
“Our recent request for access to the sea has raised fears that Ethiopia is leading an invasion. I want to assure you that Ethiopia will not assert its interests through war” – Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali (26.10.2023)
Nations and diplomacy isn’t done like a light switch. As a Nation you can build up trust and a reputation. Where you have beneficial and cordial agreement, which is mutual and profitable for both parties. This being trade, cultural exchanges or other arrangements, which makes relations blossom between two nations.
However, lately there been brewing scepticism and worry about the intentions of Addis Ababa. No one should blame them for having ill feeling either. When the Nations of the Horn of Africa pushes back and says “no” to Ethiopia. The Prosperity Party and the regime of Addis isn’t getting “love” but getting “rebuked” or lectured by its neighbours. That being Djibouti, Somaliland, Somalia or Eritrea.
While the Prime Minister spoke these words and tried to “chill” the tension down on the 116th Army Day with his speech. After he earlier in the month in a rant in Parliament spoke of being prisoners and the need for access to ports in Parliament. That’s why we shouldn’t take it lightly or with ease that he back-pedal now.
The PM has spoken softly about peace dozens of times, but he has issued war. The PM is a warlord and could easily order another one for the idea of grand Ethiopia and have direct access to the “red sea”. The ENDF did chant while marching “Red Sea is Ours” today. Therefore, the speech is just to buy momentarily “peace” and await the right moment to strike.
The trust between Addis Ababa and Asmara is fading already. The Eritrean media is already leaking and speaking ill of Abiy. They are already targeting and speaking of secrets, which it has kept until they felt betrayed. That’s what is happening and certainly the idea of giving up sovereign territory will be fought over and be bloody.
The PM has already enough conflict to catch on to from within. He has ensured the nation to have two civil wars. One which is he is currently preoccupied with in Amhara region. While his partly done with the one in the Tigray Region. However, he has guerrillas and militias aiming at him in Oromia and problematic issues in the Ogaden. So, it isn’t like he has everything under wraps in the Republic at the current time. The PM will have several of fronts and enemies aiming at him. The army will be stretched and the plights of the civilians will persist.
Regardless of all of that. It is the prestige and the big-man in him. He wants to achieve something and be remembered. Just like he has planted trees and been part of the green initiative. The ones that makes for remembering his greatness. While that will also fade and become small-fry. He needs to conquer and prove his name is worthy. That’s why his aiming for this and his party has dreamed about it for years. They have been awaiting to launch and have the ability to have an actual navy. This has been reported years ago and it has already a logo too. That’s how the PP and the PM works.
They have most likely preplanned an attack or thought of a way to outsmart their former allies in Eritrea. This is what they did in the Tigray region and when the invasion happened. They went in from several of fronts to conquer it quickly. The same has to be done with Eritrea. That would be the second ally of Abiy that he betrays and goes lethal against. Just like he has turned his guns against FANO and Amhara Popular Front (APF). The ones who fought with him in the Tigray war.
That’s why I don’t trust his words. They are not honest. Abiy can lie and deceive. That’s why he speaks poetically about “peace” but orders mechanical divisions to the borders and has drones ready to ambush whoever that is his target. Peace.










