
Kenya: Dr. John M. Khaminwa – Comment on BBI (14.11.2020)







Don’t be shocked.
Don’t worry…
There will never be free and fair elections. Not as long as Museveni rules.
As long as President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni is in power. The authorities will have one law for the ruling regime and another for the opposition. That is why the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) has one rule and National Resistance Movement (NRM) have another one. The same can be said about National Unity Platform who will have another rule, than what the NRM has. This is just the sad reality and will be like this as long as Museveni rules.
So, if you campaign against the President and his party. Expect no mercy and all things working against them. This is why the opposition will taste the tear-gas and get arrested. It is there where the police officers are using live-bullets and dispersing the crowds. While the NRM can drive through in similar fashion and only see law enforcement smiling as bystanders.
So, please don’t be shocked by this. What is happening in and around the main opposition candidates is all natural. This the election violence that the state is sponsoring on behalf of the President. They are making people and candidates into political prisoners. Because, they dare to challenge and be viable in comparison to the regime itself. If the state didn’t care about their candidacy. They would let them traverse and hold rallies, because the “high above” doesn’t fear them.
The polls will happen in 2021. The NUP and FDC is usual suspects here. This because of their ways of campaigning and challenging the state. Yes, Lt. Gen. Henry Tumukunde is feeling this too, but we all know that his campaign is futile. Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and Patrick Oboi Amuriat will face open oppression and hardships. These will be blocked from venues, radios and road-blocks. That will never happen to Museveni.
Museveni can campaign where-ever. The Presidency can travel across the nation and go into any media house. The NRM party is allowed to do anything. They can sing songs on the streets and use whatever means to campaign. While the opposition have to be careful about what they do.
What is happening now isn’t new. The actions made is following the Modus Operandi of the state. The ones who has seen campaigns and monitored them. Know that this is what happens and what the state does. They are targeting and intimidating the opposition. They are using all means and showing force. Because, the state is not willing to have a level playing-field.
So, when you see headlines and see POA and Bobi Wine into trouble these days. Know that it was bound to happen. These two are under fire. Because they dare to aim at the throne. There will be no other way out of this. This is just the way it is.
NRM got one rule,
the opposition got another one.
The NRM can do whatever they want,
but the opposition have to live by strict rules.
So, as we are going into 2021. This is the rules of the game. The game is rigged and we all should know it. Peace.






“What difference does it make to the dead, the orphans and the homeless, whether the mad destruction is wrought under the name of totalitarianism or in the holy name of liberty or democracy?” – Mahatma Gandhi
On the 3rd November 2020, ten days ago the first reports of the Military Operation was happening in the Tigray Region of Ethiopia. Now 10 days ago a lot has happen. There will be more of a aftermath for every single day. Especially, since the state is shielding their efforts with total black-out of information. Where there is only their “information” or leaked statements from the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Which is the one party that is under siege and is deemed illegal by all means since the start of the war.
Prime Minister Ahmed Ali Abiy ordered this on the 3rd November 2020. Since, then his government have issued all means to stop Tigrayan people from working. Sacking them for the ethnic background. That is what is happening.
There is even massacres happening, possible destruction of land-marks and expensive infrastructure like a dam generating electricity. That is the sort of state of affairs. There is even speculations, but not verified that several of incarceration units have been put in place just for Tigrayan citizens across the republic. However, this has not verified, but with the other sackings and issuing stay-home orders for them. The state is working directly to make life hard just because of ethnicity… that is the sort of life the Prime Minister has to offer his citizens.
To revenge the TPLF he has to take everyone who is with their ethnicity. That is the sort of fella the PM is. This is the sort of revenging means. Not only delegitimize, discredit and criminalize the political party, but also target the general population of the region. That is what he has done and is doing. This is why the civilians are fleeing. Already over 14,000 has fled within 10 days of battles.
The Prosperity Party and the Federal Government should be torn in the flesh. As the warfare is killing not only Tigrayan soldiers, but also killing civilians. The Federal Government is also losing soldiers as casualties as well. Therefore, the bloodshed is happening and at a pace we don’t know. The battles, the skirmishes and the “Law Enforcement Operation” aka Warfare will cost lives on all sides. It will hurt innocent civilians and it will continue to cause havoc for a long time.
The PM is responsible for this. It is on his orders. There is even orders to keep students away from campus and the universities. They are supposed to enlist and join the army. That is the sort of government the PP is at the moment.
When the PM ordered the army to attack the TPLF. He might thought it would be a quick fix. There has been reports of moving brigades from Somalia to fight there as well. Now, his enlisting students to add new men to the battlefield as well.
This here will not be over quickly, especially when the PM and PP has shown no interest in mediation from IGAD, Kenyan Special Envoy or from African Union. The PM is more involved in hoping to write the final death-note of the TPLF.
This here hasn’t just escalating, but is spiralling out. Sooner or later, the TPLF and other groups will use the weakness of the government. They will ensure the moment of weakness to strike. As the government is occupied in a futile war over a constitutional dispute. Which could have been resolved over negotiations and dialogue. However, the Prime Minister prefers to solve these things with guns to install favourable allies. This is why he wages this war and works to eliminate the TPLF.
The TPLF isn’t saints, but the PP isn’t honourable either. The TPLF should answer for past sins in office. Just like this PM has to answer for his. He will answer for this war and the lives his taken on his watch. That is just the tragic result of this.
When you start a war.. you never, never know how it ends. However, you have opened up a door to reality that moves and shifts. War isn’t an animal easy to domesticate. It is a wild animal and a brutal one. It can look friendly, but if you stir his play-pen you will torn to pieces. Therefore, the end-game is unknown and the results might not be what the goal when it was started.
This PM will live with this. His whole party and all his allies will answer for these actions. They will be remembered for this war. It has only been 10 days. We have no idea of the ramifications, but we know innocent lives has been taken. People are hurt, starving and bombed. There are communities in dire need and warfare is an ugly beast. An ugly beast the PM unleashed on his own citizens on the 3rd November 2020. The ramafications of that beast is all on him. He has to be responsible for what happens during thsi time. The costs, the pain and the suffering for unleashing this beast. Is all on him. Peace.

GENEVA (13 November 2020) – Amid emerging reports of mass killings in the town of Mai-Kadra, the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Michelle Bachelet on Friday expressed increasing alarm at the rapidly deteriorating situation in the Ethiopian region of Tigray.
She warned that if the Tigray regional forces and Ethiopian Government forces continue down the path they are on “there is a risk this situation will spiral totally out of control, leading to heavy casualties and destruction, as well as mass displacement within Ethiopia itself and across borders.”
While the details of the alleged mass killings reported by Amnesty International in Mai-Kadra in south-west Tigray have not yet been fully verified, Bachelet called for a full inquiry.
“If confirmed as having been deliberately carried out by a party to the current fighting, these killings of civilianswould of course amount to war crimes, and there must be an independent investigation and full accountability for what has happened,” she said. “However, the first priority right now must be to stop the fighting and prevent any further atrocities from taking place.”
The UN Human Rights Chief said that despite the severing of communications with Tigray making it difficult to verify the extent of the damage so far, she had received reports from a variety of sources suggesting increased airstrikes by Government forces as well as fierce ground fighting between the opposing forces.
“I am also extremely alarmed at reports of cuts to essential water and electricity supplies, in addition to the communications blackout and blocking of access by road and air,” she said. “This means there is already a dramatic impact on the civilian population, in addition to the risk of death or injury as a result of hostilities.”
The UN Human Rights Chief repeated her 6 November appeal to both sides to begin talks with the aim of an immediate cessation of hostilities.
“I strongly urge both sides to realize that there will be no winner in such a situation and begin a serious dialogue to resolve their differences without delay,” Bachelet said. “A protracted internal conflict will inflict devastating damage on both Tigray and Ethiopia as a whole, undoing years of vital development progress. It could, in addition, all too easily spill across borders, potentially destabilizing the whole sub-region.”

Beginning of November 2020, UNHCR has recorded an influx of asylum seekers at border entry points in East Sudan from Ethiopia, after military confrontations in the Tigray region in northern Ethiopia.
UNHCR’s teams at the border areas of the eastern Sudanese states of Kassala and Gedaref are working with the Sudanese Commissioner of Refugees (CoR), local authorities and partners to monitor and respond to the situation, as well mobilizing resources to provide life-saving assistance services to the new arrivals. Inter-agency coordination and contingency response planning is well underway

There been so many times the National Resistance Movement (NRM) apologists and defenders have claimed the opposition lacks Monetary Polices. However, contrary to public belief or perception it seems like the NRM is failing on this themselves. It is very simple reason for all of this.
The NRM and the Government of Uganda, which is the legal entity and de facto legitimate state at the moment. Have the power to borrow, loan and get funding for their operations. They can budget and make monetary policies. The government can make it possible to inject and add stimuli to the economy as a whole. That is what is happening all the time, but it is also very important. That if they fail to do it properly. It can have dire consequences.
One key aspect the NRM and its government have failed over time is to show fiscal responsibility or balance its budgets. The NRM regime have been borrowing and been deficit financing. They are in a cycle of loans financing old loans. They are adding debt burdens to build roads, pay salaries and do basics of the state. While nothing having funds to cover the shortfall and the interests. This is why fiscal responsibility is so important.
On EconomicsHelp.org it states that Fiscal responsibility is defined as this:
“Fiscal responsibility implies a government pursues the appropriate level of government spending and tax to:
– Maintain sustainable public finances.
– Ensure fiscal policy aids the optimal rate of economic growth.
– Maintain appropriate levels of public investment” (Tejvan Pettinger – ‘Definition of fiscal responsibility’ 13.10.2020).
It is very simple concept. To be fiscal responsible isn’t an revolutionary act. It is initially only spending the money you have and not spend other people’s money. Know what sort of revenue you do have and not expect a sudden miracle of funds appearing out of nowhere to cover a possible shortfall or lack of funds. This is how the NRM has practically operated.
They have needed loans for any sort of project. The NRM have tried to add their tax-base, but at the same time drained the economy. While spoiling itself and adding more and expenses. When they are not generating more natural income. The plus and minuses isn’t adding up. The state is also anticipating more loans, paying more interests and not paying civil servants.
Civil servants, the local government officials, the teachers, nurses and such needs their salaries to sustain a living. That salary pays the overhead, the food on the plate and other expenses. Some of this money will be returned back in taxes and VAT. Therefore, the state will return some of the funds.
This is why the state has really outplayed itself. When its living on borrowed money and donor grants. The state isn’t sufficiently run, when the funds dries up like this. When the state have to issue suspension of paying out salaries and expenses. Except for a handful of cronies, the army and law enforcement. That isn’t a sign of strength, but of weakness. This is basic governing.
The government who governs should be able to plan, secure and add enough revenue to able to pay salaries to its civil servants. If they are not paid? Why should they go to the office? They should be farming instead or work for a public company instead with their experience and skills. It is a waste to be a civil servant, if it doesn’t pays. The mortagage, the plate for supper and the UMEME doesn’t stop asking for money. The bills will continue to come. The landlord can knock on your door and give you an eviction notice.
That is why this is failing the basics. To not balance the budget and be fiscal responsible. It isn’t a magic masterpiece or an unbearable task. To explain what the NRM has done for years. Instead of spending within their means. They have instead been spending like an alcoholic, being buzzed drinking at the bar with no coins in your pocket, but hoping someone else is paying your tab. Peace.
