Opinion: Is London falling?

Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng met with members of the financial services sector. He reiterated the government’s commitment to fiscal sustainability & how the Medium-Term Fiscal plan, to be published 23 Nov, will set out a fully costed plan to get debt falling in the medium-term” (HM Treasury, 28.09.2022). .

We know that Brexit would have effects and change the liquidity and ability to get the financial markets connected to the City of London. The Tories has had power for the last twelve years. If anyone would know how things works and what matters. It is the Tories and their Ministers should know as much. However, the newest Prime Minister Liz Truss and Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng seems unaware of a key component for the financial markets, which is “trust” and “stability”.

The Biscotti Mini-Budget is apparently ruining everything. The Bank of England has to buy bonds and gilts, saving businesses and the owners of pensions. If the Bank of England hadn’t stepped in they could have gone bust and things would have been even worse.

The Bank of England is even stating it like this: “As the Governor said in his statement on Monday, the Bank is monitoring developments in financial markets very closely in light of the significant repricing of UK and global financial assets. This repricing has become more significant in the past day – and it is particularly affecting long-dated UK government debt. Were dysfunction in this market to continue or worsen, there would be a material risk to UK financial stability. This would lead to an unwarranted tightening of financing conditions and a reduction of the flow of credit to the real economy. In line with its financial stability objective, the Bank of England stands ready to restore market functioning and reduce any risks from contagion to credit conditions for UK households and businesses” (Bank of England – ‘Bank of England announces gilt market operation’ 28.09.2022).

These aren’t the words of stability or trust. This is bailing out the government and the actions of the new Truss cabinet. The PM and Chancellor has in 22 days been able to get parts of the financial markets to its knees. Just imagine how quickly the new government under Truss has been able to not only loose the value of the British Pound, but also make pension funds insolvent. That’s done in the short time of three weeks. This is actually impressive and depressing.

It is about this time the Tories should be worried. Truss and Kwarteng is only starting their reign and they are already wrecking the economy. Not like the economy or the financial markets was in a good place to begin with. The City of London and financial market has been hit by the Brexit, COVID-19 Pandemic and the austerity over the years. It isn’t like they had a strong market or inherited a rising economy. The Tories had already slowly destroyed it, but the recent acts is their “Hail Mary”.

It doesn’t help that International Monetary Fund (IMF) says this: “IMF Statement on the UK (September 27, 2022) “We are closely monitoring recent economic developments in the UK and are engaged with the authorities. We understand that the sizable fiscal package announced aims at helping families and businesses deal with the energy shock and at boosting growth via tax cuts and supply measures. However, given elevated inflation pressures in many countries, including the UK, we do not recommend large and untargeted fiscal packages at this juncture, as it is important that fiscal policy does not work at cross purposes to monetary policy. Furthermore, the nature of the UK measures will likely increase inequality. The November 23 budget will present an early opportunity for the UK government to consider ways to provide support that is more targeted and reevaluate the tax measures, especially those that benefit high income earners.”” (IMF, 27.09.2022).

When the IMF writes this and the Bank of England is bailing you out. The Chancellor and the Prime Minister should act. Not only pursuit the biscotti and thinks this is just a fluke. It is certainly a reaction to the tax-cuts, the additional decrease in domestic revenue and the possible “bulls-market” which it’s already creating.

The Tories should take this serious. This is a self-destructive and all to feed the rich. It is to give more incentives and add more personal wealth to the already wealthy. The Chancellor isn’t ensuring more capital drive or ensuring safety of the financial markets. No, his just giving the market more stress and concerns. You know your overboard and out of touch. When the Central Bank and the IMF has to take action. That’s compelling and say everything about the losses. This isn’t fun and games, but a dire reality, which seems over the heads of the current leadership.

Truss and Kwarteng has certainly a lot of work ahead of them. They have to initiate things fast and not wait to November. They cannot think the Bank of England will be their saviour or the IMF will be their buddy. No, this weight has to be carried by them and them alone. The Tories are the ones initiating the biscotti mini-budget and got to take the hit for it. Instead of creating more trust and stability. They are creating instability and insecurity in a fragile market, which wasn’t necessary, but that’s what they did. Peace.

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