Opinion: Muhoozi is representing the past before even having a promising future

This weekend the Republic was supposed to be on fire. The time was supposed to stop and everyone was supposed to dance to the songs of the next in line. The regime was making a statement with the 48th Birthday Bash of Lt. Gen. Muhoozi Kainerugaba, the first son, Senior Presidential Advisor and Commander of the Land Forces in the Uganda Peoples Defence Forces (UPDF).

This was the opportunity to make a flash and create an epic moment. However, it didn’t really do that. The handlers and everyone is busy selling it. Like it was a unique and brilliant event. As people ate the rice and listened to all the artists on stage. They were not there to listen to or concerned about the Lt. Gen. No, they were there for the entertainment and the free food. That’s it.

That’s why close to nobody was running in the marathon and the roads that was sealed off. Was a tragic event and showing the regime cannot muster real crowds for the man. He needs the artists and the popularity of their tunes. Need the free food and the musicians, because Muhoozi himself got no character and no charisma worth mentioning.

Muhoozi is already old before his even starting. His not a young blood. Compared to his father most people are young. Nevertheless, his not in the middle, but just a decade or so away from the age of retirement as civil servant himself. Public Service laws states that civil servants has to retire at the age of 60 and being 48 years old this year. The first son has little to no time, as the clock is ticking and his closer to retirement than his youth.

So, when his tribe and propaganda peddlers are selling him like the future. Know that the Youth Leaders of the NRM has more years in the trenches and trying to seek relevance. Than whatever Muhoozi has done over the years. The state has prepared for his time and place since “Project Muhoozi” became a thing in 2013.

That’s why nearly a decade later the NRM is trying to sell him and make him likeable. However, it is hard to make someone genuine and caring. When he promise to bring the guns and bibles by the barrel of the gun to Karamoja sub-region. Or saying that his army is the best and flex his ego on the regular. While trying to cosying up Kigali and Nairobi. Therefore, Muhoozi isn’t that loveable of a fella.

For some reason without even trying… his the old guard and the lost era. Muhoozi represent the takeover and the NRA without even shooting the guns of Luwero Triangle. He has tried to sell himself like a hardcore “Tony Montana” kind of character, but his never that clever or able to manipulate the masses. There is little to look for or even care about this man. His just known because he was born and happened to be the son of the President.

Muhoozi has shown he has the system behind him. As the authorities and everyone else went in line, as the birthday and marathon was issued. However, even if the authorities and the army is behind him. The people and general public is not. They are not behind him or believing in his future. A future that isn’t promising, but very grim. His an entitled and born with the silver-spoon. Not like Muhoozi has accomplished or achieved anything worth a damn. Unless, the skulls, massacres and vicious avenger has chewed some socialities we don’t know. Maybe he ate some special kimchi in North Korea, but we cannot know about that.

Muhoozi thinks his the future, but his a symbol of the past. He might not know that, but the way he acts and speaks shows it. His not a bright future or a change worth mentioning. No, his just a cadre of the NRM and continuation of the dictatorship of his father. It is not like his a revolutionary or a man of progress. If things are falling apart and self-destructive, it will accelerate with the reign of Muhoozi. Things will go into pieces and become much worse. Because, a man who is like this and his arrogance is louder than words. The mannerism and the way he takes the Republic for granted. He will not make things better, but only more destruction… Peace.

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Ukraine: Zelensky is right on the Russians lack respect for Ukrainian statehood…

If our people in Mariupol are destroyed, if pseudo-referendums are announced in occupied territories, Ukraine will withdraw from any negotiation process. [Russian current actions in occupied territories] are not supporting diplomatic solution. They demonstrate that any negotiation process is fiction and political theater so far. We are fighting for the right to live and for independence. We are not considered an independent state by the Russian government and, unfortunately, by a large part of society. They do not respect our culture, values, language, people…and therefore our right to live. Now we see a change in the attitude of our partners. Especially the change in speed [of aid] from the United States. If this pace increases, if the steps correspond to the words, as soon as Ukraine gets enough weapons, we will immediately liberate our territories” – President Volodymyr Zelensky (Zelenskyy at the press conference in Kyiv Metro, 23.04.2022 – Source Euromaidan Press).

President Zelensky had a press conference in the Kyiv Metro today, which is a bold move and shows what his willing to do in the middle of war. The Russian-Belorussian Invasion is on it’s 59th day. Things have clearly not gone the way the Russians planned for their brief and quick takeover of Ukraine. It was supposed to be a quick and easy war.

Zelensky is righteous in the case of independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity, which the Russians doesn’t believe they have. We have heard from Russian high ranking officials and others, who has all spoken ill of and disregarded the statehood and history of the Ukrainian nation. Therefore, the Ukrainian President is right in his statement.

We know that Kremlin and Duma has downplayed Ukrainian statehood. President Putin even stated that on the day of invasion and recognizing the People’s Republic’s of Donbas. Just like Putin has annexed Crimea and will not consider it to be Ukrainian soil. That’s why Moscow defends their invasion and doesn’t value Ukraine’s independence. This is very obvious and President Zelensky is right in calling this “political theatre” with the “diplomatic solution”.

The speech or address of Zelensky fits very well to the ideals and talks of a new Budapest Memorandum. As the Russian Federation will not adhere to this one and will neither respect a new agreement either. Just like they didn’t respect or follow the Minsk Agreement either. That’s why the diplomatic solution is only buying time and finding new offensives to hopefully finish the warfare and occupying whole Ukraine by that time.

We can only hope the West, NATO and United States can supply and secure the weapons that Ukraine needs to defeat and take back it’s territory. The Russians are coming in with total warfare and conquer with brutal force. There is no stop of war-crimes and massacres, neither the deaths of civilians and loss of innocent civilians in the cross-fire and on the front-lines.

Ukraine needs help and more than ever, as the offensives are happening. The Russians are using all means, their army and targets certain parts to ensure it has corridors and routes to ease of military logistics. That’s why the Ukrainian defence needs to block these and stop the opportunities to make these.

We can hope Ukraine can stop it in time and get the weapons which it needs. The Russians are planning to create new “People’s Republic’s” out of Ukrainian territory. That is what it does and just shows how they want to carve up the nation of Ukraine. Piece by Piece and Oblast by Oblast. That’s why it has done these things and continues with the same modus operandi. We have seen it and President Zelensky’s words needs to be spread. Because, Europe and the West needs to support Ukraine today. Not in the near future, but right now. Peace.

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Ukraine: No need for another Budapest Memorandum … Russians will not adhere to it anyway..

Today is the 59th Day of the Russian-Belorussian invasion of Ukraine. As the use of vile forces continues. The Russians continues to target multiple fronts and trying to invade more territory by all means. There is no stop in the warfare and there reports of deployments of about 20,000 Russian mercenaries from Syria, Libya and wherever who would conscript to the conflict. Therefore, there is nothing, which Kremlin and Duma will not do to stop the Ukrainian forces from defending it’s homeland.

What is striking is that the blitzkrieg of Moscow didn’t work. The quick-fix and stationing troops, mechanical divisions and having military exercises around the Ukrainian border didn’t help either. Since, the Russian moral and lack of progress is evident. The brutality, the looting and the massacres isn’t helping them either and neither is it giving any trusts in the invading forces as a human or caring new ruler. No, it is just an epitome of tyranny and total destruction with no concern of the future.

There is talks of another Budapest Memorandum, the sort of which Boris Yeltsin, John Mayor, Bill Clinton and Leonid Kuchma signed in December 1994, the agreement of sovereignty and territorial integrity as a pre-condition to not continue have nuclear weapons in Ukraine. The price of doing that we are seeing today. As the mightier neighbour is invading it and doing so on it’s own merit. While it has violated this agreement on the regular since 2014. With not only annexation of Crimea, but also arming separatists in Donbas. Which is where the “special operation” is currently having the largest offensive of late.

With that in mind… here is two crucial articles of the Budapest Memorandum of 1994:

1. The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and the United States of America reaffirm their commitment to Ukraine, in accordance with the principles of CSCE Final Act, to respect the independence and sovereignty and the existing borders of Ukraine” (Budapest Memorandum – Memorandum on security assurances in connection with Ukraine’s accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Budapest, 5 December 1994, 1994).

2. The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and the United States of America reaffirm their obligation to refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine, and none of their weapons will ever be used against Ukraine except in self-defense or otherwise in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations” (Budapest Memorandum – Memorandum on security assurances in connection with Ukraine’s accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Budapest, 5 December 1994, 1994).

So, when I read that there are talks of creating another Budapest Memorandum in 2022. I’m hesitant and credibly concerned. Not because, I don’t believe Ukraine, United Kingdom or United States of America will not adhere to an agreement, but that Russian Federation will tear it apart and find new excuses to execute the current regimes ideas in Kremlin.

That’s why a Budapest Memorandum 2.0 will not be useful, but be a nice publicity stunt and a “diplomatic victory” but only for a short amount of time. If the articles are not well crafted and stipulated extended guarantees or safety measures for Ukraine. Russians will violate it like they did to the 1994 memorandum. There will be no different from today, because the Russians are currently not concerned about the first or second article.

Secondly, the ones that says Ukraine violated the Minsk Agreement of 2015. While I would state one key aspect of that in concern to Donbas. The Russians has supported Russian separatists for years in Donbas. One key article, which the Russians has violated is this:

Withdrawal of all foreign armed formations, military equipment, as well as mercenaries from the territory of Ukraine under monitoring of the OSCE. Disarmament of all illegal groups” (Package of measures for the Implementation of the Minsk agreements, 12.02.2015).

And we know perfectly well that this was violated on the regular for years. Why do I state this now as there is talks of a second Budapest Memorandum to safeguard Ukraine. Well, when they could not adhere to either of these agreements. Why should we believe that the Russians will follow a new one or respect that even?

We know the current regime in Moscow doesn’t speak or have a rhetoric of taking into account the statehood or the leadership of Kyiv. That’s why we should have doubts that any sincerity in their resolutions or ideals of an agreement. I’m hesitant with that, because they rather get puppets in power and have someone they can control in Kyiv. That’s what Moscow wants and this is deliberate.

So, if the ones who was participating in the Budapest memorandum works for a second one. It should be iron-clad and no loopholes for Moscow to return with violence. There should be no short-cut or anything. Because, that will most likely be vetoed or not accepted by Moscow. Since they want to have the freedom to take away the liberty and sovereignty of Ukraine. That’s why I have little faith and don’t trust the Russians in this regard.

I would have had more faith, if they had adhered to either of these agreements mentioned, but they have breached them both on various of counts. Not only on arming separatists in Donbas. While they did breach the sovereignty and territory of Ukraine in 2014 and continuing doing so in Donbas. Therefore, why should the world and nations work on a diplomatic missions, which is in the end worthless. When we know Kremlin and the Duma will not follow or even try to respect any agreement in concern to Ukraine. Peace.