. However, there have been seen and taken arms going to rebels from Ethiopia crossing into Sudan. This has been happening in recent months and therefore the word of mouth spreads fast.

Time will tell what is happening and what will go down. Some is afraid and thinks this is the first of many. As there is a will and someone might even succeed. We cannot know that today, but this is what happens when you let the military in control of a government. Instead of elections, you get coups and new commanders who wants to rise to power.

The Sovereign Council needs to prove its worth and value. They cannot skate away on old promises and lack of results. Peace.

A memo to the AU: If IGAD can’t do it, why do you think Obasanjo can do it?

The African Union (AU) has today appointed the former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo as the High Representative for the Horn of Africa. The African Union Commissioner might have the best interests at heart here and the will to make a difference. However, at this point of time and with the leaders at today. This appointment will go nowhere.

The AU could have appointed a saint, a maverick and a superstar to this role. They could have had the best negotiator even known to mankind and it still wouldn’t resolve anything. In 2021 and with the current head of states. There will not be any will or resolve to silence the guns. No, that’s not happening.

Mr. Obasanjo is getting another pay-check. He is getting another retirement-fund and additional high ranking official status. Being a diplomat and getting VIP treatment in Addis Ababa. He will not lack the perks and the bottle-service. However, that will not change the matters on the ground.

If there would have been a possible change, the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) would have made some significant moves. The IGAD is already there to do this and ensure stability on the Horn of Africa. As IGAD says itself: “IGAD to be the premier Regional Economic Community (REC) for achieving peace and sustainable development in the region. Mission: Promote regional cooperation and integration to add value to Member States’ efforts in achieving peace, security and prosperity”.

So with that in mind, the Horn of Africa should already have an organization and the apparatus to achieve peace and security. Now, that is futile and lacking. That’s why the AU is boosting it’s operation and hiring Obasanjo to make things look good. However, he will not go anywhere or get anything done. At least nothing substantial or fruitful. Except for cashing-in and enjoying VIP treatment.

Obasanjo will get the cold-shoulder, which Sudanese Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok has gotten. Not to mention the double-speaking and erratic diplomatic cables of Mogadishu. Which we have seen in coordination with the AU Chair of the Year Felix Tshisekedi. When Hamdok have gotten silent treatment from Addis Ababa. Not like Asmara will be friendly either. Djibouti President Ismaïl Omar Guelleh will be all smiles, as he has all the major powers having military bases and that’s why he feels untouchable.

The former Nigerian President have to magic. He has to show all of his tricks of his trade and negotiations. As there are several of conflicts and not lacking of guns in rotation. There are so much hurt, pain and social animosity. That it isn’t a steady and strong Horn of Africa at this point. No, everyone is pinned in one conflict or another.

If it is battle of clans within Somalia. If it is Al-Shabab sending suicide bombs or retaliating at the AMISOM mission somewhere. If it is Issa-Somali militias targeting Ethiopian regions of Ogaden and Afar. If it is all the Liberation Fronts going to war against the Tripartite Alliance within Ethiopia. If it is the skirmishes and the simmering conflict between Ethiopia and Sudan over the Al-Fashqa triangle. Together with the genocidal war in the Tigray region of Ethiopia. There is no stop of warfare and conflicts currently happening.

That is why Obasanjo have not only a mountain to climb but several actually. In combination with the elections in Somalia. There is no shortlist of hurdles and hardships. If he will even touch on those and not only smile for pressers. It would be likely to have low-level consultations and meetings. However, he will not gather all the hopeful and neither be allowed to meet all parties. No, the states involved rather wants to annihilate and get rid of enemies. They are not willing to talk to them. That’s why IGAD has failed and why Obasanjo will be left astray as well.

Obasanjo will be a nice-poster child for this. He will bring good publicity but not achieve anything. That is the outset and the ones around making sure of. It is not like the heads of state is changing in a matter of no-time and that these are suddenly becoming will partners of dialogue. Especially, when they haven’t considered or even tried before. That’s why the mission of the High Representative is futile.

He should call up IGAD and get their in-put. Because, there is nowhere to hide here and the snakes are ready to bite. Peace.

Sudan: The Sovereign Council got huge hurdles to pass

The Sovereign Council or the Transitional Government of Khartoum have a lot on their plate. The Sudanese government haven’t only skirmishes on the border towards Ethiopia. The state doesn’t only have the power vacuum in Darfur as the United Nations-African Union mission in the Darfur region of Sudan (UNAMID) is winding down.

The post Al-Bashir reign isn’t smooth, as the public feels disappointed, as the current leaders have betrayed the ideals of the revolution. The military leaders with very limited amount of civilians got a big problems to fix. That is not only the issues of getting legitimacy abroad, but handle the current financial strains, which was the final straw of the oppression of the 30 years long dictatorship.

Just read this from the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA. What they are stating about the current affairs in Sudan is worrying. Take a look!

OCHA stats of April 2021:

Sorghum and millet prices in March 2021 were exceptionally high, up to three times the already high March 2020 levels, mainly due to the depreciation of the local currency. The Central Bureau of Statistics reported that the inflation rate was at 342 per cent in March, an increase of 11 points from 331 per cent in February. The economy of Sudan shrank by about 72 per cent between 2015 and 2020, while the number of people in need of humanitarian assistance increased by about 130 per cent. In 2021, World Vision plans to reach 2.1 million of Sudan’s most vulnerable children across the Blue Nile, South Kordofan, South and East Darfur states” (OCHA, 22.04.2021).

What this is saying is that prices for food has tripled in a year. The inflations rate is so huge that it’s the definition of hyper-inflation. This is clearly destroying the ability of people to buy food or afford to live. When the inflation is like that and with prices on food is rising as high. That will cause demonstrations and riots. This in combination of the continued militarization of government without any proof of a transition to a civilian government. The public will address this and we could easily see their hurt and ability for a new round of revolution. This time not after Al-Bashir and his party, but to topple the Sovereign Council.

That so many people needs humanitarian assistance as well, as the state isn’t making things better. They are not able to create stability of currency, prices and with the inflation. That in combination with the lack of humanitarian assistance too. The Sovereign Council got its work cut out for it. This is just two years after its formation and with the power of the Transitional Military Council (TMC), which has the majority in it.

This is men of the military, militias and such who has the reigns. These are no technocrats or bureaucrats, except for the Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok. The ones in the council is former generals and leaders of the army. That is why it’s not strange that they are wrecking the economy. An economy which was tanking when they took power. So, they haven’t been able in two years to change the problems. While making more people suffering and possibly rising hunger, as the needs are ever growing.

The state got a lot on its plate. These recent reports is worrying and if things get more tricky in the future. Don’t be shocked if the public revolt or the population riots against their loss of value of currency, rising food prices and the constant struggle to survive. These military men are clearly not up for the job and they are not able to stabilize the situation. Peace.

Sudan: Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok letter to UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres on GERD mediation (13.03.2021)

Ethiopia-Sudan Tensions: Ethiopia arming the SPLM-N in the Blue Nile State

Sudanese military sources said that the Ethiopian government provided logistical support to Joseph Touka’s forces in Blue Nile, including weapons, ammunition and combat equipment. The sources indicated that the support arrived in the Yabous region on February 27, 2021 AD, and the support was received by Commander Joseph Touka and some of his forces’ commanders” (…) “The sources emphasized that the Ethiopian government aims to use Commander Joseph Touka to occupy the city of Kurmuk with the support of Ethiopian artillery, with the aim of dispersing the efforts of the Sudanese army on the eastern front” (Sudan Plus, 07.03.2021)

Who is Commander Touka? Well, his Commander Joseph Touka Ali, First Deputy Chairman of the SPLM and Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Sudan People’s Liberation Army – North. So, his not a nobody and a high ranking commander in the SPLM-N. 

The SPLM-N killed Sudanese soldiers in early January 2021 in Malkan, Blue Nile State. So, these rebels are still active and it is suspicious that the Ethiopian government is supporting and supplying them with arms. That is a deliberate act to destabilize and strengthening one rebel outfit or militia. I am sure the Ethiopian government would be happy, if the Sudanese suddenly begun to give Samri or the TPLF abundantly arms as well. They would be crying out loud and call it interference in their “internal affairs”.

This is a devious act of Addis Ababa to weaken Khartoum leadership in one of their states. Not only have the skirmishes and battles in the Al-Fashaqa region. They want to intervene and use other proxies in the Blue Nile State.

Since December 2020 … the Ethiopian army have entered into Sudan. They have gone together with the Amhara Para-Military Group “Fano” and tried to take control of border posts there. They have later been beaten back and the Sudanese have taken control of the region again. Therefore, they would maybe prefer having battles on various of fronts. This to weaken the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF). However, they were able to intercept the ploy, but this is worrying.

The worry is that the Ethiopian counterparts are willing to do this. As the Sudanese was doing the opposite when the conflict in Tigray started in November 2020. At that point, the Sudanese intercepted weapons going for the TPLF. They stopped it and confiscated it. While the Ethiopians are doing the opposite. That says it all of their objectives.

This isn’t a sign of brotherhood, but using optional proxy to weaken an enemy. As the Ethiopian army and Fano has already been attacking the Sudanese … so now they are trying to find other ways too.

The Ethiopian government supporting SPLM-N just says it all. They are not coming in peace, but seeking for more bloodshed. Their motivation is maybe revenge of the humiliation at the border in Al-Fashaqa region. They want to annex more land and the Prime Minister Abiy wants to be biggest warlord on the Horn of Africa, apparently. Peace.