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Opinion: Kadaga can blow up a lot of smoke

Fellow Ugandans, I have come to inform the people of Uganda that my party has opted not to give me the party flag for Speaker of Parliament. I have therefore decided to run as an independent” – Rebecca Kadaga (23.05.2021).

Today and in the recent days it’s all natural that Rebecca Kadaga gets in her feelings. That she puts on Drake and sing along to sad tunes. That’s all natural at this point. She has had a long stint or a decade in the role as the Speaker in Parliament. In the 11th Parliament her fate is sealed and there is no way for her to win.

The National Resistance Movement Central Executive Committee have decided to put someone else forward to be the speaker in this term. That means Kadaga’s fall is inevitable. She has lost her position and office over night. That was to be expected and a trade-off would happen behind the scenes. However, Kadaga seemed to think she was entitled to this.

That’s why she suddenly wants to run as an Independent in the Speakership race. However, the loyalty and the party cadres of the NRM is supposed to follow party line. Meaning, she will no way in hell be able to conquer or overcome the obstacle of the NRM party in the 11th Parliament. There is no way they will vote in favour of her and her cause. That’s a no go and they will not defy the NRM CEC.

The Parliament is supposed to elect the speaker. That’s not supposed to happen in the State House or at a the highest party committee meeting either. However, we all know that this is a test of loyalty for the MPs. The NRM MPs who has had training at Kyankwanzi is supposed to show their character now and what they learned. That is to loyal to the cause and follow the NRM Way. This means the decisions put forward by the NRM CEC is final. Even if the stipulations of law and parliamentary procedure doesn’t have anything about minutes or meeting outside the chambers of the national assembly.

Still, here we are and we know the drill. Kadaga can cry rivers and run as independent. However, we know perfectly well that these MPs are subjects for their President and needs to follow his direction. If not they will suffer and be punished like no tomorrow. That’s why the game is set and it’s rigged in favour of the people who are anointed by the “high above”.

What is funny is that Kadaga knows this and have been breathing in this system for years. She’s not new to this and she seen it all. The fallouts, the break-up’s and the make-ups. She has seen how Mbabazi, Tumukunde and Bukenya have all had their turns. Kadaga knows this and accepted this.

Nevertheless, it is like its fine while your singing praises and eating. It is now evident that her meal-ticket is over and someone else’s turn. That hurts her pride and her stomach. She’s afraid of getting hungry and goes into battle mode. Even if that is a failure from the start.

Kadaga has battled the opposition. She has been a loyal soldier and one the bidding of the President. Severed him diligently and delivered what he asked. Nevertheless, it is never enough and he got priorities. The President have to trade-off political pieces to get the puzzle together. That’s why she is sacrificed for this.

Though we know and she knows there is silver-lining. At the end of the day. If she had taken it and swallowed her pride. The President and the NRM would have given her another office with perks and allowances. Kadaga wouldn’t have be the speaker, but be at service with a fancy title.

Now she sings the songs of defiance. That’s a game she is bound to fail. Especially, when the stacks are all against her. This is only a play for pity and there is little to nothing to gain. Only more misery. It is like she’s forgetful and thinks she’s above it all.

Sorry madam, but your not. You are just another pawn and a useful idiot for his highness. He had the use of you and if you played your cards right. He would have offered you another role later on. However, now that you get into combat mode. He will make you suffer and you’ll regret ever participating in his games. Because now for the first time, you’ll get to see the dark-side of his reign. Peace.

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Opinion: Oulanyah will not make a difference

The former Deputy Speaker and Oromo County MP Jacob Oulanyah will not change things in the 11th Parliament. As he is set to be promoted from Deputy to the Speaker of the Parliament. This after two terms as the Deputy. He is now set to lead and be at the reigns. However, his a loyal soldier in the chambers and will not add any significant change.

He has been in Parliament now for three successive terms. Where he has served the President and National Resistance Movement (NRM) with amassed loyalty. To such a point, that he has no quarrels using Vice-President Guards to throw out opposition in 2013.

We know that he serves the interests of the President to the fullest. As he has stated in the past, that resolutions or recommendations passed in Parliament is only seen as advisory for the Executive I.E. the President. This meaning, when the Parliament passes these things. It is up to the President to enact or accept this advice or not. It is not legally binding, but token of advice.

If he really thinks like this. Then the methods and ways the Parliament is working has to be different. The MPs have to allocate their resources and their paper-trial different. So, they can go from an advisory body to a legal binding body. Which they already have to await ascending the laws by the executive in the end. Still, that adds more pressure to the President to enact the will of the Parliament.

Therefore, with the knowledge of previous acts of Oulanyah. Expect him to act upon this, but not be shocked. His a loyal man to the end. That’s why in 2012 he was willing to skip house rules to save face of the Bank of Uganda Commissioner Eng. Mutebile. This the sort of behaviour he has and history as well. Where he is willing to skip rules and do that serve his party. Instead of even following basic rules of procedure in the august house.

It is clear that his a man and been in the inner-circle. That’s why he has gotten to this point. Where the NRM CEC is saying his the man. When the NRM CEC is endorsing him. It is initially saying his the next in line. This is the final decision and the ones that matter. That’s where you want your order to come from and where you get the majority backing from as well.

He is a puppet, a loyal of sorts. A man who will do the bidding of the NRM and the President. He will allow the chambers to be overtaken by soldiers and security officers in plain clothes. Votes in favour of the President and legislation only serving him. That’s why his there in the first place. While his spending small percentages of his wealth on philanthropy in his district and county.

When you know all of this. Let’s be perfectly clear. Changing Oulanyah with Kadaga or vice versa wont make much difference. These two are practically the same. They have worked for the same objectives and serving the same master. That will continue. One has fallen and one has been promoted. The Parliament will still act in same manner as before.

Expect NUP MPs to be thrown out. FDC MPs to be thrown out. Expect investigation into opposition MPs and such. There will be a mess and the demonstrations will not prevail. The NRM runs the game and they have the weight behind it.

11th Parliament will not act much different from the 10th Parliament. Yes, there is a different speaker, but they will still need to wait for the NRM Caucus at the State House. There will still await the Cabinet decisions and the appointments of the President. If not the Presidential letters amending laws, legislation and the structure as a whole. Because, that’s what’s happening on the regular. That will not change under the rule of Oulanyah.

No, because he doesn’t have the power to change that. He just have to serve and be the servant for the cause of Museveni. That’s why his there in the first place. Oulanyah might say otherwise, but he knows damn well what keeps him there. It isn’t his legal mind or his character. No, it is his blind loyalty and that’s his willing to serve. Peace.

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