Trump underestimated the North Koreans!

Well, let’s be honest, Mr. Trump, the American President isn’t a good negotiator, neither a deal-maker, he is a fraud and fake. That is why he is not succeeding here; he hasn’t staffed the Department of State properly, neither worked for the long-con, when conserving diplomacy. Usually he back-offs of deals and doesn’t create them. The ones he has put his names on, are questionable at best and just ask the manufacturing companies he signed off on during the campaigning. Wonder how well they are doing now, well, they are sacking employees after the state offered cash-up-front and now they are moving over-seas. Such a grand old dealer, more like snake-oil salesmen, the world can see from a mile away.

Therefore, after the Americans and South Koreans went ahead with military practices, they knew this was bad timing, as everything are supposed to be slowly moving and gently move to the gathering of the all the stakeholders and negotiate at the summit. However, that seems likely more far-fetched. Even if Mike Pompeo continues to boost Kim Yung-Un and his brigade, he is more worried about the military exercises in South Korea, than anything else!

That is why it is foolish to believe Trump could pull this off. He is more likely starting a war, because someone mentions the size of his hands or anything else personal about his appearance. Nevertheless, that is just a sidetrack, first part of the statement from DPRK, before what Trump said a few days only!

North Korean Statement today:

“The historic Panmunjom Declaration cannot be implemented by the unilateral efforts of a single party but can result in a good fruition only when the two parties create favorable conditions and climate by pooling their efforts. We cannot but take a step of suspending the north-south high-level talks scheduled on May 16 under the prevailing seriously awful situation that a mad-cap north-targeted war and confrontation racket are being kicked up in south Korea. The south Korean authorities, lost to all senses, should be held wholly accountable for the scuttled north-south high-level talks and the difficulties and obstacles in the way of the north-south relations. The U.S. will have to think twice about the fate of the DPRK-U.S. summit now on high agenda before a provocative military racket against the DPRK in league with the south Korean authorities. We will closely watch the ensuing behavior of the U.S. and the south Korean authorities” (KCNA – ‘KCNA Blasts U.S. and S. Korea for Staging Large-scale Military Drill against DPRK’ 16.05.2018).

Well, this was Trumps statement on the 10th May:

“This is a great honor. Hopefully everything is going to work out at the highest level. We want to thank Kim Jong-un, who really was excellent to these three incredible people. They are really three incredible people. And the fact that we were able to get them out so soon was really a tribute to a lot of things, including a certain process that’s taking place right now. And that process is very important. So we will see what happens. We have a meeting scheduled in a very short period of time. You’ll be hearing about it soon. We have the location set. And we will see if we can do something that people did not think was going to happen for many, many years, and a lot of bad things could have happened in between” (Donald J. Trump – ‘Remarks by President Trump at Arrival of Americans Detained in North Korea’ 10.05.2018).

Clearly, Trump isn’t a diplomat and never has been. That is proven, he doesn’t have the mental capacity or the understanding of a massive take this would be. Since, they didn’t think it was a bad idea to continue practicing their weapons and equipment close to a summit. It just shows, that they expected DPRK to wind down their nuclear operations, and still continue like yesterday across the border. Even if you don’t like the DPRK dictatorship or anything it stands for. It is still within reason, to expect both parties to change activity and show goodwill. Not only the DPRK. That Dictator Kim Yung-Un is far from angel is shown by his acts against the ones seemingly being his enemies. However, when your negotiating and trying to figure out a deal or an agreement, you should carefully cross the rivers, not bulldoze it.

That is what the United States with South Korea has done, instead of postponing it and even notify the opposition North of the border. They have continued like everything is cool. Without thinking about the consequences. That is why the DPRK calls it provocations. That is happening as the DPRK promise to demolish their nuclear facilities. However, who knows if they will do that now. They clearly got the upper-hand and played smart, while the US in particular has played right into the dictators hand. They have forgotten key principals, as they should walk carefully and find a positive narrative before the Summit. Instead, they have made it worse and now the DPRK might not even show-up.

Trump doesn’t know this, because he don’t study, he don’t practice and his partly never listen. That is why he suck as a diplomat and as someone who has this sort of play at stake, he should be selling chicken-wings and not peace. That is something he cannot carry. That is proven, the load is too heavy for him. Time to watch Fox & Friends and forget the summit. He will just make it worse. Peace.

Opinion: Why is PM May deliberately stupid?

Today on the 13th May 2018, Prime Minister Theresa May wrote an article on Facebook called: ‘Trust me, I’ll take back control — but I’ll need your help’. This is an article on her defense on her and her parties stance on Brexit, as it is supposed to address the lacking framework for the negotiations with the European Union, as the United Kingdom is withdrawing their membership. However, she must think the electorate of United Kingdom are a bunch of fools.

Since she wrote first this: “We will leave the Single Market because staying in the Single Market means continued free movement of people, but we will maintain the strongest possible trading partnership with our European neighbours and create new trade deals around the world ensuring that we seize the opportunities to build an economy that works for everyone”. Than to continue the hogwash, she wrote this: “And we will leave the Customs Union so we can establish our own independent trade policy and negotiate trade deals in our interests. I have proposed different options for a new customs arrangement with the EU and the government will continue to develop them during the negotiations”. Later, the final nail in coffin of nonsense, she wrote this: “This means there can be no hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, or between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK. We will uphold the Belfast Agreement in full – and we will ensure the constitutional and economic integrity of the whole United Kingdom. Second, any agreements must create as little friction as possible for trade to protect the jobs that rely on speedy and integrated supply chains. These are a valued part of our economy, particularly for our manufacturing regions”.

So the takeout of this masterpiece of nonsense, was that the United Kingdom with the Tories at the helm, will leave the Single Market and the Customs Union, while trying to get friction-less trade. I hate to say it, but that will be impossible. As the standards for trading with the EU isn’t like that and they will not configure the whole system to fit the hands of May. She might think she is the wisest of them all and the Princess all of Europe looks up-too. However, she and Her Majesty’s Government have to follow guidelines. That is within reason of everyone else and all the other member states of the Union.

If the UK leaves the Single Market and Customs Union with the EU, they will be a significant less important trading-partner by default. They will have to have a hard-border, tariffs and check-points of delivery of the product in and between the British isles. I know that the Tories will say this is not true, but if making themselves a Third-Party State to the European Union, means the trading agreements will be as hectic as they are for Zimbabwe or any other random partner trading with the EU. It will be friction, there will be tariffs and will be checks of goods. The borders and movement of funds will be costly, as the third-party nation will not have advances and securities directly with the EU. That is why the standards and the tariffs are there. Because the EU will secure trading directly with other partners and within the Union. The ones who has already signed-off to be part of the Single-Market and its business model.

Theresa May should understand that with the disconnect from both entities within the EU, there will not be possible of a stop of goods and services. The trading agreements with the EU might help, but that will be new negotiations and also suspend possible trading that exists today. Because the EU cannot have similar standards as today with a Third Party State.

That is why I think May is deliberately stupid, as she should know better. She thinks she can mix sewage and water in the same pipes, not thinking someone will catch cholera. But that is what she does. She promise golden roads to heaven, but she should have idea what the proposals really means. As an outsider, I can say that I think, she is acting like a fool, and she takes the British for a ride. Unless, that is what the Kingdom likes to played around like pawns, while the Tories play power games with them. Because that is how it seems. As the deadline for withdrawal is there… getting closer and the Tories are looking more depleted, than anyone should think was possible. Peace.

Burundi: Moussa Faki Mahamat letter to President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni on the Inter-Burundi Dialogue and the Arusha Agreement ahead of the Referendum (09.05.2018)

Sudan People’s Liberation Movement Youth League – Uganda Chapter: “Youth League decries USA’s Diplomatic Overtones on Peace Process” (09.05.2018)

SPLM-IO: “Statement from the Press Statement on the Civil War in South Sudan” (10.05.2018)

South Sudan Opposition Alliance (SSOA): The Regime in Juba is tireless working to undermine the prospect of success of the High Level Revitalization Forum (09.05.2018)

Brexit: The PMQ Today shows obvious signs that PM May doesn’t know what sort of deal she wants!

The Prime Minister Questions in the House of Commons this Wednesday 9th May 2018, proves a certain thing. That the Conservative Party and their coalition is not prepared or has any signs of where they are heading with the Brexit Negotiations. It is hectic mess of own dodgy unstable government, which is marred with internal conflict and egos. That all want their slices of the pot, but is not considering the implications of their actions. How can I say that, well, let me take the significant answer from PM Theresa May today, which show it all!

We are leaving the customs union. What we are doing is ensuring that we deliver customs arrangements but leave the customs union, ensure no hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, as frictionless trade with the EU as possible, and an independent trade policy. What would Labour give us? It wants to go into a customs union with the European Union, with no say over trade policy and with Brussels negotiating trade deals in its interests, not our own. The Labour manifesto said that it wanted to strike trade deals, but now it has gone back on that policy. Typical Labour—letting Britain down once again” (Theresa May, 09.05.2018).

It is like she is dreaming, its like she doesn’t know how the European Union operates or how negotiations work. As she is thinking she can get the specialized agreement with “non” or “soft-border” in Ireland/Northern Ireland, however, still having hard borders towards the rest of the Union. Where they will not be delivering to the protocol of trade or movement. Because that is the main issue of the Brexiteers. That is not how the world works or how the EU would accept. Because if you have soft-border one place, you have soft-border all around the island.

When I hear the PM speak, has she heard from the EU:

The European Union is giving the U.K. a take-it-or-leave-it offer over customs union membership. Remaining in the regime must be on the EU’s terms, the conditions won’t change, and it would mean Britain having no independent trade policy, Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier warned. “We can’t change our rules; our rules will remain the same,” Barnier told a business conference in Sofia on Thursday. “When you’re in a customs union for goods, like Turkey for example, you become part of a common trade policy — you don’t have autonomy anymore.” (Okov, Slav & Wishart, Ian – ‘EU Won’t Adapt Customs Union Rules to Suit Britain, Barnier Says’ 26.04.2018, Bloomberg).

So clearly, the mark has been missed. The Tories has no idea about this trade-deals and the movement, as the EU will be hard-lining the rules and regulations that all the member-states has put together. That is why the Tories are walking towards becoming a third-party state to the EU and will meet the same demands that has. Seemingly, the Brexiteers are thinking of how that will be. Its like the British is forgetting that to get into the marketplace, you have to follow the standards of that one. You can try to make your own, but that takes time. And the time is not the side of the UK right now. They have less time, they have squandered the time and now the clock is ticking.

Therefore, I have hard to believing the PM understand or has underestimated the consequences, maybe because it doesn’t hit home. It everyone else, just like the sorry misfortune of the Windrush generation, this sort of diplomatic and foreign affairs doesn’t directly hit the PM and her party. That is why it doesn’t cost to botch it or to misuse the precious time to get it fixed.

We know she did repeat herself later while answering a question put by Matt Western:

As I said earlier, there are two options for delivering on the objectives that we have set. We will leave the customs union, we want to ensure that there is no hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, we want to ensure that there is as frictionless trade as possible between the UK and the EU, and we want to ensure that we can have an independent trade policy. I say to the hon. Gentleman that what is not credible is a Labour party policy that wants us to be in a customs union, giving all the power for negotiating our trade deals to Brussels, with no say whatsoever for the UK” (Theresa May, 09.05.2018).

Therefore, the Brexiteers are still leaving the Kingdom into problematic shores, as they are cannot count on the paradigm shift or what the Tories really want. It is obvious with the talk and answers, that the UK Government, don’t know or doesn’t understand the implications it will bring. Like they are naive and thinking they can get it exactly how they want and without any costs. That is not how these sort of things play out. However, then again, it is done by David Davis and Boris Johnson, so I am sure road to oblivion sounds better than Hackney. Peace.

Opinion: Who needs enemies, when you have Trump?

There isn’t anything about this man that is about trust, except of his own ego and his own scary love for his daughter. The rest is just a relic of man, whose role in the world is supposed to be trusted and secure, but instead is a beacon of distrust and disloyalty, there isn’t any cause or any effort he will thwart because of his world-view. It isn’t anyone else he will make sure suffers, because it doesn’t fit his narrow little cable-TV mind of his. President Donald J. Trump, has yet again betrayed the world, this time with Iran and Middle East as a the pawns.

That President Trump is untrustworthy is with the change of guards, the twitching ways of bombing in Yemen, the drone attacks in Somalia, the possible pull-out in South Sudan and so on. The sudden suicidal mission in Niger, the blatant support of Saudi Arabia and other friends in the Middle East. While not having a coherent strategy in Iraq and in Syria. Therefore, that today, the United States is pulling out of the Nuclear Agreement with Iran.

Everyone should know that Trump cannot be trusted, the allies in NATO should be worried, as he has attacked them and said they haven’t done enough. Who knows if he pulls out of there too. Just like he has done with the TPP and the Paris Agreement. Nothing seems impossible, if he would ask the United Nations to change their headquarters too, would seem reasonable at this point. Because this man is of the chains. Nothing is stable, nothing is done with consensus or quorum, all in the midst of misty fog, which the farts he has made by eating to many cheese-burgers and drinking to much diet-coke.

Clearly, the world cannot anticipate a trustworthy partner in the United States, the NAFTA negotiations team, the Chinese Trade Deals and the North Koreans should know that Trump is unreasonable and a megalomaniac, who only praise his own ego, but not caring about the costs for the world around him. Like it is seemingly done on impulse without other reasons than, Obama did this, so I have to do the opposite. If Obama acted like a grown ass man, I have act like baby, if Obama talked with tact with his allies, Trump has to insult the Montenegro Prime Minister Duško Marković, because Trump has to be the big-shot and King Kong at the NATO Meeting.

So, the world doesn’t need enemies when it has Trump, he has already lied about missiles ships in Asia to spread fear around North Korea, promised that something might happen in Syria or other places. This man is pulling out of the world, but expect his guns and ammunition to hit conflicts with a steady phase. If he thinks this is wise and controlling, it will just be by rare luck if nothing going to pop-off, not like Ivanka Trump or Jared Kushner can even trade their bad estates of 666 fifth avenue in New York, and copy-cat fashion designs to make a deal like the Iran Nuclear Agreement. 3 years into the deal, he pulls out.

If I was North Korea, I would wonder if the United States can be trusted and if they should just directly talk with Seoul and not Washington. Since the mad-man in DC is off the hinges and could suddenly send drones to Pakistan, because his newly appointed such-and-such with a mustache said so. Since, nothing is impossible in this mess and the lack of reflection is a bad sign. That the microwaved and lack of possible outcome of a self-inflicted wounds are the result of pulling out of it.

I am sure Fox & Friends, Tomi Lahren and all the bad-boys of the Republican going to praise this, but the world is looking in awe and thinking, does this man has any hinges? Where does the buck stops? When will this man be better? He is only getting worse.

Who needs enemies? When you have Trump? You don’t need any, no one is so self-conflicted, split-personality and self-indicted, than the commander-in-chief. Also his neglect in lack of understanding and basic knowledge of the concerns is evident too. That is why these sort of acts appears, because he thinks he won the rose on The Bachelorette and gets another shot at the woman. Instead, its big giant policies that affects not only the region, but all powers. This is creating frantic problems, and worries about the outcome. While he is just acting like it was nothing.

Who knows the consequences now, but Iran will with time start up their Nuclear production, the arms race of the Middle East will happen with time. The United States will export more weapons and who knows how it will go. Who will shoot and who will spread fear, but in the equation, the United States cannot be trusted. The United States cannot be trusted at all, as long as Trump is at the helm.

He might end NATO tomorrow. Who knows? He got the capacity and he doesn’t care. Peace.

IGAD: Letter to South Sudan Opposition Party (06.05.2018)

Opinion: Why I have a hard time believing Museveni as a mediator in South Sudan!

When it comes to a political disagreement like we have here (South Sudan), we must have a scientific approach to its resolution, should it be resolved by force or other ways? Force should be reserved for the enemy. A disagreement among brothers should not be resolved by force,” President Museveni said” (…) “Some people have been coming to Uganda. Malong [Paul] and others. They come and talk to our people. They want to start a war because they claim Salva Kiir is being controlled by some elders. But should that be cause for war?” Museveni asked” (Kasasira, 2018).

It is okay, that anyone want all the stakeholders, all the opposition militias, all the war-lords to a sit-down and settle differences. That is cool and that is good, if there was a substantial effort for doing so, but a leader like President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni. Is not believable in this grace. He is not the kind of man to this himself. He rather get rid of his enemies and settle the score in his favor. That is what he has done in the past and is known for. He peddles a fake-peace, signs agreements and when the opposition, thinks all is golden. He strikes with fierce force and takes it all. That is Machiavellian leader Museveni is. Instead of having a proper sit-down in Kasese, he burned the Royal Palace and killed guards like their where vermin. So, that the Ugandan President said this, is sort of poetic.

But if we go further down into history, into when he was still a warlord himself and not a 32 year long life President, he was still just mere guerrilla leader, which used force for his own benefit. This was the Nairobi Talks accord and agreement, which he first signed and later dropped like a cold stew.

Mr. Museveni never helped to carry out the peace accord, refusing to take his post as vice chairman of a reconstituted military council or to nominate members to the council” (Rule, 1986). “Mr. Museveni, who signed a peace accord last month in Nairobi with General Okello in an effort to end years of bloodshed, characterized his participation in the peace talks as ”very painful” because he was sitting there ”with the criminals across the table.” He said he agreed to the accord because of pressure from other nations, which he criticized as being more interested in opening roads for trade than in the future of Uganda. He said his followers had made it clear they would not take part in any government in which ”criminals” were involved. The accord was never put into effect, and Mr. Museveni moved on Kampala a month after it was signed” (Rule, 1986).

That is why I have a big trouble with Museveni as a mediator. Not only his army is involved with the SPLA and even has a defense agreement (MoU) with them. Which means he is impartial and is indirectly a trading-partner and weapon-brother of President Salva Mayardit Kiir, which should be a no-no for anyone. However, that is not the worst issue, its a serious breach. But its the knowledge of how he himself was to settle the score and take Kampala in 1986.

In 1985 December, as the Okello Government was finalizing the Cease-Fire’s and putting down arms as the Nairobi Peace Agreement was supposed to do. Museveni armed to his teeth, continued to fight the government army and within a month took Kampala from him. That was the immoral acts and securing his NRA/M the power. Which he haven’t ceased since. So he calls the other parties and the other politicians at the talks in 1985 as criminals, however, he didn’t follow the agreement either. So, he isn’t as noble as he think he is. He used force to get his way, when he needed it. He used force against his brothers to take power and never let it go.

That is why he is the wrong guy to mediate anything. He will kill the ones who steps in his backyard and tries to take his cattle. A man who signed an agreement, but never had plans to follow it. As he wouldn’t be muffled in a coalition, which he couldn’t control. Is a man whose supposed to mediate in a conflict between various parties with different interests and motivations? Nah, you cannot be serious.

President Museveni shouldn’t be the one to trust this with, he will make sure President Kiir gets a head start and gets the weapons he needs to smash the opposition, to smash the rebel outfits and make sure the militias are dying. That is what Museveni does, he doesn’t speak peace. Unless, you leave him in peace in power. Than, you can do whatever you want. Please, remember to him your tax too. Peace.

Reference:

Kasasira, Ridsel – ‘Why Museveni is urging Kiir, opposition to hold talks’ (06.05.2018) link: http://www.monitor.co.ug/SpecialReports/-Museveni-Kiir-opposition-South-Sudan-SPLM-Igad-Machar/688342-4546986-30js91/index.html

Rule, Susan – ‘REBEL SWORN IN AS UGANDA PRESIDENT’ (30.01.1986) link: https://www.nytimes.com/1986/01/30/world/rebel-sworn-in-as-uganda-president.html

Rule, Susan – ‘REBELS IN UGANDA TAKE CONTROL OF CAPITAL, BUT BATTLES CONTINUE’ (26.01.1986) link: https://www.nytimes.com/1986/01/26/world/rebels-in-uganda-take-control-of-capital-but-battles-continue.html