East African Community (EAC): Consultative Meeting between H.E. President Felix Antoine Tshisekedi of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and the Faciltator of the EAC-Led Nairobi Process, H.E. Uhuru Kenyatta, on the Security Situation in Eastern DRC (14.11.2022)

RDC: Martin Fayulu – Point de Presse en Rapport avec la Guerre que nous Imposent le Rwanda et l’Ouganda (16.11.2022)

United Kingdom: Dominic Raab MP letter to Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (16.11.2022)

Zimbabwe: Jonathan Moyo & Patrick Zhuwao – Open Letter to Zanu PF Members (15.11.2022)

Ukraine: Two Russian missiles fell on Poland… [and we can only speculate what happens after this]

Russia now promotes a conspiracy theory that it was allegedly a missile of Ukrainian air defense that fell on the Polish theory. Which is not true. No one should buy Russian propaganda or amplify its messages. This lesson should have been long learnt since the downing of #MH17” (Dmytro Kuleba, 15.11.2022).

Rockets fell on Poland. Two people are dead – the journalist of Radio ZET Mariusz Gierszewski found out unofficially. Two stray rockets fell in the town of Przewodów in the Lublin Voivodeship near the border with Ukraine – Unofficially radio ZET learned. They hit the grain dryer. Two people were killed. There are police, prosecutor’s office and army on the spot” (…) “We have to wait for a thorough explanation of this situation. I assume that this is an incident, a mistake, resulting from the fact that Russia is using older and older types of missiles that are less precise – said the former head of the BBN Stanisław Koziej on TVN24” (RadioZet – ‘Rockets fell on Poland. There are fatalities’ 15.11.2022).

This war is just becoming a hot mess. The Russian Federation are striking now NATO nation Poland and does so with old missiles intended somewhere within Ukraine. Some might call it: “stray missiles”. However, this is the Russian war-machine and it’s greatness in action.

This is what you call an escalation. It is actually a crisis, because this is involving a NATO country and it’s integrity has been violated. Innocent civilians has been targeted and hit by the missiles. While Russian Forces maybe intended it to hit targets within Ukraine. The missiles went to Poland. It is practically waging war and saying Poland should “join”.

If anyone wondered what Russia is willing to do. Here we have it. They don’t mind hitting former Soviet Republic’s with missiles. Even when they are not waging war against them. Kremlin and such haven’t done other things than calling it “propaganda” and claiming it was “Ukrainian” made. However, Poland has radars that can establish where it came from and the source, which means they have the intelligence to know what happened. So, there is more trust in the victim, than the one firing the weapon.

With this in mind… one key ally and demagogue of Kremlin, Dmitry Medvedev wrote about Poland back in March 2022. Parts of this text is very interesting now in hindsight. Because, Medvedev promised more than he delivered the Polish people.

Just read it here:

Now the interests of Polish citizens have been sacrificed to the Russophobia of these talentless politicians and their puppeteers from across the ocean with obvious signs of senile senility. The decision to refuse to buy Russian gas, oil and coal, opposition to Nord Stream-2 has already caused serious damage to the economy of this country. Now it will only worsen. The same applies to many other steps that are based not on the economy, but on politicking under the guise of “derusification. But now it is much more important for the vassal Polish elites to swear allegiance to their suzerain, America, than to help their own citizens, so they will keep up the fire of hatred against the enemy in Russia. What will the citizens gain from this? Absolutely nothing. But sooner or later, they will realize that hatred of Russia does nothing to strengthen society or promote prosperity and tranquility” (Dmitry Medvedev – “About Poland” (21.03.2022).

When a high ranking official like Medvedev could write this and say these things. It just shows the underlying sentiments out there in Russia. His not alone feeling this or saying these words. Medvedev is just the guy stating the silent things out loud. That’s why it’s fine today to reflect on the text he published in March. Especially, since the Russian Armed Forces attacked their soil and is downplaying it or trying to propagandize it.

We should all reflect on it await things with caution. Poland is within their rights to react and want an answer for all it. They are the party that has been hurt and viciously so. NATO Member States has to respond to its request and follow accordingly. We will surely know the impact in the next few days. The Polish Army is already put on “high alert” and we can anticipate more in the coming days.

NATO has to support Ukraine further and with better weapons. Because, now the Russian Armed Forces are able to hit their soil and kill civilians there. That is unacceptable….

Kremlin, Putin and the Duma should come with proper statements. Not just dismiss it. They would have cried havoc or been all out crazy bonanza, if the missiles had hit Russian soil from a NATO allied nation. That we know and that’s why Russia should act within reason too. They are maybe able to trick their population to believe their lies. However, Europeans knows the truth here and see the impact of the war in Ukraine. Therefore, we know how the Russians are carpet-bombing and hitting civilian infrastructure.

So, it is now time for action and resolve. It is time to further expand the help of the Ukrainian war-effort and ensure their path to victory. Because, that is the only way to end this. Since, Russians are willing to defy rules of war and also create further escalations. Which could actually invoke Article 5 of the NATO pact. That’s what the Russians are up too and the Article 4 is only to begin with. Those decisions are now up to Poland and we all should recognize that. They are the party that is threaten and is hit. Peace.

Opinion: The MK [Army] Movement will die quicker than Go Forward

I don’t know if you remember a time and the place when Amama Mbabazi was challenging within the National Resistance Movement to be the Presidential Flagbearer. That is a few years back, but not long ago to be folklore. No, Mbabazi, the Chairman of NRM and as Prime Minister tried to conquer and get ahead of President Yoweri Tibuhurwa Kaguta Museveni. We all know that went south and he created his own political pressure group called Go Forward.

We are now seeing similar things created for General Muhoozi Kainerubaga. The MK Army or the MK Movement. There was one little moment where there was talk of a rebrand of the NRM to the National Progressive Movement (NPM). However, that seems thwarted and instead his making his own entity.

If that entity is a political pressure group or political party… that’s hard to know at this very moment. It is an extension and a prepared machinery of the “Project Muhoozi”. Where people are elected to roles and such. Just the other day, the MK Army elected Michael Mawanda MP, Balaam Barugahara Ateenyi and the Supreme Commander himself Muhoozi Kainerubaga into various of roles within the MK Army. Even Frank Gashumba is the Chief Strategist and Media Director of the MK Army. So, the plan is made and people are organizing the efforts.

Nevertheless, there isn’t a lesser of a man or a man lacking charisma they are selling. Street preachers or choir girls has more flair or finesse than this man on stage. His people or team behind the scenes has to polish the man. Because, there is nothing in the public speeches of late, which oozes brilliance or even credibility. His just a mediocre leader who happens to be the son of the President.

These people hired and elected to positions in the MK Army will fall flat. They have clearly the money and the ambition here. Just like the Go Forward Pressure Group had vast funds, a social media team and a broad-based manifesto. Still, there was nothing of interest or generating a huge following come election day.

The MK Movement will get the same vibe. At least Mbabazi can speak in public and he has some sort of flair. He doesn’t sound baffled or struggling to speak a coherent sentence on stage. Neither does he lack the personality or the ideology of his political causes. No matter how I dislike and wants to discredit a corrupt person like Mbabazi. At least his political savvy and can sell a story. However, Muhoozi cannot even sell his favourite bottle of beer or believe that he loves his wife. It all is just posturing. Just like his Christianity and his “Pan-Africanism”. He is just saying it to follow the footsteps of his father…

The MK Army or the MK Movement will dwindle and be hot-air. If a man of expertise and of experience like Mbabazi can fail. You will now that the mind of Muhoozi will fall even more. There is no real popularity and the gig-economy can only get you so far. The amounts of voter tourism and paying attendance at rallies or public functions will not be sustainable either. The public will come for the food and the T-shirt. For then to go home and laugh about the sorry display of Muhoozi.

I cannot see this going well. The public has already been forced the father for over 30 years. To send his son in his stead. Is just a reminder of what is currently going on. If the son think this will go well. Then his a fool and that is the perception anyway. Nevertheless, the ones eating of his plate is surely feeling blessed these days. They have an easy journey in the troubling times. While we all know the MK Army will most likely feed into the same traps of Go Forward. It isn’t a popular rising or a figure of hope.

The General is just a reminder of everything wrong and a continuation of the oppression of his father. That’s why he was named the avenger and it’s proven already by the tenure or leadership of the Special Forces Command (SFC). That unit has shown the sinister side of the NRM and what they are willing to do… to silence people and make people stop. That’s why the crowds or voter tourism will only show “fake love” and when the money stops. The whole thing is a facade and Muhoozi will be the biggest loser. Because, he invested all of this money and time with nothing to gain from it.

KaBobi” will easily beat Muhoozi in a fair fight, but we know Muhoozi like his father will only win with “predetermined” results or rigged in their favour. It is not like the General would risk it all and trust the public. He got no proof of governing or political track-record. His only a high ranking official and senior Presidential Advisor, because of his lineage. That’s it and that’s why it’s a fools enterprise, but an enterprise, nevertheless.

Well… the General’s turn is maybe up, but he will fall brutally down. Peace.

Ghana: Office of the Special Prosecutor – Charles Adu Boahen (15.11.2022)

Sierra Leone: CSOs call for a Zipper System in Listing Party Candidates and a Lower Threshold of Votes to Win a Parliamentary and Local Council Seat (15.11.2022)

Ethiopia: Who is the PM trying to convince today?

For the sake of our peace and prosperity, we made the first choice to end the war. There is no such thing as a good war or a bad peace; war is bad regardless of who wins. You kill people and spit out funds. Peace is always desirable. But if something happens that threatens Ethiopia’s existence, sovereignty, and unity, as well as national interests, we fight it. Negotiation is beneficial if these components are protected. Peace is not only the absence of war, but also the supremacy of the rule of law. Any peace talks or negotiations to ensure that law & order are observed are beneficial. We have discussed, agreed, and signed; now we must keep our word by making our promise a reality. We must work hard to avoid problems during the process” – Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali (15.11.2022).

I’m just baffled and wonder what is going on. What is the end-game of the current affairs, which the 2nd November Cessation of Hostilities and the additional modalities of implementation from Nairobi will do. It isn’t like the Prime Minister is clear in his message or are direct about anything. His just doing his steady scheming and speaking in his ordinary fashion.

If I believe in Abiy or trust him… well… I have seen how shady and how they have resolved things earlier in the conflict. So, until I see some goodwill and reports of humanitarian assistance. Stopping air-raids, usage of drones and other means of war. I have a hard time to believe in the consequences of the CoH. That’s just the cynic, I am and with a reason. The man-made famine, the countless of massacres and the injustice serve the Tigray region since the start of the war in November 2020. There are enough reasons and bloodshed to question the ethics or the normative belief of the Tripartite Alliance attacking it.

That’s why another part of his speech or statement to the House of Federation was very interesting, as it is about the disputed Western Tigray and who has the claim over it. This has been disputed and been questioned all along in the conflict and right now the invaders or the Tripartite Alliance is besieging that part of Tigray.

Just read this here:

Concerning Wolkait, the Pretoria agreement is aimed at bringing peace, not at resolving internal border dispute. It will be dealt with in accordance with the laws and regulations of our country. It is said that the areas were taken by force prior to the constitution, but such action should not be repeated today. If it is resolved in accordance with the rule of law, it will benefit Wolkait, as well as the Amhara and Tigray regions” (Abiy, 15.11.2022).

With these words in mind, let us reflect on the Article 48 of the Ethiopian Constitution:

Article 48. State Border Changes

1. All State border disputes shall be settled by agreement of the concerned States. Where the concerned States fail to reach agreement, the House of the Federation shall decide such disputes on the basis of settlement patterns and the wishes of the peoples concerned.

2. The House of Federation shall, within a period of two years, render a nal decision on a dispute submitted to it pursuant to sub-Article 1 of this Article”.

By the words of Abiy he wants the internal dispute to be dealt with by law. Meaning either the Regional State has to negotiate themselves about the disputed territories. In this case, it is an issue between Amhara and Tigray regional states. If you do follow the Constitution on the principals of it. This means the states themselves has to accept or reach an agreement about it. However, if there is an impasse or an unresolved case. Then the House of Federation will decide a settlement instead.

Here we see the juxtaposition and the quagmire it is. Because, the Prosperity Party has all the power in Amhara and in the House of Federation. For Amhara Regional State it’s a blessing to get it into the House of Federation. Because, they are in the majority and will get their way. There is no way possible that the Tigray region will get it’s wishes. This because of the majority rule and the manner of which the current regime is residing. Therefore, to believe a case coming up in the House of Federation will not benefit or be in harmony with the people of Western Tigray. That will only be in favour or in accordance with the wishes of Bahir Dar. Mekelle will loose, if this case or dispute ever get to the House of Federation.

This is why the words of Abiy is interesting. He knows this and that’s why he can play it out like this. His allies and partners in crime in Amhara can get their loot. They can annex and ensure more power by taking land from Tigray. That can be done by a stroke of a pen. This is all they need, because we cannot trust a negotiation between Mekelle and Bahir Dar will get any sort of result. No, that is a dead fish in the water and it will never ever swim.

I don’t know what bridge Abiy is selling, but his surely building a bridge over dry land and not crossing a river. There is more to this and I wonder what. Maybe its just my mistrust after the years of wars and the endless lies. You cannot just be sincere after lying about nearly every aspect of the war. That’s why I am wondering who his catering too and for what ends. Peace.

Somaliland: Ministry of Foreign Affairs & International Cooperation – Press Release (15.11.2022)