Niger: Ministere de la Defense Nationale – Forces Armees Nigeriennes – Etat-Major des Armees – Bulletin des Operations No. 0020 (17.08.2022)

Somaliland: Somaliland Political Associations Forum – Press Release (18.08.2022)

Tchad: Parti Reformiste (P.R) – Communique de Presse No. 24 (17.08.2022)

RDC: Mouvement du 23 Mars (M23) – The M23 Response to the ICCN baseless accusations (17.08.2022)

Ethiopia: Global Society of Tigray Scholars and Professionals (GSTS) – Raising Alarm about Recent Military Provocations by the Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF) – (17.08.2022)

Tchad: Coalition des Actions Citoyennes – Wakit Tamma – Point de Presse du 16 aout 2022 (16.08.2022)

RDC: L’Institut Congolais pour la Conservation de la Nature (ICCN) – Rumangabo, Nord-Kivu – Attaque a l’artillerie sur le chantier d’une centrale hydroelectrique du Parc National des Virunga (17.08.2022)

Opinion: Is Azimio just running on vibes?

Was the Azimio la Umoja – One Kenya Alliance just run on vibes? Was it just a vehicle and a mechanism to ensure Baba the Fifth and they expected it just to run its course? Because for everyday going and what is said or done. It seems like a mismatch of ideals and sort of understanding of where they are. Certainly a vast group of parties, leaders and egos will sooner or later fail. Because, if the house of cards loses its centre… it will totally collapse. That’s what I see coming soon to you.

Well, after the Declaration of the victory of United Democratic Alliance Presidential Candidate William Ruto. The Azimio has seemed out of order. Just like the manner of which the Azimio behaved and acted before the Declaration of the Presidential Election. Baba and the 4 defiant Commissioners all sang the same song. It was a like a coordinated choir and more in tune that the one at Bomas, apparently.

That the Azimio affiliated Commissioners worked for a “re-run” shows their lack of independence and their ideals to secure Odinga no matter what. That was their job and they didn’t finalize it. As they were appointed late last year in order to secure one objective. This is a plan and that’s how you “fix” it.

We know that Kenyatta part-took in the Azimio and added value to the coalition of parties. Not only by letting Jubilee be a part of it, but all the other smaller parties it has signed agreements with. Just like the Azimio also got the OKA as a partner too. This is a reason why the coalition should be solid and it had such vast support.

Still, how could that fail? Well, the lack of professionalism? The hubris and confidence overpowered the lack of faith or the lack of popularity of Kenyatta? All of that could be true. People have seen what the Kenyatta years has done or not done. It has been lofty promises and a bonanza of grand-corruption cases. It isn’t like good governance or service delivery has been the priority of the Jubilee years. No, it has been power and bully institutions who hasn’t followed the program.

So, the hubris and confidence of the Azimio could be it own self-destruction. Thinking it was in the bag before the polls. They didn’t need to act methodically or even have own tally centre. The Azimio didn’t need to have copies, print or a “war-room” to ensure the due process. Instead, their agents or the ones there was only with cell-phones and doing calls. They were not overseeing or having a clear oversight of the process as it happened.

The Azimio must have been unprepared for a loss. The machinery and support was all behind it. They never thought the public or the candidates it was meeting had any chance. That’s why the Azimio sounded confident of victory until the mere hours before the Declaration. Baba the Fifth and he was ready to serenade the Republic. However, it wasn’t his day just like so many elections before him. Yet again… he lost and the public was never ready for Odinga.

That’s why the election is disputed and the petition is getting prepared. The Azimio team isn’t looking smart, for every Press Conference they are looking scrambling and trying to find the next step ahead. They are bewildered and outsmarted. Ruto and his team wasn’t the ones with the biggest pockets or the state behind it. Though it had the wits and the wisdom to be prepared.

That’s why these things happens. The manner of which Ruto has calculated and planned ahead. That’s why his ensuring not to get a hung House and getting majority in the Senate. Just so he has the chambers on his side. That’s what a smart politician does and his ensured that already.

While Azimio is playing politics and wants Kalonzo as the Speaker. He will never be the Speaker and not with UDA or Kenya Kwanza Alliance (KKA) in office. That’s a fools errand, but just showing how they are thinking or fooling around.

The Azimio is just proving how rudderless they are and disorganized. They went into the elections on vibes and stopping the reggae. It must hurt the seasoned politicians that they had poor planning, the inner circle failed the masses and clearly lacks strategy. If they had that and did so with coordination. The Azimio team should have had this, but Ruto was able to find his pathway.

The IEBC has this time better shield and great transparency. Therefore, the Azimio has to configure and really tricky-dicky sort of legal jargon to be able to do make it “null and void”. It isn’t from the on-set any mismanagement or rigging. The call of rigging only happened the moment Ruto was announced or declared. Before that everything was dandy and all of Azimio was claiming victory. They were prepared to celebrate and throw Baba a huge party as well.

That’s with every day going. The Azimio all seem like vibes. All good feelings and confidence, but no plan ahead. That’s why they scraping and trying to find their way. They are speaking loud and wanting to dismiss the election. An election that didn’t go it’s way. However, this time it seems pointless.

When you does it all vibes and not strategically thinking, no coordination and no prepositioned outcome. Then you deserve to loose. The lack of agent, national tally centre and no way of good communication between it all. You are just bound to fail and the only one to blame is the leaders on the top. The failure is obvious now…

Hubris and confidence can only take you so far. “Issa Vibe” isn’t a strategy but a good way of feeling good at a bar. You don’t win elections at bars, but you get some sloppy seconds, if your lucky. Peace.

Ethiopia: War is returning to Tigray

The Tigray region that has been at various stages of War since November 2020. The region that has been besieged and gotten shunned by the Federal Government. The region is yet again under fire. The missiles and tanks is returning in the name of Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF). These are being used to attack the Tigray Defence Force (TDF) positions and it’s been reported to happen this week. A clear breach of the “Humanitarian Truce” and it shows that it wasn’t real. 

After Cessation of Hostilities has been breached by ENDF, as the army has now attacked Tigray Defence Forces position around Dedebit in Western Tigray. Western Tigray which for two years has been “annexed” or occupied by the Tripartite Alliance. This alliance is the ENDF, Amhara Para-Military Group “Fano” and Eritrean Defence Force (EDF). Now, the ENDF has returned and coming with mechanical divisions to restart the War.

The talks and diplomacy has like suspected only been to buy time and be able to regroup for a new offensive against the TDF. That’s the plan of the “Humanitarian Truce” and the government has since then gotten funding and time to buy more ammunition. Therefore, the new offensive and continuation of the “Law Enforcement Operation” can cease to continue.

The Tigray region is already war-torn, disconnected from the world for two years. Utilities haven’t been connected for two years either. There is a famine and a humanitarian disaster already in the making, as the humanitarian assistance has only come in small convoys and never to levels of what the people actually needed. They only got small percentages of what they need and this is why the basic necessities and lack thereof is well documented. This is also in regard to fertilizers, fuel and medicines. So, that is not only food, but what helps to produce more food for the next season. Therefore, this has been a planned and a staged scenario, which is so grim.

Now, as the humanitarian disaster of epic proportion is happening. The army is returning and with fire. The war is most likely on and the ENDF was just waiting to be regrouped for return to Tigray. This is why we should expect more bloodshed, collective punishment and a total war. Expect several of fronts to be attacked, the allies of Addis Ababa will join along. That being Asmara and Bahir Dar as well.

The Tripartite Alliance is ready and prepared. To think otherwise is naive. They will try to annihilate the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and anyone who can possibly associate with the party. They are going after the region and wants it suffer for not consolidating power to the Prime Minister and his party, the Prosperity Party. That’s the PEACE that Abiy offers and this is why he has established a “Ministry of Peace” and a “Peace Committee”. These are just made to look like peace, while the PM and his government wages war. That’s why the Ministry has in past fundraised for the army in the name of “peace”.

We should expect war and more conflict. That’s what’s on the horizon. The “Humanitarian Truce” was hallow and was a lie. Just like so many other of the blatant acts of the PM. He only did it buy time and weapons. The PM didn’t do it out of mercy or concern for the population. No, he did it to get more ammunition, equipment and ability to wage war.

There will only be armed tyranny from now. There will only be more death and more horrific acts done in the name of “rule of law” and “democracy”. Expect stories to shatter your heart, mind and soul. That’s what’s ahead, as devastating as the news of famine and starvation is… and in the mix of that comes a full-scale war.

I have stated before and state it again, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali isn’t a man of peace, but a warlord. His a man of war and not peace. That is proven and it shows everywhere he goes. Peace.

Ethiopia: Government of Tigray – 17th August 2022 Statement from the Tigray Military Command (17.08.2022)