Opinion: Muntu and Tumukundu, what’s your next move?

This 14th January 2021 must have been devastating for the bush-war legends and long serving individuals of Maj. Gen. Mugisha Muntu and Lt. Gen. Henry Tumukunde. Muntu had created his “New Formation” aka Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). The grand builder of parties and such. While Tumukunde just made himself a sole independent candidate under the “A Renewed Uganda” which also failed to achieve anything.

Both Muntu and Tumukunde did even worse than Amama Mbabazi in the 2016 elections combined. At least the Go Forward and The Democratic Alliance (TDA) got some MPs into the 10th Parliament. That is a proof some skills and a bigger message than themselves.

Muntu has been all “Country before Self” and been the silent burner. Right now the charcoal isn’t even sizzling anymore. It is like the elites and the moderates are totally ditched. They are all swirling around and headless. Muntu should have upper-echeloned Norbert Mao and made strides. However, that is all in the wind.

It is like these two was unfortunate to run against Bobi Wine and the Patrick Oboi Amuriat. They were not able to run against bulletproof vests and barefoot villager. No, these two was running a mediocre campaign and they ran into very little trouble. The state didn’t block them much or even challenge the authorities. No, these was gentle giants who was more fluffy than teddy-bears.

That is maybe why people rebuked them and didn’t by into their campaigns. Muntu had more for him. Still, his motivation and slow-building paradigm is non-satisfactory for plenty. Since with his method it would take forever to get a peaceful transition. Secondly, nobody fears a diplomatic and a pragmatic fella like Muntu. No, his just getting credit where its due and his tab wasn’t that big in the first place, apparently.

Tumukunde only ran for now. It seems like an enterprise to get headlines and hope for a new appointment post elections. It is not like he undermined or even tried to challenge Museveni. Yes, he was blocked in a few districts. However, not like the Police Force did arrest him or his team. No, he got scotched free… and they knew he was a useful pawn. That is why the state didn’t touch him.

I wonder. Will Muntu continue in the same manner. When he see how other performs and make a difference. Will he still be the soft-spoken man? Or will he re-think strategy and make himself relevant?

I doubt the man will do so. Because if he does. He will start on the path of Defiance and such. Which he has distanced himself from for years. Muntu will most likely be more on NBS Frontline and become another Mao in the public spotlight. Nevertheless, his party will be more a political gig until the next election. Since, unless he changes ways he will not gain the traction or be viable. It is just another moderate non-starter and cannot offer a possible change. Unless, you give him two more decades and hope by then Museveni have stopped breathing.

Tumukunde on the other hand. The Diet-Mbabazi will try to return into the NRM fold. Tumukunde wants a plumb-job. He wants to be a ambassador or getting into the NRM CEC. He wants to return like Bukenya did after 2016. That is what he wants and that is his job ahead. Not like Tumukunde wants to create something in the wilderness. No, he wants the envelopes and titles. That is what he wants.

Do you agree? I don’t see it going down any other way. Peace.

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