“MINSK, 10 October (BelTA) – Belarus and Russia agreed to deploy a joint regional group of forces, Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko said at a meeting on security matters, BelTA has learned. Aleksandr Lukashenko recalled that he had a one-on-one meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin after the informal CIS summit in St. Petersburg. “Given the worsening of the situation on the western borders of the Union State, we agreed to deploy a regional group of forces of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus. This complies with our documents. It says that if the threat level reaches the level as it is now, we begin to use the Union State group of forces. The basis (I have always said this) of this group is the army, the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus. I must inform you that the formation of this group has begun. It’s been going on for, I think, two days. I gave an order to start forming this group,” the Belarusian leader said. Aleksandr Lukashenko also noted that Russia cannot deal with another conflict now. “Last thing they need is another conflict. You know they have enough problems. Therefore, we should not expect a large number of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. But it will be more than one thousand people,” he said” (BelTA – ‘Lukashenko, Putin agree on deployment of joint regional group of forces’ 10.10.2022).
The Russian-Belorussian invasion of Ukraine started this year in February 2022. This was coordinated efforts and the Russian Armed Forces was stationed in Belarus before invading Ukraine. The Moscow-Minsk alliance has grown strong and Aleksandr Lukashenko needs Vladimir Putin. His is totally a crony and an ally. There is no self-reliance and the Belarus counterpart could just have been annexed by now. Since, Lukashenko likes to be humiliated and be servant of Putin.
The latest isn’t really that much of an escalation. When the Belarus has already been used to attack and be territories friendly for Russian Armed Forces. This was deliberate acts in the early start of the invasion in February, just to ensure the Russian invading forces was encircling most of the Ukrainian borders. Therefore, it is only more practical and even more established.
We know that Lukashenko has already been aiding and abetting the war. From now on it can easily be seen as a part of the war. Where it is waging war together with it’s Russian ally. This means the Russian-Belorussian invasion is very fitting, which I coined early in February. Well, the Belarus army at that time didn’t practically send forces or violate Ukrainian territories, but the same armies did train and help Russian Armed Forces to enter Ukraine from it’s territories. That’s being part of the war-effort and if Minsk didn’t allow it too happen. The Russian Army couldn’t have used these entry points to being with.
This is an addition for the Russian Armed Forces to get the Belarus Army on it’s side. Especially, since the warfare is going badly, the loss of territories and momentum. The Ukrainian forces are regaining territories, which are a big blow to Kremlin and Putin. He has annexed territories, which is places where his losing land on the regular. The maps of the annexed regions must be changing everyday and the struggle to keep up must be mind-boggling. So, to get a helping hand from the servant of Minsk must be a golden opportunity.
Lukashenko is only as powerful as his ally. He only has power and influence, because the Kremlin and Moscow has saved his office over the years. If it wasn’t for military support and influential expertise from Kremlin. Lukashenko wouldn’t still be in office or be a President for Life. He would just a lost one… that was proven in the last election and he was only saved by Putin.
So, because of the saving grace. His in the mercy of Putin. Putin knows this and can play Lukashenko all he wants. Since, he knows that Lukashenko needs Russia more than Russia needs Belarus. This a favour for a favour and in an hour of need. The Belorussian army is just entering in a moment of dire desperation. The Russian Armed Forces clearly needs a boost. What is more boosting than having a clear cut alliance on the front and getting Minsk to be its servant. In that way, your getting fresh trained recruits and able bodies for the war. Before, the Russians themselves are able to send the “mass-mobilized” forces from the rural areas of the Federation to the front in Ukraine.
Lukashenko knows this will backfire, but part of him knows he has no choice. He cannot just abide or aide the war. He got to be involved to still be an ally to Putin. That’s why his doing it and by doing so. His partaking in an unjust war just to save his own office. His possibly sending his own citizens to die in a war that wasn’t theirs to begin with. Peace.
MinBane 