Ethiopia: The OPM got an email – The TIRA Presidency Problem

“The federal government is in the process of extending the term of the interim government, taking into account the realities on the ground and in this connection it has become necessary to appoint a new president of the interim administration. According to Article 3(2) of Regulation No. 533/2015, it is the responsibility of the Prime Minister to appoint the President of the Interim Administration. Candidates who you believe can efficiently perform the duties of the Interim Administration and ensure the peace and security of the region can send their nominations to the Prime Minister’s Office email address below starting today. Reference email info@pmo.gov.et” (Abiy Ahmed Ali – ‘ Call for Notices of the President of the Interim Administration of Tigray’ 26.03.2025).

“Abiy Ahmed’s call for the election of the president of Tigray through an email from the Prime Minister’s office is not only politically inappropriate but also a clear violation of Tigray’s constitutional rights, the Pretoria Agreement, and the democratic principles that govern Ethiopia’s federal system. The only legitimate path forward is for the people of Tigray, through their locally elected representatives and in full compliance with Tigray’s constitution, to determine their political leadership. The Tigray region’s right to self-determination must be respected, and any external interference in this process must be unequivocally rejected” (Tigrayan Advocacy & Development Association (TADA) – ‘Rejection of Abiy Ahmed’s Email Call for Tigray interim Administration Presidential Elections’ 26.03.2025).

“Despite these challenges, following the TPLF’s decision to withdraw its delegation of the presidency of the Interim Government of Tigray, discussions were held with the Ethiopian government to determine a replacement. An evaluation of the Interim Administration’s performance revealed its shortcomings, leading to a consensus that the president should be replaced. Consequently, the TPLF’s Central Committee proposed General Tadesse Werede for the position, which was accepted by the Ethiopian government. However, disregarding the CoHA-led process and mutual agreement, the Office of the Ethiopian Prime Minister issued a public call for candidates, falsely asserting that the decision rests solely with the Prime Minister. This move, which contravenes the CoHA, is unacceptable” (Tigay People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) – TPLF Statement on Current Developments, 26.03.2025).

Now that the fraction of the TPLF party associated with Getachew Reda is ousted. There is uncertainty of whose taking over and becoming the President of the Interim Regional Administration of the Tigray Region. Yesterday’s action of the Prime Minister and his Office is very clear. They want to have a say and they going to decide in the end.

This decision just shows how Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali wants to insert his control and consolidate power. If the TPLF or anyone else thought, they would have a say in it. They are completely wrong. This is all about having puppets and “yes-men” in the Offices of Mekelle. Abiy only cares about control and having someone that will bend the knee for him. Therefore, the TPLF could have resolutions and ideas of who’s the successor of Reda. Regardless of that, the final say and words is Abiy’s. That is the game they played and what give way when they accepted the Pretoria Agreement. They signed of their will and bowed down to him.

The TPLF accepted this and the Tigray region is bound by it. They should have seen this coming, as Abiy have done and played other regions for fools too. Just so he can ensure they have someone he trusts and knows will serve out of loyalty to him. That’s who the PM goes for and not for anyone else. Democratic credentials or any other means doesn’t matter to the PM. He needs his “yes-man” and loyal cadre who will submit to his whims. That’s who he will chose and decide to appoint.

The loss of Reda is only the beginning and the Pretoria Agreement only gave leverage to Addis Ababa and little to nothing for the TPLF. They are now pawns and the PM is checking them. That’s what is happening here. No one should be surprised that the PM does this and think this is fair. He wants what he wants and he knows he can get it. Because, he is the Head of State and the Tigray region doesn’t want more hostilities. Therefore, he got the bargain and the trade-off was already done by the TPLF. They just made it easier with ousting Reda too.

Now Abiy can get his crony and his subject, who will serve him and not the people of Tigray. Peace.

South Sudan: Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (IO) – SPLM-(IO) – On the unlawful Arrest and Detention of H.E. Dr. Riek Machar Teny (27.03.2025)

South Sudan: Integrity South Sudan – Integrity South Sudan is calling urges the Government of South Sudan and parties to the R-ARCSS to prioritize political dialogue over the enforcement of peace (27.03.2025)

South Sudan: SPLM-IO leader and FVP Dr. Riek Machar arrested tonight

South Sudan security forces have moved to arrest First Vice President and main armed opposition leader Dr. Riek Machar, Sudans Post has learned. Sources with direct knowledge say Machar’s bodyguards have been disarmed and withdrawn, and a high-level security delegation is currently meeting him to formally inform him of the arrest. The delegation includes the head of the National Security Service, Minister of Defends and Veterans’ Affairs and the SSPDF Chief of Defense Forces” (Sudans Post, 26.03.2025).

The continued pursuit of the SPLM-IO are now in full effect. The SPLM-IG has already targeted the IO and arrested several high-ranking officials. They have completely and single-handedly shown their character and their goals of doing such. As they are claiming the IO is behind the Naath White Army and haven’t considered the implications of its actions.

J1 and allies are now altering everything. The R-ARCSS is dead. It was already in a bad state. There was little to no movement. The glacier slow implementation and prolonged interim period only caused more friction, as the personification of the state was from the President and Commander-in-Chief. Who in his capacity haven’t been able or had the sincere concern with building state institutions, but offering jobs for the boys.

That is what we are seeing now. The usage of the SSPDF and UPDF as means to an end. This is warlords issuing more war to settle grievances. This is taking it to the battlefield and ensuring instability. It isn’t talking or negotiating. No, this is just using force and deliberately undermine the others. That’s what the J1 is doing and he has the arrogance of doing so, because the UPDF mercenaries are carrying the have lifting. They are bombing and killing on his behalf…

That’s why they would dare to challenge the FVP and IO leader in this manner. Because they have the big guns and have the ability to do so. Regardless, of if Machar has done anything wrong this time around. He is being blamed and now they are capturing him. After they have gone after the people surrounding him and his party.

It just shows that the R-ARCSS isn’t worth the papers it is written on. The SPLM-IG isn’t concerned or cares about that. They can just throw it all away and think this use of force can solve anything. This is practically trying to consolidate power without the usage of protocol or negotiations, as we know this government and interim administration isn’t elected anyway.

President Kiir and J1 is walking and dancing towards war. They are beating the war drums and doing it so loudly too. This they started with a bang. There is no slowing down. They are just deciding it and ordering it to happen.

The arrest of Dr. Riek Machar isn’t just a sign, but an act. The last straw. They are pulling all the levers and sooner or later the whole dam will burst. Peace.

RDC: Forces Democratiques de Liberation du Rwanda (FDLR) – Lettre Ouverete des Forces Democratiques de Liberation du Rwanda (FDLR) – (22.03.2025)

Burundi: President Ndayishimiye allegations towards Kigali is severe…

Rwanda is planning an attack on Burundi and is also the author of the 2015 coup. It organized, recruited, financed, and trained the youth in Mahama’s camp by supplying them with weapons” (…) “We have received credible information that Rwanda intends to attack our country. We will not remain inactive if we are attacked by Rwanda” – President Evariste Ndayishimiye (26.03.2025).

There been brewing tensions and distrust between Rwanda and Burundi for a long time now. This isn’t new and it’s been hostile. There is little to no love between President Evariste Ndayishimiye and President Paul Kagame. These two wouldn’t meet and greet, unless someone paid them handsomely to do so.

The accusations from Ndayishimiye is something that shouldn’t be taken lightly. Regardless of the reality or the facts, as this says something about the state of mind too. The possibility of the deception and the manners of which the neighbour operates with proxies in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). That’s why there is a possibility and a reason not to trust Kigali.

There is no brotherly love between Kigali and Bujumbura/Gitega. No, there is only displeasure and displeased people. There are old grudges and possible sentiment of betrayal in the air too. These two gentlemen won’t square it out or hold talks. They can’t stand each other and it’s obvious over the years too. These two don’t even want to attend summits with each other or even be in close association. It is just that sort of vibe and it shows it too. They are both feeling the tension and avoiding it like the plague.

That’s why the words and the reasoning of Ndayishimiye have to be listened too. We know that Rwanda and allies would downplay or disregard the narratives of Burundi from the onset. They wouldn’t “own it” or acknowledge it if it was true. No, the Rwandans would just blankly dismiss it and call it “fake news”. That’s what it does about their other proxies and other interference in other nations. So, why couldn’t it do it to Burundi, it’s neighbour? It isn’t far-fetched.

We know Red-Tabara is claiming to be a self-sustainable and Burundi supported outfit, but there is no proof of this and only their own words. That is hallow and we shouldn’t be shocked if it is a proxy, which serves a purpose for Rwanda either. This isn’t a new tactic, but just has another name and mission.

At this very moment and time… it is all speculation. Not like the credible intelligence have been proved or released. Neither is the Buundian authorities releasing intel or anything like that so that we can verify the allegations. That’s why this is just hearsay and a possibility.

We know what Kigali and Kagame is willing to do. There is no denial in that, but that his doing this and have tried to topple the Burundian government. That isn’t proven and tested, neither is there anything in the wind showing signs of otherwise. This is why the allegations are serious, but the truth is uncharted territories. Therefore, we have to await and see, if the truth will set people free or not.

The President of Burundi is now the man who has the burden to prove it all. We have to wait now and see if there is anything to it. The love is already lost between the gentlemen. So, we know they won’t mince nice words about each other… Peace.

Opinion: “Kabobi” lives rent free in Muhoozi’s mind… Part III

“Killing Kabobi is an easy job! Very easy. He says he likes boxing. I invite him to a boxing match” (…) “Kabobi is going to get the beating of his life soon! I will promote soldiers who kills him” (…) “Tell Kabobi I didn’t beat him enough in Arua! I’m coming for him again. This time I’ll beat him properly” (…) “I won’t stand in an election with Kabobi! I will simply shoot him dead” – Commander of Defence Forces (CDF) Gen. Muhoozi Kainerubaga (25.03.2025).

The saga continues of the Drunk Master and his fairytales from his chambers. As his a Senior Presidential Advisor and the CDF of the Uganda People’s Defence Forces (UPDF). The leader of the Patriotic League of Uganda (PLU) and a General in his own rights, Mr. Muhoozi Kainerubaga, the son of the President. That is tweeting like a frantic manchild.

This isn’t the first or the last time that Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine gives Muhoozi sleepless nights, as the shadow of the opposition leader haunt him. Just like the idea of Dr. Kizza Besigye can frighten him too. They are the boogeymen that can unleash venom into his veins, apparently.

This is just magical how these ideas, thoughts and the need for revenge captures the imagination of the First Son of the President. Instead of coming with good reasoning or even solid arguments against his enemies. His instead going for the murder, the killing and the annihilation. That’s the only thing he knows and possesses his mind, his spirit and who he has become.

It is sad that a man of such influence, of such entitlement and arrogance is steeping this low. That he goes to these depts of destruction and lack of character. He should know better, but he has never had those lessons.

The General should be advised, but we know his only surrounded by “Yes-Men” and people looking for easy day-jobs. So, they want to be aligned with him and serve him beyond ordinary means. Because the General and his needs are easily fixed, and they can be seen as loyal cronies of his. That’s what he needs, and he begs for their attention as well. To boost his inflated ego and drive to be the supreme ruler of the Republic.

This man is a brute, a man who is used to using lethal means. That’s why speaks and thinks this way. It is a pattern and nothing new under the sun. Just another day in the life of the General. The man, the non-mythical and nonsensical leader who only got where he is because of birth. Muhoozi wouldn’t be where he is if it wasn’t for his father and everyone knows it. That must hurt a little bit, because it isn’t his character or his knowledge that brought him here. No, he wouldn’t have managed and he would have been a drunken nobody, mechanic or such.

We all know he wouldn’t have reached the hights of Senior Presidential Advisor or the CDF if it wasn’t for his lineage. Neither would he have reached so quickly into the ranks of General. That’s why he cannot phantom the promise and the popularity of Bobi Wine. Because he has support and is beloved by many. Meanwhile, the prestige and the arrogance of Muhoozi isn’t winning people’s hearts.

It is just proven that murder and Bobi Wine is figment of imagination of Muhoozi. He thinks, considers and speaks easily of killing an opponent. There is no joy in this. Only bare-naked threats, that we shouldn’t take to lightly. As this man has no heart or conscience to stop him from doing the unthinkable. If no one stops him or says “no”. This man could do it and we all could see it coming. Peace.

Burkina Faso: Ministere des Affaires Etrangeres, de la Cooperation Regionale des Burkinabe de l’Exterieur – Communique (25.03.2025)

Burundi: Resistance pour un Etat de Droit (RED-Tabara) – Communique (25.03.2025)

South Sudan: Office of the First Vice President – Clarification of SPLM/A-IO Participation in Peace Implementation Mechanisms (25.03.2025)