
“Rwanda is planning an attack on Burundi and is also the author of the 2015 coup. It organized, recruited, financed, and trained the youth in Mahama’s camp by supplying them with weapons” (…) “We have received credible information that Rwanda intends to attack our country. We will not remain inactive if we are attacked by Rwanda” – President Evariste Ndayishimiye (26.03.2025).
There been brewing tensions and distrust between Rwanda and Burundi for a long time now. This isn’t new and it’s been hostile. There is little to no love between President Evariste Ndayishimiye and President Paul Kagame. These two wouldn’t meet and greet, unless someone paid them handsomely to do so.
The accusations from Ndayishimiye is something that shouldn’t be taken lightly. Regardless of the reality or the facts, as this says something about the state of mind too. The possibility of the deception and the manners of which the neighbour operates with proxies in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). That’s why there is a possibility and a reason not to trust Kigali.
There is no brotherly love between Kigali and Bujumbura/Gitega. No, there is only displeasure and displeased people. There are old grudges and possible sentiment of betrayal in the air too. These two gentlemen won’t square it out or hold talks. They can’t stand each other and it’s obvious over the years too. These two don’t even want to attend summits with each other or even be in close association. It is just that sort of vibe and it shows it too. They are both feeling the tension and avoiding it like the plague.
That’s why the words and the reasoning of Ndayishimiye have to be listened too. We know that Rwanda and allies would downplay or disregard the narratives of Burundi from the onset. They wouldn’t “own it” or acknowledge it if it was true. No, the Rwandans would just blankly dismiss it and call it “fake news”. That’s what it does about their other proxies and other interference in other nations. So, why couldn’t it do it to Burundi, it’s neighbour? It isn’t far-fetched.
We know Red-Tabara is claiming to be a self-sustainable and Burundi supported outfit, but there is no proof of this and only their own words. That is hallow and we shouldn’t be shocked if it is a proxy, which serves a purpose for Rwanda either. This isn’t a new tactic, but just has another name and mission.
At this very moment and time… it is all speculation. Not like the credible intelligence have been proved or released. Neither is the Buundian authorities releasing intel or anything like that so that we can verify the allegations. That’s why this is just hearsay and a possibility.
We know what Kigali and Kagame is willing to do. There is no denial in that, but that his doing this and have tried to topple the Burundian government. That isn’t proven and tested, neither is there anything in the wind showing signs of otherwise. This is why the allegations are serious, but the truth is uncharted territories. Therefore, we have to await and see, if the truth will set people free or not.
The President of Burundi is now the man who has the burden to prove it all. We have to wait now and see if there is anything to it. The love is already lost between the gentlemen. So, we know they won’t mince nice words about each other… Peace.











