




The National Resistance Movement and President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni have created a negative spiral of debt. The state have taken out more and more debt over the years. The CSBAG, Uganda Debt Network and other organizations have spoken out about this. As the state have the need to pay more in interests and it takes away more from the general budget.
Now the state is saying it has 65 Trillion Shillings in unsustainable debt. That is happening after the Parliament have had sessions over the last few years. Where the only thing they do is to vote over debt and approve more loans to the state for various of development projects, roads and you can wonder if it does anything.
The state is now owning a lot of money. More money than it usually uses in a state budget. The state budgets of late have had half of the revenue coming from domestic taxes and the other either grants or loans. There is also additional supplementary budgets, which is coming in cycles during the budget year. Which is adding more debt… and creating more debt.
There been worry about the rise of debt, but the NRM and the President has said it has been done within reason. However, that is now the chickens coming home to roost. There is enough problems ahead and the state has created this financial conundrum. It has been done deliberately over time.
The Parliament is on the regular issuing now loans… and taking new loans. While hoping one day they have the revenue to actually do these things. The state is spending money and funds it doesn’t have. That is an unforgiving task… and the NRM cannot run away from this.
The NRM have created problem. The appointments of the President is doing this. The Bank of Uganda (BoU) and Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development (MoFPED) should have seen this coming. They have been looking over the expenditures and the interests rates. They know when the grace periods of the loans are over. These folks are the ones who has the oversight and supposed sound judgement to advice the Parliament to accept all these loans. However, that is clearly not the case.
The state is crippling its budgets, overspending and over-loaning funds over time. Now, the creditors and debtors wants their pieces of coins back. They cannot bail on it or default on it. Then the state will not be trustworthy and be credible as a economic broker. The state is clearly struggling and lacking funds. That’s because they are having trouble to raise domestic revenue and have to high costs.
This is a self-inflicted ill-advised debt-cycle. A government not listening to CSBAG, Uganda Debt Network and others. The NRM and Museveni should have done that. It will be harder for them to get solidarity this time around. As the Museveni era of now is destructive. The state actions against its own citizens and totalitarian acts. Is not the ones who makes outsiders forgiving like it did in the early 1990s when Museveni was part of a new group of leaders that the West had hopes in. However, that boat has sailed and the truth has come out. That is why Museveni is still there and depleting the state like there is no tomorrow. This is why the debt is rising and its run without any balance of the budgets. That is why the debt is rising and there is no way out.
They want debt forgiveness. However, getting that now will be a feat, but not sustainable either. As this state will just take out new loans and not re-coup or try to absorb the lack of revenue, which is causing the problem in the first place. That is why the state doesn’t have any liquidity or equity to trade for the lack of revenue. It is just a sinking boat and the captain seems clueless…
Deficit financing can only take that far and now its at the end of that journey. Peace.

Since the establishment of the East African Community (EAC) on the 30th November 1999 there been a promise of more integration and “open” borders between the member states. However, there has by the time and the promise been hurdles. Seemingly with time the EAC Partner States or Member States should have resolved these, but there seems to significant changes with every twist and turn.
This involves Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda. They are part of it and has their place. The EAC is working on a Customs Union, Common Market, Monetary Union and the Political Federation/Confederation.
The last piece has moved further as the EAC secretariat is having a 14 day consultations in Uganda and drafting a EAC Political Federation Constitution. That will be vastly different than the treaty, which established the EAC in November 1999. The EAC haven’t even been able to create the other features promised in the EAC. How will it be able to create a confederacy? When it cannot even ensure common market and a customs union over all these years?
Rwanda has distrust with Burundi. Burundi has distrust with Rwanda. Rwanda and Uganda are distrusting each other. Kenya and Tanzania are having squabbles. Even Kenyan and Uganda are having trade-wars too. All of this are supposed to be settled and be water under the bridge. All the people are supposed to be humble and let bygones be bygones. Just forgetting about the issues and the diplomatic impasses, which haven’t been settled and cleared.
Justice Benjamin Odoki can believe in the Confederacy and establishing a Confederation. However, there are two many chickens who isn’t allowed to pass border points. There are to much milk wasted and fighting over ownership over islands on Lake Victoria to suddenly kiss and make up. There are so many hurdles which needs a resolve before even starting writing a constitution for a huge project like this.
Burundi wouldn’t even participate or be part of EAC Heads of State with Rwanda as the Chairman of the EAC of late. There so many possible conflicts and landmines, which if one person dances on that field. It would blow up right in your face.
In 2021 the EAC Confederacy seems like a dream. A dream Yoweri Museveni has had for years. However, it is not sustainable or viable when you cannot even set the bar or the standards for trading chickens across the EAC. When you are not able to trade milk or maize. There are just to many issues with the small offerings, before you take the whole house.
The EAC will go from being a regional intergovernmental organisation to a League of Nation with a Union of Sovereign States united for one purpose. The EAC would become similar to the European Union in East Africa. The EALA and EAC Head of State Summits would have more power and a bigger mandate. They would regulate the trading agreements and joint movement rules between all the member states. That is furthering the powers of today’s secretariat in Arusha.
The EAC needs to fix the spoils and the neighbourly spats which are happening in East Africa. Before they are bounding itself a bigger adventure. When it hasn’t fixed and ensured more flexible trading between the nations. How can it suddenly become a EU of the East Africa?
I don’t see that happening. The EAC needs to gets the ducks in a row or be able to trade chickens before it makes the EALA into the next European Parliament and configures its own European Commission. As it already has its Heads of State Summits, which is more a photo-op these days. Than a place of unity and pledges of furthering the integration of the partner states.
That’s why the EAC needs to swallow some chickens and drink some chai tea before it continues this journey. Peace.

The newly introduced Parish Development Model (PDM) isn’t anything new. The state is continuing their game drive and trying to find their prey. The National Resistance Movement (NRM) have launched all sort of money schemes to elevate the economy over the years. All of them have been quick-fixes, but not materialized. If it had… the state wouldn’t see the need to spend on yet another scheme of this fashion.
The NRM and President Museveni have launched all sort of schemes with similar outputs and lack of results. Just to take it all through the historical drive, which I did with the launch of Emyooga in 2020.
I got to rewind the winner of last year:
The Savings and Credit Cooperative Societies (SACCOs) was launched in 1992 in the Republic. The second started with Entandikwa in 1995. When that ended in 2002, they launched National Agricultural Advisory Services (NAADS). In 2004 they launched Rural Micro Finance Project. In the meantime there been launches of Micro Finances schemes for the public from donors and NGOs. In 2013 there was two new schemes, it was the Youth Livelihood Programme and Operation Wealth Creation (OWC).
So, it is nothing new with the PDM. The PDM following the history of Emyooga, OWC, NAADS, Rural Micro Finance Project, Entandikwa and SACCOs. All of these should have made a difference and created a paradigm shift and a new financial reality for the citizens. However, they have never cut it and the reports on their deliveries have been shattering. They are a cash-cow for the elite and the inner-circle of the state. Who are getting quick deals with shell-companies and selling bad products for a giant cut. That is how things are ending up eventually.
The bits and bobs get crushed. The lack of funds and lack of proof of expenditure. The auditor general and others will drop knowledge on the wrongs of the scheme, but nothing happens. Even when the Parliament Committee looks through it all. The state machinery continues and its at a loss without any constructive results.
There will be someone who gets kickbacks and there will be “missing funds”. The PDM will follow suit of the others. Especially, when the state says it will be “wealth creation” at “parish levels”. This is practically rebranding OWC, SACCOs, NAADs and Emyooga. There is nothing new here, but a new name and a new budget post. The Office of the Prime Minister might have a new portfolio and another outlet to do state work.
Therefore, this is just relaunching the same thing with a new banner. A banner and a programme without any new proof of working. They are just relaunching … and rehashing old ideas with new names. The government are only doing this for cheap publicity and seemingly doing some grass-root work.
The PDM is bound to fail, because the other ones did as well. The money will be wasted and it is just a matter of time… before scandals are rocking this and the ones running it has to address it. That is how these are goes. There is not enough checks-and-balances plus the big-men has an excuse to eat. That is what is happening and the reasons for relaunching failures like these. Peace.








Today Resident City Commissioner for Kampala Hudu Hussain released a press release called: “Warning to those involving in acts of sabotaging the Emyooga Program and the Presidential Directives on the Markets”. My question after that and his threats…. who will investigate these matters? Or to be more frank, who will detect some crimes with these state schemes?
What is striking is that the RCC of Kampala warns “opposition elements” and wants to “flush them out”. However, what the RCC should be worried about is the ones who is buying bad seedlings or procuring things at a high-price. If not the ones who is getting kickbacks, paying ghosts and getting in a circle or ill-advised trade. That is what usually happening. This is the lesson the previous schemes have shown the world. That is Operation Wealth Creation (OWC) was such a mess… and we know why, but his highness will not butcher or incriminate his own kin. We just know that.
So, at this point with the newest scheme of the government. The scheme they used to hold rallies and public meetings outside of the elections road map. They are now warning the opposition. Nevertheless, if there are some ill activity. Shouldn’t the authorities look into this?
Like shouldn’t the Auditor General (OAG) or the Public Procurement and Disposal of Public Assets Authority (PPDA). Maybe even the Inspectorate General of Government (IGG) or the Uganda Investment Authority (UIA). Heck, the Financial Intelligence Authority (FIA) or the newly minted Anti-Corruption Unit at the State House. Without using any of the direct outfits of the Police Force or the Judiciary. There is several of places where the state should be able to find the wrong doers and find the culprits. Nevertheless, the statement or the warning of the government official doesn’t state any of these.
With the ACU at the State House there is 6 agencies within the state apparatus that could look into corrupt behaviour. Still, they are not able to catch or willing to find the ones who do. The state has more than enough government bodies to sufficiently stop this if it matters. However, all of these parastatals should easily do this. Nevertheless, that is never happening and seems to be impossible.
Still, it is ironic that the opposition has to be flushed out. When the biggest scandals and corruption cases have involved the state officials and high ranking officials within the ruling party. It haven’t been guys associated with the FDC or NUP. No, these brothers and sisters has been yellow and been close to the “high above”. These have been charged and sometimes even court-side, but with time the charges been dropped and the case even dismissed. They got caught thieving but still off the hook. Therefore, these sort of warnings should be to the ones on the bus and not the ones under the umbrella.
The state have the machinery and the agencies to fight corruption, if it was a priority and if they really cared about it. However, we all know the drill and they catch the small fishes, but the sharks gets away. That is just the game and its rigged. Peace.



In Ethiopia there been open warfare since November 2020. This is now seeing effects far away from the Tigray region. The truth is that warfare and conflicts cost. You pay for mercenaries, soldiers, food, shelter and heavy weaponry. All of that costs and implicates the economy. The spending have to go from somewhere and has to settled. This means certain other parts of the economy looses its value or gets less of investments. In which things gets scarce or get hit by the new demand. Since the Tripartite Alliance needs more supplies for their warfare.
Addis Fortune Reported on the 5th April 2021 this:
“There appears little solace for consumers in Ethiopia, with the year-on-year headline inflation reaching at 20.6pc in March this year, a little over the nearly 20pc annual average last year. The largest increase in prices was seen in food items such as edible oil, fruit and vegetables and spice, according to a statement by the Ethiopian Statistics Agency. The consumer price index (CPI) for the month of March shows a 22pc jump compared to the same period last month. Non-food items such as fuel and energy, alcohol, tobacco and chat as well as transport, medical expense and construction materials have seen an increase in prices of 18.9pc” (Addis Fortune – ‘Headline Inflation Reaches 20.6pc on Year’, 05.04.2021).
This is the government excuse for the rising inflation:
“ADDIS ABABA–The continuous demand-supply imbalance and ill-investment strategy of the former administration have resulted in the structural and worsening current inflation, so disclosed Planning and Development Commission. The Commission’s Deputy Commissioner with the rank of State Minister Nemera Gebeyehu (Ph.D) told The Ethiopan Press Agencey (EPA) that even though many people believe inflation is worsened after the reform, the reform measures taken by the government do minimize the inflation, but a lot remains to be done since it is structural driven from the ill-investment strategy of the former administration” (Dargie Kahsay – ‘Ethiopia: Previous Maladministration Takes Blame for Current Inflation – Commission’, 03.04.2021, The Ethiopian Herald).
We are clearly seeing here the effects of the mismanagement or priorities of the state. A steady war is costly and the price of that is on the citizens. That is why the prices are going up and the state will lack currency. The state will do whatever it can to continue supply and generate enough funds. Which in the end means more inflation and devalued currency, which will also means the citizens will get less for their money and imported goods will be more expensive. It is a vicious circle and a negative spiral. That this government is doing by its efforts as a Tripartite Alliance member and fighting on its own soil.
The Prosperity Party is also blaming the old EPRDF, which it was in coalition with and consolidated power from. The PP is practically not taking responsibility for the actions in office and only pushes it on the previous government. That is really rich. Just like all warfare is the TPLF to blame in Tigray. This is following a pattern and the excuses is getting old.
The PP should seriously be worried about the rate the inflation is going and what shocks this will have for the citizens. There is already videos reminiscent of the fuel crisis in 2015. This being leaked clips and statements of troubles getting fuel in Addis Ababa all week. That is a sign of what to come and costs of the war.
The Addis Ababa administration should be worried about this. The costs of war is coming forward now. Not only the loss of prestige with the Prime Minster and the image as a whole. The PP and the PM isn’t looking like reformers anymore, but as a warlords. They are not only brining destruction to the Region of Tigray, but also destroying the economy as a result. This will be carried for long and effects of the war will take a toll. We can just wonder about how many will pay the additional costs and struggle because of it. That is how these things goes. The elites and the one in-charge will not feel it, but the average citizen has to live with the new standard. They are paying the price for the inflation and have to collect whatever they can out of their currency. Peace.