Opinion: Is Kabila planning a diarchy?
“Calvin is hammering nails into coffee table.
Mom: CALVIN WHAT ARE YOU DOING TO THE COFFEE TABLE?!?
Calvin: Is this some sort of trick question, or what?” – Bill Watterson
Merriam-Webster explains diarchy as “a government in which power is vested in two rulers or authorities”. This means that Majorité Présidentielle (MP) and the People’s Party for Reconstruction and Democracy (PPRD) the ruling party will put someone they trust, as they plan to current President Joseph Kabila as the Vice-President. While their stooge for a term and trusted bedfellow will rule one term from the beginning of 2019. President Kabila’s second term was supposed to end on 19th December 2016. That has however not happened, as he is still the almighty President and shown no signs of stepping down.
That is why the reports that M.P. are planning a tandem leadership, a dual leadership, one where they keep Kabila as a high ranking and top official, while having a stooge in on top for a term. That so they legally make sure Kabila can run for his “fourth term”, when the stooge term has ended. Since technically Kabila is done with third term and sort of started his fourth. Even as he just been elected through the polls twice. Kabila came first to power in January 2001, but was first elected in 2006 and ran again 2011. The last one, which he is still clinging on too.
The magic second stooge, whose will be part-time President, before ushering in an official third term for Kabila is either Matata Ponyo, Adolphe Muzito or Olive Lembe. That is if the reports are true and the rumors are real. If so, then Lambert Mende should be insulted. Also the MLC President and jailbird Jean Pierre Bemba, who was the last VP until the Constitutional Changes.
But if they do this and tries to figure this out, then they are still risking the Republic. AS they are thinking that the Republic cannot be ruled without Kabila and the M.P. Like there is no other party, which has the possibility to reign. This is risky as they have to really trust in the other candidate that they pull up and that one will step down. To again let Kabila run. The person could also create issues and no will to step down. As none in the state has done that, without eating a bullet.
We don’t know if this is a real plan or not, if they are planning to use CENI and the Constitutional Court to legalize this. They are surely using all tricks, maybe even first using Kabila as pawn to stall for time as the main candidate for M.P. The party might do other foolery, they might use other tricks. But the tandem leadership makes sense. As this would give Kabila space to take total control like Putin has done in Russia.
This would also put relief and stop the sanctions, this would give the regime a break. As they need to bleed the money out of the country and make deals, which the central government head honcho’s eats from, but leave nothing left to the Republic itself. That is what the M.P. wants and to secure the future of Kabila. They are only doing this in self interest and that why Kabila is still there. Lingering like a leach to power.
This story does not die, because Kabila isn’t planning to go anywhere. He wants power by any means. That is proven by now. Peace.