There are lots of speculations, there has been since the resignation of the Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn and also as the chairman of the Southern Ethiopian People’s Democratic Movement (SEPDM). This happen on the 15th February, as the State of Emergency was announced on the 17th February 2018. Since then, there has been natural speculation inside the government coalition of the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Defense Force (EPRDF) and who will succeed Hailemariam Desalegn and be the second PM after Meles Zenawi.
Now, the power struggle between the parties start, as the Council of Ministers will pick their candidate and their new chief. Not that in the recent days, there been any changes of significance and proving the need for one. However, the coalition and the state structure needs a PM. That is why the coalition parties has met and discussed, there been meetings with discussions and therefore, also settle matters.
The first one up, is the one that declared the State of Emergency, being the Ministry of Defense Siraj Fegessa of the SEPDM. The other from the same party might be Shiefraw Shigute. From the Oromo People’s Democratic Organization (OPDO) are newly elected Chairman Dr. Abiy Ahmed, also newly elected chairman Demeke Mekonnen from the Amhara National Democratic Movement (ANDM). Mere speculations if the Tigray People’s Liberation Movement will have their own candidate and newly elected chairman Debretsion Gebremichael, who is the minister for Communication and Information Technology, but the TPLF haven’t verified if he is contending.
All of these are candidates to the role of the PM, but as the State of Emergency are happening, the violence and killings, the detaining of opposition to the government should be the focus. As the state oppressive behavior is out of control again. We can just await closure of internet and telecommunication in Amhara and Oromo. Like they have done in the past. However, the state is waiting for the extraordinary meeting with the Council of Ministers. Where the leadership and Executive Committee will decided over voting and arguments who becomes the next leader.
This meeting has been postponed a few times and the times has changed. It has been in a slow progression, as the days are running. The uncertainty and speculations becomes more rampant as the parties has certified their candidates. That has been done by the SEPDM, OPDO, ANDM, but nothing official from the TPLF. TPLF who has been the controlling and strongman in the government. Therefore, their words are kind of final in the respects of the EPRDF.
But don’t expect anyone of these to really change anything, as the TPLF control the regime and their actions against the protesters and the demonstrations in Amhara and Omoro. Anyone who goes against the core in Ethiopia, will meet the force of EPRDF and the TPLF. The Executive Committee and Council of Ministers, who in the end will handpick the successor.
I don’t expect the EPRDF to do any good, they haven’t done it recently or in the past. They could have started a reconciliation, as they were starting to release political-prisoners, but now they are rearresting and sending soldiers to towns where there are protests. People are dying because they want their leaders and want their freedom, their liberty and a just society. That is to much to beg for under the TPLF, the Woyane and the EPRDF government. To have a government which represent the public and the regions, are not there now. It will not be so, even if the EPRDF picks the leader of OPDO, since they are putting Oromo Federalist Congress leaders like Merera Gudina and Bekele Gerba behind bars again. It’s like putting salt in the wounds and not trying to heal the wounds at all.
This ignorant acts has to stop. The EPRDF and TPLF, has to understand they cannot arrest all of Amhara or Oromo, they cannot shoot at everyone, they cannot destroy and use fear against every single citizen during the State of Emergency. Even if the state tries, even if the Woyane uses power to silence the regions. That cannot continue and the international community shouldn’t only condemn, but also act upon it. If they care about the innocent who dies, because of one groups wish to rule them all.
The Prime Minister will only be used as pawn at this point. The expectation of sudden changes and rapid development by the EPRDF are far-fetched. TPLF wants it all and will only use the PM as a figure-head. The one who takes the position should know this, they will not give away the power they have now. Peace.